供暖,空调和制冷机械师及安装工

自动化风险
计算出的
19%
风险等级
投票
20%
根据 188 票的投票结果
劳动力需求
增长
5.1%
到2032年
工资
$51,390
或每小时 $24.70
体积
374,770
截至 2022
摘要
工作评分
6.9/10

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自动化风险

19% (最小风险)

最小风险(0-20%):这一类别的职业被自动化的可能性较低,因为它们通常需要复杂的问题解决能力,创造力,强大的人际交往能力和高度的手动灵巧。这些工作通常涉及复杂的手部动作和精确的协调,使得机器难以复制所需的任务。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 狭窄的工作空间,尴尬的姿势

  • 手指灵巧

  • 手工熟练度

  • 社会洞察力

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为20%

我们的访客投票表示,这个职业被自动化的可能性很低。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持,该等级预计有19%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

供暖,空调和制冷机械师及安装工在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表会在有大量投票数据可以呈现有意义的数据时包含在内。这些视觉表示显示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了对情绪趋势的重要指示。

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业,呈现适度增长

预计"Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers"的工作空缺数量将在2032内增长5.1%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2023到期.

工资

相对于其他职业,薪酬适中

在2022,'Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers'的年度中位数工资为$51,390,或每小时$24。

'Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers'的薪资比全国中位工资高11.0%,全国中位工资为$46,310。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,明显更多的工作机会范围。

截至2022,在美国有374,770人被雇佣为'Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约0.25%

换句话说,大约每394人中就有1人被雇佣为“Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers”。

工作描述

安装或维修加热、中央空调、暖通空调或制冷系统,包括油燃烧器、热空气炉和暖气炉。

SOC Code: 49-9021.00

资源

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评论

mix (没有机会)说
I dont see how this could possibly be automated in 20 years. The spaces you have to crawl in and the skills needed would take much longer to automate.
Sep 14, 2022 at 02:14 上午
Lynne说
Thats why the chance is so low
Jan 12, 2024 at 02:56 上午
Gary B (没有机会)说
This is hilarious. Once again, you can tell no one has a clue what goes into HVAC. Can't wait to meet the robot who drives to a site, puts up a ladder, climbs it, pulls up a compressor, recovery machine, vacuum pump, gauges, or just has it all built-in. Goes up to the unit or multiple units and figures out one or more issues, drives to the supplier, buys parts, drives back, fixes the unit, say a condenser coil on a 20-ton. Then, once they are done, they are sent to a site where we are retrofitting controls onto 30 rooftops using GFX and Distech controls. Going to need some serious dexterity to climb above a drop ceiling onto a wall to pull 50 wires half a mile, then do the wiring of the controllers, then program the controllers, and then test all of it. Then add the Jace and connect to the building intranet and also make exceptions for outside access, all while working with "IT", which essentially doesn't exist for many companies, so it better be able to do it all. There's so much more; it's not even funny.

No way, not in 50 years.
Apr 28, 2022 at 04:53 下午
john doe (没有机会)说
Unless you can get a robot to crawl in an attic and manage to take the HVAC equipment out without damaging the house, then sure.
Feb 22, 2022 at 01:28 上午
Robert说
You're telling me that there will be a robot that can do all the physical labor, technical installation, and repairs of HVAC systems? Lol, please. If that were the case, no job will exist.
Aug 01, 2021 at 09:37 上午
Nate (没有机会)说
I believe robots/software will make it easier to work on HVAC equipment making it so any random joe can work on it but a robot doing such in depth work as wiring repairs and burner replacement especially in the next 2 decades seems unlikely
Jun 23, 2021 at 07:24 下午
Refrigeration technician说
So HVAC/R techs have a 65% chance but electricians have a 15% chance? This website is ridiculous. Pretty much any trade skill in the service industry will be protected for a long time. Even as the systems become more automated there will have to be human technicians to maintain those systems. Over time it may definitely become more consolidated, but the future is a very tricky thing to predict.
Feb 16, 2020 at 02:00 上午
Jebac disa (低)说
Hard job with unique jd
Jan 31, 2020 at 03:56 下午
Fef (低)说
I think it would need a very advanced robot to carry all the manual labour needed to install or repair an air conditioner. A robot able to walk, lift, drill, use tools.
Oct 30, 2019 at 11:15 上午
Skagit Haines (低)说
I dont think there will be robots capable of troubleshooting everything in HVAC Systems. it requires manual dexterity
Aug 27, 2019 at 06:29 下午
Ben说
No way too many variables
Jul 30, 2019 at 12:31 下午
Ben 说
There’s also the emotional aspect when it comes to sales/service within the residential part of the field. People will be more tempted to destroy a robot than commit murder when you have to tell the customer it’s going to be x amount of money to repair/ replace x part and they loose their shit 😂
Dec 24, 2020 at 02:40 上午

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