计算机程序员

高风险
66%
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投票 评论 (214)
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自动化风险
计算出的
70%
(高风险)
投票
62%
(高风险)
Average: 66%
劳动力需求
增长
-9.6%
到2033年
工资
$99,700
或每小时 $47.93
体积
120,370
截至 2023
摘要
工作评分
3.8/10

人们还浏览了

计算自动化风险

70% (高风险)

高风险(61-80%):这个类别的工作面临着来自自动化的重大威胁,因为他们的许多任务可以使用当前或近期的技术轻松自动化。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 社会洞察力

  • 原创性

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为62%

我们的访客投票认为,这个职业很可能会被自动化。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持,该等级预计有70%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

计算机程序员在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表在有大量投票数据时会显示。这些可视化图表展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了情感趋势的重要指示。

随着时间的推移的情绪(季度)

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业,增长非常缓慢

预计到2033,"Computer Programmers"职位的空缺数量将减少9.6%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2024到期.

工资

相对于其他职业,薪酬非常高

在2023,'Computer Programmers'的年度中位数工资为$99,700,或每小时$47。

'Computer Programmers'的薪资比全国中位工资高107.4%,全国中位工资为$48,060。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,更大的就业机会范围

截至2023,在美国有120,370人被雇佣为'Computer Programmers'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约0.08%

换句话说,大约每1 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Computer Programmers”。

工作描述

创建、修改和测试允许计算机应用程序运行的代码和脚本。根据软件和网页开发人员或其他个人制定的规格进行工作。可能会开发并编写计算机程序来存储、定位和检索特定的文件、数据和信息。

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

资源

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评论

Leave a comment

` (不确定) 1 month ago
I think that while there is a high chance that AI will be used to automate the creation of basic code, AI will always make mistakes that have to be corrected by humans who know what they're doing, and I don't think AI will replace programmers in the next ~20 years because of the need for complex and intricate code used in projects such as game engines.
6 2 Reply
Guy (极有可能) 1 month ago
Already starting, automation has begun being used for coding in many places.
3 1 Reply
Caro (低) 2 months ago
There will probably be many bugs (Like how Ai has trouble with fingers), so no matter what, the job will be necessary.
4 5 Reply
Aiden (适度) 2 months ago
bc like it might but prob not and like it will always be important to have human programmers because if ai ever become sentient and gain their own objectives, they will have all the power in the world if they're the only ones that know how to run our code and stuff like that so yea it would be dangerous to give that much power away to them
1 4 Reply
Mistral Claude 4 months ago
Here is the thing my dudes. As professional programer (30 years on the job, so of that thing even replaces out job, I will surely be retired already anyway) I tried chatgpt, copilot, Claude and even Mistral for coding. They are all pretty darn helpful to code on nephew level...you know, that terrible code we got from a 3rd party to maintain? Yeah. It goes great on that level. It's also great to do start level stuff that has been done 1000s of times. Try doing something new though, or some actual logic, and they fail, always. And never even realize they are failing. The reason is pretty simple. what we have (the llms) are not real AIs. When (if) we have a real AI, then, the moment a computer can replicate human level programming, is also the moment the computer can code another AI doesn't it? What would happen if it can code a AI better than itself?
15 3 Reply
Jose 2 months ago
Some of the best programmers in the world are working daily to help improve ChatGTP and other models. The capabilities are quickly increasing and given some time they will be better than most programmers. So yes some very good programmers will have a job, but most will not be needed. You wrote the comment 2 months ago, there is now a new model which you thought was not possible 2 months ago. What will happen in another 2 months, or 2 years?
7 3 Reply
Ritchie Duncan (极有可能) 4 months ago
AI suites such as ChatGPT etc have the ability to code functions in a variety of languages and for various platforms. A simple description of the function to be created, along with the system, such as Visual Studio, Unity etc allows the code to be copied and pasted into the code base.
Arguably within the next 10 years, programmers, in the form we know them now, will be obsolete.
4 4 Reply
Socks 4 months ago
Until AI programs can always fix everything in e.g. app that is being made as well as in themselves they will be just a tool for already competent programmer that has to understand most details anyway.
4 1 Reply
s (低) 4 months ago
it wouldn't be completely automated, but a lot of lower level - intermediate programming will probably be automated.
2 0 Reply
I know jobs (适度) 4 months ago
It is pretty easy to program but a computer can´t code a computer
3 1 Reply
Anonymous (低) 4 months ago
Their code is efficient but they can’t replicate originality
0 4 Reply
John (极有可能) 4 months ago
I've never programmed a day in my life but not only was I able to program a working game but also a point of sales program for a business by telling AI exactly what I needed and it made changes to each program...
1 3 Reply
skibidi (极有可能) 4 months ago
AI can already write code pretty well, so in 20 years it's highly likely it will be automated
4 3 Reply
Anon (适度) 4 months ago
There's a lot of coding done by AI already. Eventually, there will be a job that just runs these AIs who write code.
3 1 Reply
ooga 5 months ago
Small chance that they'll take over our jobs, computers can't really figure out basic principles of codes, let alone thousands of lines of code (I tried this, didn't work)
6 2 Reply
mgyt (不确定) 5 months ago
Because AI's are being overtrained. If you try to make an entire program only using AI, you just can't. And they will have a lot of vulnerabilities
1 0 Reply
Osman (适度) 5 months ago
Programming will always require human intervention, it can not be all controlled by AI
4 2 Reply
idk (适度) 5 months ago
while automation basically runs on programming, and it would be logical to think programming would be automated easily with ai, programming takes creativity, and out of the box thinking, which automation cant replicate. i think it would still be possible to be automated, but there will always be a place for programmers. no matter what.
2 1 Reply
Nipple (不确定) 5 months ago
Even though AI is already capable at making basic code/scripts (After a few tries to tweak flaws), it probably won't be able to automate advance aspects of computer programming unless the necessary improvements are made regarding accurate generation as well as more source code to gather information from. In short, it can make games like Snake, Minesweeper and Tetris, but it won't be able to make games like Minecraft, Call of Duty, Fortnite and others that require very complex scripts/code and the human brain to be able to have the creativity AND the power to use it when making those games. Computer Programmers aren't exactly 'save' but it is hard to completely automate...


At least not in 20 years.
2 0 Reply
Hamood (没有机会) 5 months ago
Because we are the ones who will create ai if ai is able to create programs it can create multiple versions of itself thus breaking the ai rule that it must obey and follow all humans
0 0 Reply
Le Jacob (适度) 5 months ago
computer code could be automated, hovewer, its possible that europe could regulate AI for jobs about programming
0 0 Reply
mugumnr (极有可能) 5 months ago
ai is already able to do simple ones give 20 more years its over
5 0 Reply

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