Writers and Authors
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Automation risk
High Risk (61-80%): Jobs in this category face a significant threat from automation, as many of their tasks can be easily automated using current or near-future technologies.
More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.
Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation
We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.
However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.
Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.
Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.
Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.
User poll
Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. However, the automation risk level we have generated suggests a much higher chance of automation: 60% chance of automation.
What do you think the risk of automation is?
What is the likelihood that Writers and Authors will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?
Sentiment
The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.
Sentiment over time (quarterly)
Sentiment over time (yearly)
Growth
The number of 'Writers and Authors' job openings is expected to rise 4.1% by 2032
Total employment, and estimated job openings
Updated projections are due 09-2023.
Wages
In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Writers and Authors' was $73,690, or $35 per hour
'Writers and Authors' were paid 53.3% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060
Wages over time
Volume
As of 2023 there were 49,450 people employed as 'Writers and Authors' within the United States.
This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country
Put another way, around 1 in 3 thousand people are employed as 'Writers and Authors'.
Job description
Originate and prepare written material, such as scripts, stories, advertisements, and other material.
SOC Code: 27-3043.00
Comments
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Although they have a chance, AI can never reach the same level of imagination that we humans have when it comes to stories and fiction.
Though I have very little hope for humanity in the future, I still believe humans can change for the better.
Personally, I would hate to see the art of storytelling to be turned over to machines.
ChatGPT is not going to write things that people care about. This isn't because chatgpt is a bad writer - it's because people primarily consume written content because of the person behind it. Since the dawn of the internet, and even before, there have been an infinite number of takes, a vast supply of content. Yet, somehow, people still pay for newspapers, and substacks, and books, and all sorts of things that are seemingly available for free with just a Google search. It's because of the particulars of that person's perspective, not just "story good" or "take good."
There are already far more failed writers than successful ones, and far more failed "in the style of" works than actual successful works. What AI will do is simply raise the stakes for what it takes to be a successful writer or author, since it establishes a baseline commodity. However, that baseline is already very, very high.
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