计算机程序员

高风险
67%
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投票 评论 (238)
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自动化风险
计算出的
70%
(高风险)
投票
64%
(高风险)
Average: 67%
劳动力需求
增长
-9.6%
到2033年
工资
$99,700
或每小时 $47.93
体积
120,370
截至 2023
摘要
工作评分
3.5/10

人们还浏览了

计算自动化风险

70% (高风险)

高风险(61-80%):这个类别的工作面临着来自自动化的重大威胁,因为他们的许多任务可以使用当前或近期的技术轻松自动化。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 社会洞察力

  • 原创性

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为64%

我们的访客投票认为,这个职业很可能会被自动化。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持,该等级预计有70%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

计算机程序员在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表在有大量投票数据时会显示。这些可视化图表展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了情感趋势的重要指示。

随着时间的推移的情绪(季度)

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业,增长非常缓慢

预计到2033,"Computer Programmers"职位的空缺数量将减少9.6%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2024到期.

工资

相对于其他职业,薪酬非常高

在2023,'Computer Programmers'的年度中位数工资为$99,700,或每小时$47。

'Computer Programmers'的薪资比全国中位工资高107.4%,全国中位工资为$48,060。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,更大的就业机会范围

截至2023,在美国有120,370人被雇佣为'Computer Programmers'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约0.08%

换句话说,大约每1 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Computer Programmers”。

工作描述

创建、修改和测试允许计算机应用程序运行的代码和脚本。根据软件和网页开发人员或其他个人制定的规格进行工作。可能会开发并编写计算机程序来存储、定位和检索特定的文件、数据和信息。

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

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评论

Leave a comment

J 5 days ago
Robots aint gonna code themselves, if we get to that point then that's Skynet/matrix. Aka end of the world for everyone so who cares
0 0 Reply
John pork (没有机会) 13 days ago
it is because AI and robots require programming and without programmers, they cannot function
0 0 Reply
Emy (极有可能) 15 days ago
Even though programming can demand thinking sometimes, 70% of the work is repetitive or the same across different business. Not only that, but 80% of the time you are not solving any complex problem that demands creativity or deep thinking.
2 0 Reply
Jersey Jim 9 days ago
You can convert from one language to another with AI and a developer is not protected by knowing Java vs C#. This further erodes job protection. Recreating the wheel will drastically stop in programming and I'd imagine known problems will converge to one solution.
0 0 Reply
@irton (没有机会) 1 month ago
Why do they already develop this, and AI is not smart enough to do more? To complement, it is good.
1 2 Reply
Cessna (不确定) 1 month ago
Some AI can program or help a person program like chatgpt
1 0 Reply
Siddhant Tambe (不确定) 1 month ago
In order for AI to truly replace a Human computer programmer job, they will need to be "human" enough to handle the multiple complexities of building a whole ecosystem of a software product, along with defining clients who has accurately specify requirement.
For instance, I asked ChatGPT to write me a simple code that creates a "conversation" with OpenAI's APIs. It could not even do that accurately.
Current likelihood of replacing a computer programmer is laughable at best. Maybe over 20 years there might be "some" progress.
3 1 Reply
pleb 12 days ago
To be honest, it's quite scary that most people think this job will be entirely replaced. If AI ever fully becomes "human enough" (as you said! That's a brilliant way to put it) to take over every single Computer Programmer job... well, I don't think we have to worry about whether CS Majors will get employed.
0 0 Reply
Some Programmer (低) 2 months ago
We need programmers to make AI, the programmers themselves propel AI ahead by making new ideas, AI cannot do that it is simply using the knowledge it has to gen a quick answer for the user based on training, however i do believe that there is a chance that AI will replace humans if its way of thinking becomes completely identical as to a human would think and if quantum computing gets invented.
3 0 Reply
half-full 12 days ago
a good example of this would be asking an ai to generate a wineglass thats full to the brim; it cant because all the pictures online are half-full, lmao
0 0 Reply
Arsh (适度) 2 months ago
Some concepts like orginaltity and thinking can not be replicated, but base code is in danger
1 0 Reply
Somone (适度) 2 months ago
This job could be revamped/transformed but i don't think AI will take over completely because AI isn't good at randomness and complex thinking/problem solving so i think AI will be a tool that will assist coders, engineers, etc not take over completely.
2 0 Reply
random idiot (没有机会) 2 months ago
Don't Computer programmers code AI...
2 4 Reply
Distragin (低) 2 months ago
The amount of Ai copying from one another is insane if one Ai makes a mistake it could be devastating to other AI informational sources. This is why coding and programming are minimal risk, AI is most likely just gonna copy each other leading to inefficient mayhem!
1 1 Reply
Jersey Jim 9 days ago
These reasons have little bearing on the push for automation. Modern DevOps can push out fixes quickly. Companies don't really suffer much from downtime or security breaches. AI only has to be good enough with slight imperfections to kill jobs. Companies have already be proven willing to eat some losses from self-checkouts versus cashiers. It is cold math. The cost savings will far exceed the losses from downtime or government fines.
0 0 Reply
Guilherme (低) 3 months ago
Because client's need change and language models can't pick up nuances 100% of the time there will always be a place for programers. But the kind of tasks they perform might change.
1 0 Reply
darkmewtwo (低) 3 months ago
Ask an ai to simplify code. It will not work
2 2 Reply
Wes (没有机会) 3 months ago
You still need someone to understand every line of code the AI produces. Although AI is decent at programming now, I am certain that we will always need a human to write code to some degree.
6 1 Reply
` (不确定) 4 months ago
I think that while there is a high chance that AI will be used to automate the creation of basic code, AI will always make mistakes that have to be corrected by humans who know what they're doing, and I don't think AI will replace programmers in the next ~20 years because of the need for complex and intricate code used in projects such as game engines.
10 3 Reply
Guy (极有可能) 5 months ago
Already starting, automation has begun being used for coding in many places.
6 4 Reply
Adrian 3 months ago
Agreed. AI will continue to grow, and it learns faster than any human could. The only type of software development postions I see staying is the creation of new languages. However, these jobs will be very few and require an insanely high level of education and years of experience. Heck, these jobs are offshored right now.
1 0 Reply
Luke 3 months ago
Often incorrect and needs fixing though, at least from my experience.
4 0 Reply
Caro (低) 5 months ago
There will probably be many bugs (Like how Ai has trouble with fingers), so no matter what, the job will be necessary.
5 5 Reply
Aiden (适度) 5 months ago
bc like it might but prob not and like it will always be important to have human programmers because if ai ever become sentient and gain their own objectives, they will have all the power in the world if they're the only ones that know how to run our code and stuff like that so yea it would be dangerous to give that much power away to them
1 7 Reply
Mistral Claude 7 months ago
Here is the thing my dudes. As professional programer (30 years on the job, so of that thing even replaces out job, I will surely be retired already anyway) I tried chatgpt, copilot, Claude and even Mistral for coding. They are all pretty darn helpful to code on nephew level...you know, that terrible code we got from a 3rd party to maintain? Yeah. It goes great on that level. It's also great to do start level stuff that has been done 1000s of times. Try doing something new though, or some actual logic, and they fail, always. And never even realize they are failing. The reason is pretty simple. what we have (the llms) are not real AIs. When (if) we have a real AI, then, the moment a computer can replicate human level programming, is also the moment the computer can code another AI doesn't it? What would happen if it can code a AI better than itself?
20 4 Reply
Jose 5 months ago
Some of the best programmers in the world are working daily to help improve ChatGTP and other models. The capabilities are quickly increasing and given some time they will be better than most programmers. So yes some very good programmers will have a job, but most will not be needed. You wrote the comment 2 months ago, there is now a new model which you thought was not possible 2 months ago. What will happen in another 2 months, or 2 years?
9 6 Reply
DB 2 months ago
New model does not not mean better solution always
0 0 Reply
Ritchie Duncan (极有可能) 7 months ago
AI suites such as ChatGPT etc have the ability to code functions in a variety of languages and for various platforms. A simple description of the function to be created, along with the system, such as Visual Studio, Unity etc allows the code to be copied and pasted into the code base.
Arguably within the next 10 years, programmers, in the form we know them now, will be obsolete.
5 5 Reply
Socks 7 months ago
Until AI programs can always fix everything in e.g. app that is being made as well as in themselves they will be just a tool for already competent programmer that has to understand most details anyway.
5 1 Reply

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