Graphic Designers

AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
34%
risk level
POLLING
51%
Based on 3,643 votes
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
2.6%
by year 2032
WAGES
$57,990
or $27.88 per hour
Volume
211,890
as of 2022
SUMMARY
JOB SCORE
5.0/10

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Automation risk

34% (Low Risk)

Low Risk (21-40%): Jobs in this level have a limited risk of automation, as they demand a mix of technical and human-centric skills.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some very important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Originality

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Fine Arts

  • Social Perceptiveness

User poll

51% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. However, employees may be able to find reassurance in the automated risk level we have generated, which shows 34% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Graphic Designers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?






Sentiment

The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (quarterly)

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Slow growth relative to other professions.

The number of 'Graphic Designers' job openings is expected to rise 2.6% by 2032

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2023.

Wages

Moderately paid relative to other professions

In 2022, the median annual wage for 'Graphic Designers' was $57,990, or $27 per hour

'Graphic Designers' were paid 25.2% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $46,310

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Greater range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2022 there were 211,890 people employed as 'Graphic Designers' within the United States.

This represents around 0.14% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 697 people are employed as 'Graphic Designers'.

Job description

Design or create graphics to meet specific commercial or promotional needs, such as packaging, displays, or logos. May use a variety of mediums to achieve artistic or decorative effects.

SOC Code: 27-1024.00

Resources

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Comments

Leave a comment

josh (Highly likely) says
its easy to train ai on boring corporate designs
May 19, 2024 at 09:19 PM
Nikkolas (Highly likely) says
There's already a viral video out right now about a graphic designer who has 8 years of experience being made redundant by ai...
May 19, 2024 at 12:17 PM
Bob (Moderate) says
Due to the rise of generative AI, companies will be incentivized to use AI databases that are relevant to what they do in order to cut costs. While some demand for graphic designers may still exist for more creativity demanding areas, I believe it won't be enough to answer an increasing supply of out-of-job graphic designers
May 19, 2024 at 08:59 AM
marvin jakata (Moderate) says
i would say moderate because in as much as AI is coming there still will need that using touch combined with it but then also the market might become too overcrowded with more and more people coming into the design space.
Apr 17, 2024 at 06:53 AM
Wil says
Clients will not pay designers handsomely because 90 percent of the work will be done with Ai tools such as Dalle 3. Small adjustments takes minutes in photoshop and can be done in-house by almost anyone.
Apr 12, 2024 at 05:36 AM
Sponge Bob Squarepants (Uncertain) says
20 years is a long time. Would you have expected this AI boom twenty years ago? Who knows how fast AI will develop in the future. Imagine showing someone SORA twenty years ago. They would be in disbelief.

Graphic design is too broad of a term in my opinion. There's logo design, web design, package design, wayfinding design, branding, mobile design, t-shirt design, print design, poster design, and much more.

Digital art and illustrations I think are already under threat. When the art being generated is general and the boundaries of art are more forgiving, then the general nature of AI will thrive. But for more exacting work like logo design, web design, and package design, AI struggles from my experience.

I have played around with Adobe's built-in AI tools for Illustrator and Photoshop. While they're cool to play with, I often find myself wasting time playing prompt engineering, when I could have created something on my own faster. If I as a designer don't have patience to prompt-engineer my way into a design, I'm certain clients won't either.

There's also levels to graphic design. Maybe AI will get rid of the bad designers and the bad clients! But the precise, custom, unique work that many clients look for is hard to replace.

Lastly, being a graphic designer is more than just the technical skills. It's about directing a vision for the design. Even if AI is 100% perfect, it may not understand the client's needs.


Apr 11, 2024 at 04:31 PM
Agt (Low) says
Clients will get designs from automated AI, but they will start to look all very similar, lacking personality. A good graphic designer can listen to their clients and deliver what they ask, get feedback and adjust accordingly
Mar 21, 2024 at 02:09 AM
Loris (Highly likely) says
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is learning so fast that we are barely able to control its advancement. Even now, it's possible to create very high-quality videos and/or images. Before long, with the right prompt (or prompts), we will be able to specify the type of image, video, or message we want to be developed.
Mar 17, 2024 at 07:35 PM
Kev (Highly likely) says
Anyone who doesn't think that this will become automated in the next 5 years, is kidding themselves. the writing is on the walls
Mar 04, 2024 at 03:20 PM
Noah Siler (Highly likely) says
Dalle-3 is extremely good at making art, in the next 20 years the improvement will be substantial.
Jan 24, 2024 at 05:24 AM
Manuel says
In the next 20 months you mean…
Mar 22, 2024 at 02:09 PM
Andrew (Low) says
Clients can barely tell *me* what they want. Good luck telling an AI what they want. That requires much more creative and flexible human mindset
Jan 22, 2024 at 05:20 PM
Consider pivoting now that you can (Moderate) says
Honestly at this pace if AI doesn't slows down I do think it will replace human labor up to certain point. It already has provided really impressive tools that could be used to achieve a certain task with one or two designers, compared to before AI that you needed niche skills.

For example, composite specialized designers have already taken a toll. Sure AI generated composites are still funky, but with enough time all their flaws WILL be perfected.

I can't imagine a future that AI doesn't learns proper design theory and starts applying it, rendering mostly generalist graphic designers useless. More niche skills requiring a human to take decisions such as "Is this appropriate for the brand?" will still be needed, but I'm not sure still.

A few years ago there was a website that said "Artists can't be replaced because AI can't draw", and here we are. For as much as we try to guess AI will keep outperforming in ways we can't expect, until it happens.
Dec 28, 2023 at 06:17 AM
Samuel (Highly likely) says
AIs like Adobe Firefly are improving at being precise on which image you wish to create.
Nov 20, 2023 at 04:49 PM
dhaarini (Highly likely) says
there are websites like ideogram.ai that can generate logs with whatever text we want to add, by just prompting. certainly the demand of engineers will become low in the coming years
Sep 10, 2023 at 06:41 AM
Lucille (Low) says
As mentioned, one main part of it requires originality, human touch and knowledge and great examination and execution of details, plus having one graphic designer with great coverage in many forms of media can be better than 10 ais together
Aug 24, 2023 at 01:00 AM
d (No chance) says
Most commentary here is from people who are either very young or very removed from the actual profession of graphic design or most art that is used professionally. It is not, at all, a field that is about "generating" art or designs. It is about exactness, specificity, and unintuitive associations. Exactness from customers, developers, clients, coworkers, bosses, etc.

The problem that people don't seem to understand is that all the generative ai programs right now produce art that's very cool to look at and art that no one would ever pay for, because they don't understand the point of paying for art in the first place.

There are billions of cool images you get get for free online right now. Graphic designers already compete against that, and yet, they're still paid.

Why?

The reason why artists are paid is because people want something very specific, and all generative AI right now, and in the future, will fail the specificity requirement because it by nature has to give probabilistic (aka common) answers, and as people adapt to AI art existing, the demands on specificity will increase.
Aug 23, 2023 at 08:39 AM
Manish Joshi (No chance) says
Creativity can't be replaced
Aug 08, 2023 at 06:42 PM
Susan Shedlow (Moderate) says
Because the technology is rapidly advancing without regulations.
Jun 19, 2023 at 02:36 AM
Morgan Freeman (Highly likely) says
Unfortunately, digital art is something pattern recognition robots can produce quite well with minimal effort. Graphic designers are going the way of the dodos within the next 5 years. Soon, any non-artist will be able to create any digital image that they would like with a single prompt.
May 28, 2023 at 02:30 AM
Jeffrey Davis says
Designers who focus their practice on critical thinking — specifically creative problem solving — are at less risk of automation. Those designers that focus more on aesthetics and technique are at a much higher risk of obsolescence due to automation.

As a design educator at a university with a well respected communication design program who has embraced AI use by my junior/senior level students over the last two semesters, I have watched our students aided by AI, produce more strategic, well researched and well executed advertising and brand designs that far exceed their peers who are not using AI. I have seen the most progress in:
- organization
- accuracy
- time management
- writing skills
- iterative idea generation
- clarity of communication
- audience insights
- persona building
- animation
- automation of manual task
Their approach is more efficient and and happens much quicker allowing them more time for a more irrational process foe problem solving and concept generation and in turn allowing more time for refinement of initial design exploration, which lead to outcomes they far exceeded their expectations.
—-
In my 25-years as a design educator I have never seen this kind of student improvement and quality of outcomes in the above categories/areas.
—-
These students will — with a high degree of certainty— enter the market with a baseline knowledge of AI that will far exceed most of the more senior employees and management of the firms that will employ them. Most likely they will demonstrate better time management, process and modality engagement and organizational proficiency. Aided by AI and with an in-depth knowledge of AI they will be highly valued for their efficiency by offloading manual and time absorbing task like research, composing emails, etc. allowing them to be hyper focused on create problem-solving and more strategy solutions and outcomes.

We would reserve class time to discuss the ethics and implications of using AI covering, authenticity, originality, IP volitions, copyright violations. Additionally, In compliance with our University’s Code of Academic Honesty they include citations and attributions to what AI sources were used.
—-
Like most of us, I’m both excited and a bit apprehensive about AI. I’m optimistic that AI can help elevate and augment a designer’s approach and creative outcomes. The difficulty I face and an educator is the unprecedented pace at which AI is expanding. There is no doubt they AI will get abused and it will require guidelines and policies that are currently non existent.
May 19, 2023 at 01:31 PM

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