Writers and Authors

AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
49%
risk level
POLLING
36%
Based on 1,173 votes
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
4.1%
by year 2032
WAGES
$73,150
or $35.17 per hour
Volume
54,010
as of 2022
SUMMARY
JOB SCORE
5.3/10

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Automation risk

49% (Moderate Risk)

Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Originality

  • Persuasion

  • Social Perceptiveness

Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation

We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.

However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.

Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.

Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.

Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.

User poll

36% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted there's a low chance this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 49% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Writers and Authors will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?






Sentiment

The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (quarterly)

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Moderate growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Writers and Authors' job openings is expected to rise 4.1% by 2032

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2023.

Wages

High paid relative to other professions

In 2022, the median annual wage for 'Writers and Authors' was $73,150, or $35 per hour

'Writers and Authors' were paid 58.0% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $46,310

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Moderate range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2022 there were 54,010 people employed as 'Writers and Authors' within the United States.

This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 2 thousand people are employed as 'Writers and Authors'.

Job description

Originate and prepare written material, such as scripts, stories, advertisements, and other material.

SOC Code: 27-3043.00

Resources

Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?

Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.

If you're thinking of starting a new career, or looking to change jobs, we've created a handy job search tool which might just help you land that perfect new role.

Search jobs in your local area

Comments

Leave a comment

Andrei (Highly likely) says
Chatgpt is better than most authours on the planet right now.
Jan 20, 2023 at 09:01 PM
Writer (Moderate) says
It's difficult to say. As an author myself I deeply hope that human writers continue to flourish. It is clear that through AI the number of stories on the market will rise. The market will become saturated with average stories and the need to differentiate ourselves through our writing quality and our human brand will become ever more important.

Personally I went into this field because I absolutely thought I could write better than the average book, and that the "cream will rise to the top". I still believe this is true.

Where I get worried is if AI can learn to write fiction really well. Can an AI in 10 years learn beyond what it is taught (fed average books) and create amazing stories? That's what really scares me.

Will people want to read a story written by an AI or will people want to read stories written by humans? There's an element of detachment when reading AI writing and the uncanny valley effect might take hold when we read an AI trying to present human emotions through character. We will know - whoever put those words down did not understand them and they will have less meaning. Or will they? If they make sense they make sense. If it has emotional impact it has emotional impact - even if that was replicated through pulp learning and mastered through engagement scores.

Scary times to be a writer - to have any job. But this was always my dream and so I know deep down there's no chance I'll give up on it. Even if I can only build two thousand loyal readers, that is enough to make a living, and I'll do that through being very very human and marketing myself face first.
Jan 16, 2023 at 05:13 AM
Lola (Likely) (Moderate) says
Chat bots are getting crafty. Obviously they can’t replicate an original human’s true emotional journey, but for most things, such as instructional packets, robots may be preferred since they’re cheaper, less prone to mistakes, and won’t quit suddenly.
Jan 05, 2023 at 01:37 AM
Nil (Highly likely) says
Copy.ai website already writes blog posts in seconds. This field is already lost.
Dec 12, 2022 at 12:58 PM
Eden (No chance) says
I wouldn't read a book written by AI. Replacing authors would promote illiteracy.
Oct 03, 2022 at 07:58 PM
Someone who is passionate about storytelling (No chance) says
The thing about creative writing is that it requires, well, creativity. Humans are the only things on earth with the ability to think creatively. It's so impressive, that it can never be replicated. Storytelling is not a matter of algorithms or programs, it is generated by raw human emotion and thoughts. Some may gesture to the AI programs people are making that can auto-generate a story or script, but have you actually seen what those things make? Their stories are absolutely ridiculous, and are meant to be laughed at for how bad they are. If anything, these programs are further proof that no creative art-form, be it writing, painting, or the sort, can never truly be replaced by the machines. If I were you, I wouldn't worry about it, not for another billion years.
Apr 15, 2022 at 06:25 PM
PKN (Highly likely) says
I work with AI within the book industry. It's already incredibly advanced.
Feb 10, 2022 at 09:06 PM
Zen (No chance) says
Writing fiction needs creativity so robots won't replace human on this
Feb 04, 2022 at 10:54 AM
Sparsha (No chance) says
Writing takes a lot of skill that AI could never be programmed to do.
Nov 06, 2021 at 12:25 PM
Vuk Lazarevic (Low) says
There are various AI rephrasing and writing tools but these are not advanced enough to create non-plagiarized content.
Oct 01, 2021 at 11:00 AM
R (No chance) says
Ok I just saw this and wanted to comment so bad. I’m not planning on becoming a writer but even I’m saying what to this one lol. Replace writers and authors with robots? Can’t say I see how robotizing authors would work considering an author writes from his/her own originality and own imagination/thoughts. Unless the ai is self aware too I doubt this very much so
Sep 30, 2021 at 04:13 AM
Being (No chance) says
No technology can take over creativity because it comes from the brain and heart and these twos come from Allah and Allah blessed every human being with these twos (heart and brain), and no power can take over nature because the nature's Lord is Superpower.
Sep 12, 2021 at 02:31 AM
Annette Partida (No chance) says
Robots will never have the emotional/psychological/spiritual/organic/limited experience humans do. Robots are automated and cannot die physically. They will never have a body that bleeds or ages. They will never have to work hard, endlessly, and depend on hope for a goal. They do not eat nor sleep nor give physical birth nor feel pain when they are lied to or betrayed. Because they will never have the experience of truly being human, they will never be able to reconstruct the human world and all of its wonders and horrors, or even the simplest joy of having a pet goldfish or the despair we feel when scrapping a knee when they fall off a bike, in their code successfully. Singularity is nearer than we think, but there will be human aspects a robot will never be able to replicate because they will never be human. Unless they are hybridised, but that is another topic completely.
Aug 31, 2021 at 10:11 AM
ali (No chance) says
if robots replace writing then they probably will replace everything
Jul 08, 2021 at 07:12 AM
Simon Cherilev (No chance) says
Because, we need feeling and creativity to create a new word in the boundaries of words and pages.
Jun 19, 2021 at 04:36 AM
it's likely says
I think AI will be able to write good books in five to ten years. The question is if people will want to read them.
Apr 25, 2021 at 09:53 PM
Rikki (No chance) says
LOL. XD
I'd never read a book written by a robot who's just a piece of junk.
Apr 20, 2021 at 01:42 PM
Tim Marsh says
This segment needs to be broken into subgroups. We're a long way from AI-written novels that are popular. We already have AI writing product descriptions, weather reports, and social media content. GPT-3 makes writing faster for human writers, putting others out of work.

The problem is not creativity, it is continuity and logic. Both of these issues are currently being tackled and already causing improvements. Computers are better at thinking something random than people are. Creativity is the process of recognising the valuable bits in the randomness and discarding the rest. The rest of creativity is simply problem solving, and we're seeing AI get better at this quickly.

Advances in these areas will continue to erode away the most basic writing jobs. Song lyrics won't be far behind.
Mar 22, 2021 at 06:32 AM
Ella says
I’ve heard differently. I bet that there’s more of a chance, coz can’t you just program a robot to analyse a genre or a book and produce a story that’s enjoyable? You wouldn’t even need an editor for it because robots won’t make mistakes unless their programmed to. I think robots will take the job, but authors should remain!
Feb 26, 2021 at 07:19 AM
Anonymouse (Low) says
Harry Potter and the Order of the Thumbdrive

It's happening, we're too late
Feb 17, 2021 at 04:14 AM

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