Web Developers

AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
53%
risk level
POLLING
61%
Based on 1,812 votes
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
30.3%
by year 2032
WAGES
$84,960
or $40.84 per hour
Volume
85,350
as of 2023
SUMMARY
JOB SCORE
5.9/10

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Automation risk

53% (Moderate Risk)

Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Originality

User poll

61% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted that it's probable this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 53% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Web Developers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?






Sentiment

The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (quarterly)

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Very fast growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Web Developers' job openings is expected to rise 30.3% by 2032

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2023.

Wages

High paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Web Developers' was $84,960, or $40 per hour

'Web Developers' were paid 76.8% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Moderate range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 85,350 people employed as 'Web Developers' within the United States.

This represents around 0.06% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 1 thousand people are employed as 'Web Developers'.

Job description

Develop and implement websites, web applications, application databases, and interactive web interfaces. Evaluate code to ensure that it is properly structured, meets industry standards, and is compatible with browsers and devices. Optimize website performance, scalability, and server-side code and processes. May develop website infrastructure and integrate websites with other computer applications.

SOC Code: 15-1254.00

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Comments

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Ivo (Low) says
Yes, current versions of AI can spew out code that is semi-coherent even absolutely on point right now, but still requires a lot of oversight. I have doubts that it will be able to fully understand the assignments without detailed guidance, for which an actual person is needed. The AI will ease the work of developers, but not replace it.
Jul 09, 2024 at 04:20 PM
Kevin (Low) says
The job of web development requires creativity, and thinking outside the box.
Jul 04, 2024 at 09:47 AM
Scorpreb (Moderate) says
Nowadays, web development can easily be done with the help of AI and AI tools.
Jun 27, 2024 at 06:38 PM
Subbu (Uncertain) says
Because, web developer's job is not a 100% human only job, but robots can't completely takeover as its might required human creativity
Jun 13, 2024 at 02:15 PM
The guy (Moderate) says
Because AI might be good at helping you generate loops and snippets of code to find solutions, but asking an AI to make a dedicated, advanced and working app is like asking a cat to get off of your keyboard. It ain't going to happen.
May 24, 2024 at 09:12 PM
Roushan Gupta (Uncertain) says
I voted uncertain because of human desire will change and hance complexity of automating this will change!
May 17, 2024 at 09:48 AM
mhm says
That's a very valid point. Human desire is endless and it makes it more complex over and over. There's nowhere to end the problems, problems occur endlessly no matter how technologies improve.
Jul 08, 2024 at 03:54 AM
John (Moderate) says
I am a web developer and often leverage AI. Once to test Gemini, I asked it to write me simple code in tailwind for a carousel based on the image input. I copy pasted the code into my VS code and guess what? The entire work I have been doing till now got bugged. I tried making some adaptive changes like renaming classes and all and finally, there was no reason to collide with my code. But still, the code doesn't seem to work.
What I am trying to say is AI is helpful but it can never be enough to give code for a customized fully functioning website because some aspects like hover colours all require some kind of human touch. While cheap dudes will be happy with these results, big businesses and brands still need web developers. Website is also more than coding and includes many aspects like brand identity, customer target, etc. something AI can't mimic.
May 02, 2024 at 06:33 AM
Chloe .c (Highly likely) says
Since robots will be advanced enough to make it into the industry
Apr 27, 2024 at 04:07 AM
regret in choosing cs a says
this job is doomed to be replaced, im surprised its not 100% risk on here, and i am doomed too
Apr 24, 2024 at 01:46 AM
The guy says
No, because AI might be good at generating CSS and simple sorting logic for an array of numbers. But tell it to fix a problem in your code, and it will bug the app out. I asked for a solution once for my React app. It solved the problem, but later that day I found out it had created an infinite loop, which crashed my app when an event was called. I had to reset the back a few commits.

That is what one gets by blindly trusting the code AI gives you. 
May 24, 2024 at 09:19 PM
Jobless coder says
Devin already killed this job...
Apr 21, 2024 at 08:00 AM
Sudip Paul (Low) says
Because it's need creativity and understanding of whole context ai can't it can't build something of it's own totally new
Mar 29, 2024 at 08:54 PM
Egon (Highly likely) says
The recent advancements seen in the use of ChatGPT, Devin and GitHub Copilot are all hinting that the jobs of beginners and moderately skilled Web-developers are highly likely to be taken by AI and its subsequent technologies.
Mar 24, 2024 at 04:58 PM
Mega_Mind says
Although AI is capable of creating a website or web apps, it could never replace experienced people.
Imagine an average human trying to create a website. They have no idea about optimization, SEO, security, transferring a domain name, or any other variables and possibilities in the process of creating a website; There are countless things to consider.
An AI technology itself is in need for an engineer to maintain it.
I tried created some designs using AI, and I tragically failed because I have no experience in graphic design.
Mar 16, 2024 at 03:35 PM
stan (Highly likely) says
chatgpt already can generate fully-fledged web pages that you can customize using prompts.
Mar 14, 2024 at 08:00 AM
Ivo says
Web Developer doesn't do just design (which ChatGPT fails miserably by my experience), web developers can do front end and back end development. If you try to ask a chatbot to do a bit more complex assignment where static variables and functions are needed it cannot differentiate if it is needed or not. It regurgitates the code it was trained on and can parrot back real good. The job is pretty secure until a model appears that can mimic a creative thought.
Jul 09, 2024 at 04:25 PM
Sean (Highly likely) says
AI is already able to generate code, in particular code that solves common and simple issues that already have solutions online as part of the AI's database. Currently the AI's code generation ability is not good enough to replace the developer but that will likely change in the next years as web development frameworks compete to integrate AI.

The integration of AI into these frameworks will allow it to generate and test much more complicate code effectively, allowing web designers to interatct with the framework on their own to get the code they need without any need for a developer, as the technical skill required to interact with such a framework will become much shallower.
Feb 17, 2024 at 01:18 PM
Anonymous says
Front-end developers who only know how to utilize frameworks, (I will call them frameworkers) will be replaced by AI.

There are already front-ends built by AI that have been trained on frameworks. Front-end developers must upskill by learning actual low level programming to further develop their frameworks, or transition into a back-end role, which will require actual programming skills. Front-end developers who do know how to program will be alright.

Frameworking is in no way similar to software engineering, ie engineering frameworks, or back-end data pipes. Software engineers will not be replaced as they are the ones creating such frameworks for frameworkers and AI alike.
Feb 16, 2024 at 01:05 AM
The guy says
As a front-end developer who pretty much only uses frameworks... I have never felt more insulted by her words with such truth! And just for that, I'm going back-end, just because of the spite I feel for you.
May 24, 2024 at 09:23 PM
Keith Lamb (No chance) says
I believe it has no chance of automation because there will always be better ways to develop and change software and the original ideas that we create.
Feb 15, 2024 at 04:07 AM
Dan (Highly likely) says
We already have tools to transform Figma designs into semi-working code (with React/Angular/Vue, tailwind, etc).
Even though these are not fully functional at the moment, to think we will stagnate on this for 20 years seems absurd to me. At the very least the job will transform into 90% AI-generated code, and 10% human guidance and adjustments
Jan 23, 2024 at 09:48 PM
fimgus (Moderate) says
The profession will not go away in its entirety. There will still be companies that will look to hire talented developers in order to stand out, yet, I could see amateur entrepreneurs begin to rely on AI tools more often to create vast amounts of websites.
Dec 23, 2023 at 03:35 AM
Giulia (Moderate) says
AIs like ChatGPT can already produce a simple example of a website (I tested front-end side only).

I believe that, when building a web platform, the requirements analysis and the infrastructure design will still be done by humans for a very long time since they require advanced communication skills to fully understand the client's requests and their implications. However, the actual coding part can, more or less easily, be automated since, once the requirements have been specified, it doesn't require skills other than an advanced knowledge of the needed programming languages and tools and a certain degree of logic abilities, all of which can be achieved by AIs.

Therefore, I find it likely that at least this part of web development will be automated in the future.
Dec 14, 2023 at 10:04 AM

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