Surgeons, All Other

Minimal Risk
10%

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Vote Comments (33)
AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
0.0%
(Minimal Risk)
POLLING
21%
(Low Risk, Based on 690 votes)
Average: 10%
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
4.3%
by year 2033
WAGES
The median wage for this occupation is currently unknown
Volume
26,370
as of 2023
SUMMARY
What does this snowflake show?
The Snowflake is a visual summary of the five badges: Automation Risk (calculated), Risk (polled), Growth, Wages and Volume. It gives you an instant snapshot of an occupations profile. The colour of the Snowflake relates to its size. The better the occupation scores in relation to others, the larger and greener the Snowflake becomes.
JOB SCORE
7.0/10
What's this?
Job Score (higher is better):

We rate jobs using four factors. These are:

- Chance of being automated
- Job growth
- Wages
- Volume of available positions

These are some key things to think about when job hunting.

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Calculated automation risk

0.0% (Minimal Risk)

Minimal Risk (0-20%): Occupations in this category have a low probability of being automated, as they typically demand complex problem-solving, creativity, strong interpersonal skills, and a high degree of manual dexterity. These jobs often involve intricate hand movements and precise coordination, making it difficult for machines to replicate the required tasks.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some very important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Assisting and Caring for Others

  • Manual Dexterity

  • Finger Dexterity

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Social Perceptiveness

  • Originality

User poll

21% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted there's a low chance this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 0.0% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Surgeons, All Other will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?

Sentiment

The following graph is shown where there are enough votes to produce meaningful data. It displays user poll results over time, providing a clear indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Moderate growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Surgeons, All Other' job openings is expected to rise 4.3% by 2033

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2023 and 2033
Updated projections are due 09-2025.

Volume

Lower range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 26,370 people employed as 'Surgeons, All Other' within the United States.

This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 5 thousand people are employed as 'Surgeons, All Other'.

Job description

All surgeons not listed separately.

SOC Code: 29-1249.00

Comments (33)

Leave a comment
Anonymous
04 Apr 2022 10:05
Surgeons won't be automated for a long time. Also, do you really think people would trust a robot? I sure wouldn't. All it takes is one malfunction or software error and you're finished.
Elon Musk
09 Oct 2023 14:37
well, do you think humans don't have errors and make mistakes? Do you even understand how AI and robotics work? Doesn't sound like it.
000
08 May 2024 14:54
But like, aren't surgeons highly trained for like eight years or more or something? They are way more reliable than a robot swinging around in your open chest. I don't think you understand how skilled surgeons really are.
MJ
11 Jan 2024 14:27
I mean, all it takes is one slip of the hand for you to be finished as well. In the future, I don't see why AI would be less accurate than humans, as they don't have to account for human error. Surgery having a 0% automation risk is ludicrous. Of course you wouldn't trust it right now since AI is still in it's infancy age, but it will get far better than we could possibly imagine.
No one
24 Jun 2025 15:25
If a doctor makes a mistake, you have the right to sue him and it may even lead to his license being revoked. This will cause him many problems. Imagine years of your life's study and work going by in a matter of seconds. Personally, I would rather have a doctor make a mistake than a robot. If a robot makes a mistake, what would you do? Pour a bucket of water on it? Sue the selfish company?
TECHNOBLADE NEVER DIES (Moderate)
07 Jul 2024 06:31
robots are already helping, and eventually they may be able to do surgeries by themselves, but somebody has to control the robots too
morsal (Low)
11 Oct 2025 22:49
brain surgery requires precision, and could end in life or death if not taken care of correctly. You never know when machinery can malfunction.
Hajarh (No chance)
24 Jun 2025 15:14
In my opinion, humans will not do that because they will not trust a robot with their lives, especially since if it makes a mistake, it will not be legally or morally punished by having its certificate and license revoked, but rather it will be replaced or treated.
Jabobski (No chance)
25 Apr 2024 02:07
Accidents in programing could cause fatal damage and lots of deaths
Playmylevel (Highly likely)
24 Apr 2023 17:23
There are already robots that have been developed for surgery, and using robots instead of humans can allow for way more precision
Jabobski Mahomi Skibidias Rizzi Misimgablo
25 Apr 2024 02:10
depends what type of surgery the robot will be performing
Yi is banana (No chance)
20 Mar 2025 01:17
Too many glitches
Dfyy (Moderate)
30 Dec 2024 03:27
Because robots are getting increasingly good at precise jobs. They could do surgery in some cases.
Hajar
24 Jun 2025 15:18
But would you trust them with your life so that they would not be punished if they caused you permanent disability and ruined your life? There is always a margin for error.
Economist (Highly likely)
14 Jun 2024 01:29
Incentive to replace highest paid employees with upfront investment combined with low maintenance costs - economic incentive will outweigh liability risk as technologies and data sets advance
Malala (No chance)
09 May 2023 05:32
Too many regulations in the medical industry
Dolly
13 Jan 2025 05:10
There will be a relationship between the robot performing the treatment and a human assistant. Human will be needed to supervise the robot, to develop new methods and to provide a safety net in case of mistakes. It is easier and cheaper to train a robot, and such technologies already exist. In most medical professions, a person will remain as a researcher and a connecter with patient through empathy. The robot will provide better quality medical care and is less likely to make mistakes; unfortunately, here mistakes costs a life.
Hajar
24 Jun 2025 15:15
logical answer
m (Highly likely)
30 May 2024 15:37
It is highly likely. Many robotic technologies are now being used in operations. A surgeon will only be controlling the robot, and afterward, in about 20 years, will be independently automated.
Jimmy (No chance)
14 Nov 2023 01:10
because robots are most likely to make mistakes and kill people
Dr Suggon Deeznots
22 Nov 2024 19:21
no robot surgeon has ever killed a person, but doctors make mistakes all the time. you nincompoop
atharv
13 Dec 2024 16:05
i agree
Hajar
24 Jun 2025 15:21
As far as I know, robotic surgeries are expensive, simple, and the risk is minimal, even for a novice surgeon.
Hamood (No chance)
31 Oct 2023 02:15
Too complicated to make a robot that can do many surgeries. Too risky to put a robot in healthcare.
Andrew (No chance)
23 Mar 2023 13:00
You need the interaction between the doctor and patient to read the body language and emphasise with him and have a perception about the pain
Alexandra (Highly likely)
27 Jan 2022 18:43
We already have startups like Star, which want to automate and democratize surgeries. Even though we aren't there yet, I think that automated surgery can increase surgery quality while driving down prices.
Karl
01 Dec 2023 08:06
I wouldn't lend much credence to that. Even if automated surgery were an option it would still require extensive supervision from actual surgeons. Surgeries are volatile endeavors involving volatile individuals. Possibilities that robots alone won't be able to account for at least for decades to come.
CAROLINE (Moderate)
12 Sep 2024 04:50
Because you see AI is developing .There are already technology that helps with surgery so that may DEVELOPE.
chat we're so cooked
07 Jul 2024 23:12
I've read through the comments, and most people say that "AI will cause accidents and fatalities" without considering how a single hand twitch could end your life. Machine error happens less than human error, after all.

Also, surgeons don't require the same empathy factor as something like psychologists. The 0% replacement rate seems absurd, considering how much AI will advance in the next twenty years. Surgeons may be the ones to operate and give instructions to the machines, but this job (like basically every other job under the sun) will be hit hard by AI.
NAZLY GARCÉS MURILLO (No chance)
18 May 2024 08:59
Because I believe that surgeons will be the ones operating the machines, given that these machines cannot take control of themselves and generate real and healthy results for the patients.
SurgeonExec (Moderate)
23 Aug 2025 10:42
At Johns Hopkins University they developped a Robot that succesfully completed gallbladder surgery without human help.
UNAnon
05 Sep 2025 15:11
I'd love to see journal paper on this, cuz now I only found some articles with biblical amount of glazing.

Although I hope this field will find many more breakthroughs like this one. Surely AI robotics will take a big part in "easier" surgeries (ex. carpal tunnel), but I think for now it won't take surgeon job in more complicated procedures (ex. Whipple) for a long long time.
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