Computer Programmers

AUTOMATION RISK

CALCULATED

70%

risk level

POLLING

63%

Based on 9,561 votes

LABOR DEMAND

GROWTH

-10.2 %

by year 2032

WAGES

$99,700

or $47.93 per hour

Volume

120,370

as of 2023

SUMMARY

JOB SCORE

3.8/10

70% (High Risk)

High Risk (61-80%): Jobs in this category face a significant threat from automation, as many of their tasks can be easily automated using current or near-future technologies.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Sentiment

The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (quarterly)

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Wages

Very high paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Computer Programmers' was $99,700, or $47 per hour

'Computer Programmers' were paid 107.4% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

Comments

Leave a comment

Mistral Claude 10 days ago

Here is the thing my dudes. As professional programer (30 years on the job, so of that thing even replaces out job, I will surely be retired already anyway) I tried chatgpt, copilot, Claude and even Mistral for coding. They are all pretty darn helpful to code on nephew level...you know, that terrible code we got from a 3rd party to maintain? Yeah. It goes great on that level. It's also great to do start level stuff that has been done 1000s of times. Try doing something new though, or some actual logic, and they fail, always. And never even realize they are failing. The reason is pretty simple. what we have (the llms) are not real AIs. When (if) we have a real AI, then, the moment a computer can replicate human level programming, is also the moment the computer can code another AI doesn't it? What would happen if it can code a AI better than itself?

4 0 Reply

Ritchie Duncan (Highly likely) 13 days ago

AI suites such as ChatGPT etc have the ability to code functions in a variety of languages and for various platforms. A simple description of the function to be created, along with the system, such as Visual Studio, Unity etc allows the code to be copied and pasted into the code base.
Arguably within the next 10 years, programmers, in the form we know them now, will be obsolete.

0 1 Reply

Socks 9 days ago

Until AI programs can always fix everything in e.g. app that is being made as well as in themselves they will be just a tool for already competent programmer that has to understand most details anyway.

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s (Low) 15 days ago

it wouldn't be completely automated, but a lot of lower level - intermediate programming will probably be automated.

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I know jobs (Moderate) 15 days ago

It is pretty easy to program but a computer can´t code a computer

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Anonymous (Low) 19 days ago

Their code is efficient but they can’t replicate originality

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John (Highly likely) 19 days ago

I've never programmed a day in my life but not only was I able to program a working game but also a point of sales program for a business by telling AI exactly what I needed and it made changes to each program...

0 1 Reply

skibidi (Highly likely) 19 days ago

AI can already write code pretty well, so in 20 years it's highly likely it will be automated

0 1 Reply

Anon (Moderate) 21 days ago

There's a lot of coding done by AI already. Eventually, there will be a job that just runs these AIs who write code.

0 0 Reply

ooga 22 days ago

Small chance that they'll take over our jobs, computers can't really figure out basic principles of codes, let alone thousands of lines of code (I tried this, didn't work)

2 0 Reply

mgyt (Uncertain) 22 days ago

Because AI's are being overtrained. If you try to make an entire program only using AI, you just can't. And they will have a lot of vulnerabilities

0 0 Reply

Osman (Moderate) 23 days ago

Programming will always require human intervention, it can not be all controlled by AI

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idk (Moderate) 23 days ago

while automation basically runs on programming, and it would be logical to think programming would be automated easily with ai, programming takes creativity, and out of the box thinking, which automation cant replicate. i think it would still be possible to be automated, but there will always be a place for programmers. no matter what.

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Nipple (Uncertain) 24 days ago

Even though AI is already capable at making basic code/scripts (After a few tries to tweak flaws), it probably won't be able to automate advance aspects of computer programming unless the necessary improvements are made regarding accurate generation as well as more source code to gather information from. In short, it can make games like Snake, Minesweeper and Tetris, but it won't be able to make games like Minecraft, Call of Duty, Fortnite and others that require very complex scripts/code and the human brain to be able to have the creativity AND the power to use it when making those games. Computer Programmers aren't exactly 'save' but it is hard to completely automate...


At least not in 20 years.

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Hamood (No chance) 24 days ago

Because we are the ones who will create ai if ai is able to create programs it can create multiple versions of itself thus breaking the ai rule that it must obey and follow all humans

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Le Jacob (Moderate) 25 days ago

computer code could be automated, hovewer, its possible that europe could regulate AI for jobs about programming

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mugumnr (Highly likely) 25 days ago

ai is already able to do simple ones give 20 more years its over

1 0 Reply

Harry (Moderate) 1 month ago

AI will replace the simple part of work, but human capabilities are still needed.

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Ričards Šēns (No chance) 1 month ago

Nobody will trust code not written by humans(AI hostile take-over risk), and currently, AI produces barely functional code for very simple tasks.

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John 19 days ago

No one hardly cares even now, people will download anything and use it.. Functionality over everything..

0 0 Reply

elliot (Highly likely) 2 months ago

Dude chatgpt is already making games.

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Scatter (Low) 3 months ago

Personally, I believe programming is far too advanced for an AI to take over in the next 20 years. AI bases its knowledge off of sources, and not experience (acquired as a human) and logical thinking (every humans has), which is crucial for such tasks. Most games don't allow access to their source code either, so AI doesn't have that much material to learn from anyway.

0 0 Reply