电工

自动化风险
计算出的
5%
风险等级
投票
21%
根据 993 票的投票结果
劳动力需求
增长
7.1%
到2032年
工资
$60,240
或每小时 $28.96
体积
690,050
截至 2022
摘要
工作评分
7.7/10

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自动化风险

5% (最小风险)

最小风险(0-20%):这一类别的职业被自动化的可能性较低,因为它们通常需要复杂的问题解决能力,创造力,强大的人际交往能力和高度的手动灵巧。这些工作通常涉及复杂的手部动作和精确的协调,使得机器难以复制所需的任务。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些非常重要的品质很难实现自动化:

  • 狭窄的工作空间,尴尬的姿势

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 手指灵巧

  • 手工熟练度

  • 说服

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为21%

我们的访客投票表示,这个职业被自动化的可能性很低。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持,该等级预计有5%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

电工在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表会在有大量投票数据可以呈现有意义的数据时包含在内。这些视觉表示显示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了对情绪趋势的重要指示。

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业的快速增长

预计"Electricians"的工作空缺数量将在2032内增长7.1%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2023到期.

工资

相对于其他职业,薪酬适中

在2022,'Electricians'的年度中位数工资为$60,240,或每小时$28。

'Electricians'的薪资比全国中位工资高30.1%,全国中位工资为$46,310。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,明显更多的工作机会范围。

截至2022,在美国有690,050人被雇佣为'Electricians'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约0.47%

换句话说,大约每214人中就有1人被雇佣为“Electricians”。

工作描述

安装、维护和修理电线、设备和固定装置。确保工作符合相关规范。可能需要安装或维修路灯、对讲系统或电气控制系统。

SOC Code: 47-2111.00

资源

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评论

留下评论

Cindy 说
I believe the intricate details in the wiring of the actual building would be too difficult for a machine. Electricians have refined skills that are very difficult to master by just anyone! They go to school for a 5 year apprenticeship. These people are specialized professionals and we need to respect them and their profession!!
Dec 31, 2023 at 10:00 上午
Nathan (没有机会)说
I'm a young Electrician. for doing this job, you need to work in any kind of environment. sometimes you need to identify the problem so in order to do so, you will use your hands, body, creativity and of course, knowledge. A.I. will might stand a chance on replacing us if they probably come in a humanoid form xD
Aug 19, 2023 at 03:50 下午
hoj (适度)说
Humanoid Robots Cleaning Your House, Serving Your Food and Running Factories

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/humanoid-robots-cleaning-house-serving-204050583.html

This will happen shortly.
Jun 26, 2023 at 10:16 上午
Jason (没有机会)说
If you could automate trade work, then the world is pretty much all automated at that point. Think about how complicated this work is. Even though AI could feasibley figure out how to do this type of work, it's still pretty complicated and you would need crazy good robots to perform it. Then let's say you have the complex ai and robotics to do the job. When will that technology become affordable?

Buildings are constructed in a way that are not standardized. Sure some facilities could be engineered in such a way that would make robotics possible to work in, but I think this is a long way off. By the time Electricians are automated most jobs will be automated. I mean robots/Ai could do basic level clerical work before electrical construction/maintenance. I think some parts of this industry will be automated. Maybe running 500 mile lines can be done by some machines, but even so there will still need to be some kind of human supervision.

We're just not there yet. We won't be there for a while. As dumb as most construction jobs seem, they will probably be automated so far out from now that entry level lawyers have more to worry about since chatgbt can probably do basic level legal research. No machine is capable of doing much aside from maybe doing some basic prep work, which that is hardly going to replace an electrician as of now.

If anything it will just speed up jobs and potentially lower the industry, but I really don't see it making a big difference anytime soon.
Jun 20, 2023 at 10:16 下午
Ben (适度)说
particularly in the new installation space, I think they will be able to run cables, fit off etc... it will probably be harder in the maintenance area for a machine to make repairs.
Mar 07, 2023 at 12:19 上午
SAY NO TO PROGRAMMING (低)说
Electricians are essentially a perfect blend of physical & mental work that just isn't easily replaceable as say programming is.
Feb 28, 2023 at 10:32 下午
Kb说
It seems that although certain technologies for robot dexterity are being developed, it will take a while for it to created and then theres the question of adoption speed. Don't get me wrong, if the technology is developed it WILL be adopted, probably just not immediantly.

So I wouldn't worry just yet in regards to the immediate future.

The next 2 decades though, im not sure.
Feb 20, 2023 at 02:23 下午
Benoit (没有机会)说
I think the 19% who said electricians could be replaced in the near future have very low knowledge of the complex tasks electricians have to perform. It requires a lot of thinking and makeshift problem solving along with various physical tasks that require dexterity, precision, balance and the ability to position your body in various positions only a human is capable of.
Jan 24, 2023 at 10:55 下午
andy (适度)说
As an electrician's apprentice, I can see how pre-fabrication AI could easily steal away the standard rough-in methods during construction. Residential housing can be streamlined easily since big developers are making the same design for 200,000 homes they build. If a standard was set that pre-fab components were to be used and shipped to the location, you wouldn't need people to wire it up.
Mar 21, 2022 at 01:51 上午
Dave (没有机会)说
Maybe to assist with pulling wire and conduit bending perhaps. Don't think AI will replace electricians
Oct 05, 2021 at 02:14 上午
Thomas Bach (没有机会)说
Not a chance. I’m an industrial electrician working in the automotive industry. I’m taking care of about 100 robots ( I’m responsible for my 3 manufacturing lines ) and there’s no way any robot today can do what we do. Line operators are being replaced by robots but at the same time, there’s a need for more trades. Let’s be honest, somebody has to fix them. I think I’ll be able to retire safely. It will be a major jump in technology before robots can fix other robots in industrial applications.
Sep 19, 2021 at 02:35 下午
allgone说
Really not how AI progress works.

Reading comprehension went from not possible to human-level in a few years.

https://ourworldindata.org/uploads/2022/12/AI-performance_Dynabench-paper-2048x921.png
Jun 26, 2023 at 10:17 上午
Kenneth说
What about AI, and its rapid advancements?
Aug 07, 2023 at 11:00 下午
yo lads (没有机会)说
too hard to put a robot on a roof and not fall thru it, not happening anytime soon
Sep 19, 2021 at 05:50 上午
Jake D (没有机会)说
Understanding electrical theory and the intricacies associated with it when you’re working in physical environments is way beyond what machines can do. Static electricity accumulates, grounds are needed, and a whole lot of work is put into just insulating and making electricity safe to interact with. As a lineman apprentice, I can’t imagine there’ll be a machine that can process all of that, let alone be physically capable of performing all the tasks associated with electrical work. It’s a pretty interdisciplinary field that requires a lot of critical thinking, a lot of consideration of your environment, and is incredibly dangerous.

Personally, I don’t think you can really assess the ability of this field to be automated unless you understand the actions we take to avoid getting shocked, to avoid breaking things, and the volume of equipment we use. It takes two years in trade school and four years in an apprenticeship to create a qualified electrician and even then, they are always learning. Expecting machines to pick up this work within even forty years, assuming technology keeps progressing linearly, is pretty unlikely.

I hope I’m not jinxing myself here but this does seem pretty stupid. I’m a smart guy and I routinely feel like an idiot on the job because there’s just so much to grasp and handle. Expecting a machine to be able to understand, let alone contextualize, and further implement this information is completely fantastical.
Sep 06, 2021 at 03:57 上午
Kenneth说
Ai and robots are already as of this time starting to replace surgeons. Surgeons go through on average 12-15 years of schooling after highschool. The ai can already diagnose and preform surgeries better...
Aug 07, 2023 at 11:04 下午
Kade (没有机会)说
When electricians, plumbers, and HVAC mechanics are automated, no one will have a job.
Aug 16, 2021 at 04:47 下午
Anthony Hallam (低)说
theirs no way a robot has the dexterity to wire, and it doesn't even have the brain to spot a problem
Jun 04, 2021 at 04:53 下午
Kenneth说
Yet Ai has the dexterity to perform heart and brain surgeries better than human surgeons and the brain to diagnose better than human doctors....
Aug 07, 2023 at 11:06 下午
1 (低)说
In my opinion, the electrician is too complicated a job for robots, and in addition, the tasks of an electrician sometimes involve repairing robots, motors, or other types of machines. :)
Jan 09, 2021 at 03:09 下午
Sam (没有机会)说
Highly dextrous job involving customer interaction, this will not be fully automated for some time.
Jan 02, 2021 at 02:31 下午
frank (没有机会)说
nope, no chance its a trade
Aug 09, 2020 at 09:41 下午
anonymous (没有机会)说
Electricians make complex decisions unique to individual situations and perform complex motor tasks which would be impossible to practically replicate with a robot. Truly no need to worry about this occupation becoming obsolete.
Jun 08, 2020 at 02:44 上午
Joe (没有机会)说
If they can manufacture robots to do complex work and have the mobility to do an electricians work then no one will have a job.
May 14, 2020 at 04:32 上午

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