Locomotive Engineers
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Calculated automation risk
Imminent Risk (81-100%): Occupations in this level have an extremely high likelihood of being automated in the near future. These jobs consist primarily of repetitive, predictable tasks with little need for human judgment.
More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.
User poll
Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. However, the automation risk level we have generated suggests a much higher chance of automation: 80% chance of automation.
What do you think the risk of automation is?
What is the likelihood that Locomotive Engineers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?
Sentiment
The following graph is included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.
Sentiment over time (yearly)
Growth
The number of 'Locomotive Engineers' job openings is expected to rise 4.7% by 2032
Total employment, and estimated job openings
Updated projections are due 09-2024.
Wages
In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Locomotive Engineers' was $74,770, or $35 per hour
'Locomotive Engineers' were paid 55.6% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060
Wages over time
Volume
As of 2023 there were 32,390 people employed as 'Locomotive Engineers' within the United States.
This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country
Put another way, around 1 in 4 thousand people are employed as 'Locomotive Engineers'.
Job description
Drive electric, diesel-electric, steam, or gas-turbine-electric locomotives to transport passengers or freight. Interpret train orders, electronic or manual signals, and railroad rules and regulations.
SOC Code: 53-4011.00
Resources
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Comments
I live in a major metropolitan area, and there's a train/road crossing with signs warning of automated trains being in use there. Computers won't have to "learn" the different types of signals and rules, as they will be programmed in by (fallible) humans.
There is/has been a lawsuit by a bunch of families of British servicemen and servicewomen who were killed in CH-47 helicopter crashes in which those helos had been converted to FADEC (they still had human pilots). The lawsuit blames the crashes on failure of the computerized throttle controls. (With FADEC, by design, the computer overrules the pilots' inputs to the throttle controls.)
So, with money as the driving force, *some* sort of computerized trains will be deployed. And likely, there will be some failures in which people die, because the computerized systems are created by fallible humans.
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