Commercial Pilots
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Automation risk
Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.
More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.
User poll
Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 54% chance of automation.
What do you think the risk of automation is?
What is the likelihood that Commercial Pilots will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?
Sentiment
The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.
Sentiment over time (quarterly)
Sentiment over time (yearly)
Growth
The number of 'Commercial Pilots' job openings is expected to rise 5.1% by 2032
Total employment, and estimated job openings
Updated projections are due 09-2023.
Wages
In 2022, the median annual wage for 'Commercial Pilots' was $103,910, or $49 per hour
'Commercial Pilots' were paid 124.4% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $46,310
Wages over time
Volume
As of 2022 there were 48,750 people employed as 'Commercial Pilots' within the United States.
This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country
Put another way, around 1 in 3 thousand people are employed as 'Commercial Pilots'.
Job description
Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.
SOC Code: 53-2012.00
Resources
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Comments
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Allowing robots to operate planes that carry varying numbers of passengers, such as smaller regional jets accommodating around 50 to 100 passengers, and larger airliners like the Boeing 737 or Airbus A320 series carrying between 140 to 240 passengers, or wide-body aircraft like the Boeing 777 or Airbus A380 with capacities ranging from around 300 to over 800 passengers, could pose significant risks to people's lives.
The possibility of robot malfunctions raises concerns about placing full trust in their abilities.
And IT/Engineers? We need them. But 80% less people.
If autonomous planes fully replace commercial pilots, these pilots will lose their jobs. Furthermore, your once-held childhood dream of flying a big jet above the clouds will be shattered. So, think about that.
Lastly, even if there are fully autonomous planes, there will be many passengers who feel unsafe about flying in a plane without a single pilot.
I 100% agree that AI can fly planes. For instance, in the military, most are drones piloted by people. So, I still think it's possible for it to go either way.
And what about all the pilots who will be flying in 2030? Where will they go? Plus, the pilots who have just started their job, paying a ton of money for training and working really hard, will then realize it was all for a whole lot of rubbish. So don't let the pilots' hard work go to waste. Let the robots be destroyed, and they can be scrapped or used for a different purpose not relating to planes.
Increased positive factors:
- Reliability
- Less cockpit space
- Redesign of aircraft for more efficiency
- Does not get sick
- Does not have family problems
Goodbye, human pilots...
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