Commercial Pilots
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Calculated automation risk
Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.
More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.
User poll
Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 55% chance of automation.
What do you think the risk of automation is?
What is the likelihood that Commercial Pilots will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?
Sentiment
The following graph is included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.
Sentiment over time (quarterly)
Sentiment over time (yearly)
Growth
The number of 'Commercial Pilots' job openings is expected to rise 5.7% by 2033
Total employment, and estimated job openings
Updated projections are due 09-2024.
Wages
In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Commercial Pilots' was $113,080, or $54 per hour
'Commercial Pilots' were paid 135.3% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060
Wages over time
Volume
As of 2023 there were 52,750 people employed as 'Commercial Pilots' within the United States.
This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country
Put another way, around 1 in 2 thousand people are employed as 'Commercial Pilots'.
Job description
Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.
SOC Code: 53-2012.00
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Comments
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In this case, regulation is the hold-up, not the technology.
And mind you, most plane accidents happen due to pilot error. :) AI can eliminate that.
I agree with you, although there are some concerns with how AI could work in unique emergencies that have never occurred in the past, and how AI would work with the human crew members.
Allowing robots to operate planes that carry varying numbers of passengers, such as smaller regional jets accommodating around 50 to 100 passengers, and larger airliners like the Boeing 737 or Airbus A320 series carrying between 140 to 240 passengers, or wide-body aircraft like the Boeing 777 or Airbus A380 with capacities ranging from around 300 to over 800 passengers, could pose significant risks to people's lives.
The possibility of robot malfunctions raises concerns about placing full trust in their abilities.
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