管道工,管道装配工和蒸汽管道工

低风险
21%

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自动化风险
计算出的
22%
(低风险)
投票
21%
(低风险, 根据 600 票的投票结果)
Average: 21%
劳动力需求
增长
5.6%
到2033年
工资
$61,550
或每小时 $29.59
体积
436,160
截至 2023
摘要
这个雪花图案展示了什么?
雪花是五个徽章的视觉总结:自动化风险(计算得出)、风险(投票得出)、增长、工资和体积。它为你提供了一个职业概况的即时快照。雪花的颜色与其大小有关。与其他职业相比,某个职业的得分越好,雪花就会变得越大且越绿。
工作评分
7.3/10
这是什么?
工作评分(越高越好):

我们使用四个因素对工作进行评分。这些是:

- 被自动化的可能性
- 工作增长
- 工资
- 可用职位的数量

这些是求职时需要考虑的一些关键事项。

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计算机程序员 律师 电工 演员 网页开发者

计算自动化风险

22% (低风险)

低风险(21-40%):这个级别的工作面临的自动化风险较低,因为它们需要技术和以人为中心的技能的混合。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 狭窄的工作空间,尴尬的姿势

  • 手指灵巧

  • 手工熟练度

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为21%

我们的访客投票表示,这个职业被自动化的可能性很低。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持,该等级预计有22%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

管道工,管道装配工和蒸汽管道工在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?

情感

以下图表显示了在有足够投票的情况下生成的有意义数据。它展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,清晰地指示了情感趋势。

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业的快速增长

预计"Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters"的工作空缺数量将在2033内增长5.6%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2023到2033的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2025到期.

工资

相对于其他职业,薪酬适中

在2023,'Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters'的年度中位数工资为$61,550,或每小时$30。

'Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters'的薪资比全国中位工资高28.1%,全国中位工资为$48,060。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,明显更多的工作机会范围。

截至2023,在美国有436,160人被雇佣为'Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约0.29%

换句话说,大约每348人中就有1人被雇佣为“Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters”。

工作描述

组装,安装,更改和修理输送水,蒸汽,空气或其他液体或气体的管道或管道系统。可能会安装供暖和冷却设备以及机械控制系统。包括喷水装置安装工。

SOC Code: 47-2152.00

评论 (21)

发表评论
Josh Walpole (没有机会)
09 8月 2025 19:14
Some aspects can be done by automation, but plumbing has so many different applications and materials that cannot be replaced by anything other than adaptive ability and experience.
Dan (没有机会)
21 6月 2025 03:31
Until we make a giant leap in energy storage or sustained small scale energy generation, or somehow start efficiently mining asteroids; I simply don’t believe we have enough rare earth minerals to produce batteries at a scale large enough that it encroaches the plumbing profession. Unlike many jobs ours cannot be done via a highly sophisticated assembly line, nor via producing various text documents/spreadsheets/calculations/filings that simply adhere to any given rule set. It has to be on site, and the robot would likely need to be cordless to be useful for plumbing. It would as require that it fit in human sized spaces, ideally able to work in smaller than human spaces (crawl spaces) without compromising reach/dexterity/strength/power consumption. Given energy production issues currently it seems highly unlikely that we would surmount that issue alone in the next 20years, let alone soon enough for other critical or lucrative professions to be replaced by robots to the point that plumbing is at risk.

TLDR
I don’t think we have enough of the right metals unearthed on this planet for us to make enough batteries that plumbing is at risk. Also there are a great many other jobs to likely be replaced by robots because they are either critical or profitable. There are also energy/power concerns at that scale of workforce unlikely to be solved soon enough within 20 years.
Bms (不确定)
19 9月 2024 21:26
Because this is due to a lack of data gathering and fine tuning of the methods to gather the data necessary to automate the industry. It can be done within next 2 decades depending on corporate structure and goals in general.
Daniel
03 9月 2024 02:10
I can see a robot doing new construction apartments where all the units are pretty much the same. But as for service work. No chance
Captain box fan
13 7月 2024 16:43
About all it would be able to do is dig a trench for a repair or new installation on sewer lines. Other than that, I do not think it could handle the majority of the work. The cost to build it would outweigh its productivity over its lifespan.
ilian (没有机会)
21 6月 2024 14:32
a robot that will be able to preform the complex moovements required will cost more to make than it will produce troughout it's functioning
Carl Wyatt (低)
04 7月 2021 22:07
I can envisage machines installing plumbing and heating in new builds however most plumbing tasks such as repairs/maintenance or installations on old buildings require dexterity and flexibility which are difficult criteria's for machines to meet. I'm sure it'll be possible one day but I believe plumbing to be one of the last professions to be automated.
Pierce (低)
16 5月 2021 13:58
Robots can't think critically to solve unusual problems that are always guaranteed to happen.
Frank (没有机会)
13 4月 2021 11:02
How in the world, in the relatively near future, will automation enter a job site and set a toilet for example???? Ridiculous!!
Elon Musk
13 4月 2021 05:24
The probability of a robot being able to diagnose a plumbing or drain issue and have the engineering benefit of that being in development is possibly more likely for new construction rather than residential services or retro construction in the next 30 if at all ever.
Nathan Wood (低)
30 12月 2020 02:38
Unless they are all pre fabricated buildings. No robot will be able to do repairs, fit in a crawl hole or remodel a home or office either.
bringthon (没有机会)
09 8月 2020 21:39
no chance lol forget it.. manual skilled jobs will be hard to replace but they will evolve
lol (没有机会)
02 7月 2020 09:11
I'm not sure if robot could do this correctly, or if it will be cheaper than from human beings
Josh
09 6月 2020 09:34
I would have preferred a robot from 1994 than the spud who did my bathroom refurb!
Andreas (低)
09 5月 2020 17:58
In buildings or industrial facilities where there is a standardised infrastructure built with all used parts digitised in an archive, maybe. But everything with existing infrastructure needs the experience of humans to decide and take action. However, it would be awesome to have a robot with me at work doing stuff like heavy lifts, cleaning, carrying equipment and parts.
Mister man (没有机会)
10 3月 2020 17:54
While I understand the seemingly repetitive nature of pipe work, it strikes me as the sort of business that takes a lot more figuring than more repetitive work, such as cashiering
Marty (没有机会)
27 1月 2020 19:17
Are robots going to go into people's homes to deal with plumbing issues? I highly doubt it.
Franklin (低)
21 12月 2019 09:57
I think robots capable of this are decades away and when they do arrive it will probably be cheaper to hire a human.
Phillip (没有机会)
23 5月 2019 22:58
I just don't see how your gonna get a robot to come to a house, diagnose the plumbing issue and then perform the work to fix it. Thats a complex task and modern robots can still only reliably perform the simplest of tasks. The tech is a long ways away and even if it weren't I don't feel like replacing plumbers would the first thing on the agenda for that tech.
Kenn
24 11月 2020 10:50
Well instead of the robot coming into houses it would be a robot per household capable of completing any plumbing, carpentry, pretty much any trade repair needed within that household. That robot would he owned by the family and essentially a crazy advanced butler. The tech is def not in the next decade but 15-30 years from now it's quite a possibility.
Kenny (低)
07 5月 2019 05:57
Would need very good robots to do this.

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