Writers and Authors
Automation risk
Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.
More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.
Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation
We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.
However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.
Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.
Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.
Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.
User poll
Our visitors have voted that there is a small chance this occupation will be replaced. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 49% chance of automation.
What do you think the risk of automation is?
What is the likelihood that this occupation will be replaced by robots or AI in the next 20 years?
Growth
The number of 'Writers and Authors' job openings is expected to rise 4.1% by 2031
Total employment, and estimated job openings
Updated projections are due Sep 2023.
Wages
In 2022, the median annual wage for 'Writers and Authors' was $73,150, or $35.17 per hour
'Writers and Authors' were paid 58.0% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $46,310
Wages over time
Volume
As of 2022 there were 54,010 people employed as Writers and Authors within the United States.
This represents around 0.04% of the employed workforce across the country.
Put another way, around 1 in 2 thousand people are employed as Writers and Authors.
Job description
Originate and prepare written material, such as scripts, stories, advertisements, and other material.
SOC Code: 27-3043.00
Resources
Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?
Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.
If you're thinking of starting a new career, or looking to change jobs, we've created a handy job search tool which might just help you land that perfect new role.
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Comments
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I'd never read a book written by a robot who's just a piece of junk.
The problem is not creativity, it is continuity and logic. Both of these issues are currently being tackled and already causing improvements. Computers are better at thinking something random than people are. Creativity is the process of recognising the valuable bits in the randomness and discarding the rest. The rest of creativity is simply problem solving, and we're seeing AI get better at this quickly.
Advances in these areas will continue to erode away the most basic writing jobs. Song lyrics won't be far behind.
It's happening, we're too late
In terms of fiction writing, it's less about being able to produce writing and more about being able to produce writing that resonates with people. AI have the capacity to build relations as inputted by humans; they do not have the innate sense to build this alone. This also ignores that 'the novel' as we understand it today is a relatively modern invention. Literature may radically change again in the future.
I feel about automation of literature as I do about ebooks: while they may dominate a certain part of the sector, they're hardly the be-all and end-all they were predicted to be. Or maybe as a writer I'm simply stroking my own ego and over-hyping my own importance and believe that writing for its own sake is the important thing to focus on here. ;-) Who knows?
So yeah. AI probably gets to a point, where it is able to produce some decent text.
pretty humiliating for humankind, but true I'm afraid.
I think an intelligence should be considered to have a soul if it was capable of seeing itself and recognising others, if it could communicate without assistance or restraints, if you could provide it with information and perspective and it could formulate its own opinion
AI can very much create art, however the art they make is not an expression of themselves because these are AI. They simulate intelligence. But they only do what we tell them to. I don't consider what most AI makes to be art because they are not expressing themselves, they're just doing what we tell them to do without any real personal investment because they have nothing to invest
If we wanted them to make real art without instruction the only way would be to make them live some kind of life and then ask them to express themselves through some form of art be it a painting or a story
critical thinking? 2/5, creativity? 5/5, collaboration? 4/5! 11/15, quite low probablity of automating.
Unless, of course, there are those robots who just have to tell their stories!
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