Lawyers

AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
23%
risk level
POLLING
33%
Based on 5,953 votes
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
9.6%
by year 2032
WAGES
$145,760
or $70.07 per hour
Volume
731,340
as of 2023
SUMMARY
JOB SCORE
8.3/10

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Automation risk

23% (Low Risk)

Low Risk (21-40%): Jobs in this level have a limited risk of automation, as they demand a mix of technical and human-centric skills.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some very important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Negotiation

  • Persuasion

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Social Perceptiveness

  • Originality

User poll

33% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted there's a low chance this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 23% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Lawyers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?






Sentiment

The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (quarterly)

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Very fast growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Lawyers' job openings is expected to rise 9.6% by 2032

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2023.

Wages

Very high paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Lawyers' was $145,760, or $70 per hour

'Lawyers' were paid 203.3% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Significantly greater range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 731,340 people employed as 'Lawyers' within the United States.

This represents around 0.48% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 207 people are employed as 'Lawyers'.

Job description

Represent clients in criminal and civil litigation and other legal proceedings, draw up legal documents, or manage or advise clients on legal transactions. May specialize in a single area or may practice broadly in many areas of law.

SOC Code: 23-1011.00

Comments

Leave a comment

Bigmonkey123 (Low) 15 days ago
I think the puplic won’t really want a robot defending them
1 1 Reply
J 10 days ago
I worked in the job, and robots are nicer than many humans. And even professional receptionists.

They'll do less errors, and don't require sleep. No more receptionist that is away. Longer opening hours.

Why do you say robots have no empathy, you fillthy racist? They have it. Robots would probably beat you up.
0 2 Reply
jim jim (Moderate) 15 days ago
AI will know and understand the law better than any human could.
2 0 Reply
J (No chance) 16 days ago
Being a lawyer requires understanding emotion, being able to improvise, and thinking out of the box.

These are the tasks that robots won't be able to fulfill for at least a decade from now.
0 1 Reply
J (No chance) 16 days ago
Being a lawyer requires understanding emotion, being able to improvise, and thinking out of the box.

These are the tasks that robots won't be able to fulfill for at least a decade from now.
1 0 Reply
AIPredictor (Low) 17 days ago
It is a low chance that a lawyer's job would be replaced by robots because of the fact that AI lacks the fundamental arguing skills and the "human" perspective into the side of things. An example of this would be if a lawyer is defending a client by saying the statement, "What would you do in this situation" and working your way up to it was the best decision they could have made. Also the robot lawyers would have to base their arguments off of data, which would mean their own lawyer would turn against them if having more proof for the other side
1 0 Reply
ez (Low) 19 days ago
this job requires skills like persuasion, originality, social perceptiveness, and more, which make it hard to automate.
1 0 Reply
Daddy Dirtbag (No chance) 22 days ago
Robots would be way less convincing
1 0 Reply
James (Low) 22 days ago
Lawyers are one of few occupations that require persuasivness to be good at your job. An AI cannot immitate human persuasivness unless it is made to be socially and mentally aware. This is a very unlikely scenario as it would come with big risk factors.
1 0 Reply
Niran (No chance) 22 days ago
Persuading a robot is impossible, or persuading as a robot.
1 0 Reply
shyla acharya (No chance) 26 days ago
No, I do not believe that lawyers would atleast in the next 20 years have any such automation risk, reason being that this occupation requires multiple human centric skills, which are inherent to human beings. While certain aspects of this profession can be polished through automated assistance but full automation seems imposible as of now.
1 0 Reply
jesiah! (Low) 1 month ago
the job requires way too much complicated thinking for ai to completely over take it
1 0 Reply
Jorge Ruiz (Highly likely) 2 months ago
Most of the time, you contact a lawyer for small cases, when you need quick and effective legal advice. For these cases, a trained AI system will be just fine.
0 0 Reply
a 2 months ago
no way. honestly it would take time to develop technology to that level, especially with the quick thinking and if something doesn't go their way or what they were programmed.
1 0 Reply
Phoenix5869 (No chance) 3 months ago
No chance in the next 20 years. Lawyers have such a high stakes, complicated job, and I think it`s extremely unlikely they will be automated anytime soon. maybe in 30-35 years, but not 20. 20 years is honestly pretty ridiculous.
0 0 Reply
Milan 3 months ago
Lawyers obviously deal with the law and since the law is public information, the data to train such an AI is very accessible. Prior fillings and court opinions also provide AI with how to structure arguments. I definitely think AI will definitely be a highly effective law clerk and save time on research but there will also be plenty of restriction on it's use and jury presentation can be a bit theatrical but AI will not garnish the sympathy of jurors.
0 0 Reply
u/thebigvsbattlesfan (Moderate impact) 3 months ago
For legal reasons, this job may be protected from AI
1 0 Reply
Alex (Highly likely) 5 months ago
Transactional lawyers do a lot of writing on the basis of standardized documents and precedents. Roaming documents and combining clauses will be easily replaced by AI
0 0 Reply
fimgus (No chance) 7 months ago
Absolutely not in the next twenty years, at least in the US. The modern justice system has been in place far too long to immediately switch to something completely different. Even if AI was somehow better at defending people than an actual lawyer, the sheer idea of a robot being able to decide the fate of a criminal is terrifying.
Plus, a lot of lawyers have strong political connections and a lot of money and influence. No way they'd willingly allow themselves to be replaced by AI.
0 0 Reply
Kyugo (No chance) 8 months ago
the need to be able to feel and understand emotions is the difference between first second and third degrees of murder. if you do not understand how emotion works you might end up convicting someone with 1st degree that shaould habve gotten 2nd degree, and the poor guy who should have gotten 3rd degree may get 2nd or first degree instead.
0 0 Reply
Tony (Highly likely) 9 months ago
Because I already use AI to search for my legal options
0 0 Reply
celeste 8 days ago
bro you can do that with a regular search engine (i don't see lawyers being replaced by search engines)
0 0 Reply
Tamás (Moderate) 10 months ago
I reckon AI can search within law databases, can write contracts, can make due diligence, etc. However human oversight - at least to some extent - must be always present.
0 0 Reply

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