Commercial Pilots

Moderate Risk
48%
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Vote Comments (86)
Or, Explore This Profession in Greater Detail...
AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
55%
(Moderate Risk)
POLLING
41%
(Moderate Risk)
Average: 48%
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
5.7%
by year 2033
WAGES
$113,080
or $54.36 per hour
Volume
52,750
as of 2023
SUMMARY
JOB SCORE
6.2/10

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Calculated automation risk

55% (Moderate Risk)

Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Cramped Work Space, Awkward Positions

  • Manual Dexterity

  • Finger Dexterity

  • Assisting and Caring for Others

  • Social Perceptiveness

User poll

41% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 55% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Commercial Pilots will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?






Sentiment

The following graph is included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (quarterly)

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Fast growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Commercial Pilots' job openings is expected to rise 5.7% by 2033

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2024.

Wages

Very high paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Commercial Pilots' was $113,080, or $54 per hour

'Commercial Pilots' were paid 135.3% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Moderate range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 52,750 people employed as 'Commercial Pilots' within the United States.

This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 2 thousand people are employed as 'Commercial Pilots'.

Job description

Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft on nonscheduled air carrier routes, or helicopters. Requires Commercial Pilot certificate. Includes charter pilots with similar certification, and air ambulance and air tour pilots. Excludes regional, national, and international airline pilots.

SOC Code: 53-2012.00

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Comments

Leave a comment

Mani salah (Low) 1 month ago
The artificial intllegence can't replace the human's emotion and it's way of thinking in some situations and must be supervised by a trained and experienced pilot
3 0 Reply
Aranyak Maitra (Moderate) 2 months ago
The development of automated and remote flying technology for military equipment can be a game changer for civil aviation industry. Automation has already reduced the number of pilots from 3 to 2.
1 3 Reply
Luke (No chance) 2 months ago
Pilots can do things robots can't. Somtimes you can't follow the rules and need to break them. Think about the gimli glider. The pilot had no landing gear, he was way too high and way too fast. He did a side slip menuveur, only able to be completed in glider aircraft. It was a risky move but it would have to be done if they wanted to land. They succeded by breaking the rules and testing the limits. That is somthing that can nevery be done by a robot.
7 0 Reply
Lucas 2 months ago
true
2 0 Reply
someone (Low) 2 months ago
because there is still going to be someone watching over the ai to make sure it doesn't make mistakes and also someone needs to take over in an emergency
0 0 Reply
Mohammad 2 months ago
That is true but i don't think the AI will move to commercial planes any time soon, but for military planes, they will take 90% for sure soon
0 0 Reply
Lisa (Uncertain) 3 months ago
This one is tricky! I do not doubt AI could learn to proficiently drive a plane, though I do doubt if they're reliable in terms of safety. I foresee companies using this to cut costs, only to receive public outcry in return. I think the real question here is: Do we want artificial intelligence driving our planes?
2 0 Reply
Matheus (Low) 4 months ago
The competent regulatory body, (FAA) is VERY conservative. So even if we had the technology, I doubt that they would allow autonomous commercial planes.
In this case, regulation is the hold-up, not the technology.
2 0 Reply
Hayden (No chance) 5 months ago
I am training to become a pilot. Knowing how complicated everything is and how many things can go wrong, I would never step foot on an AI-flown plane. What will AI do when an emergency that it hasn't been programmed for occurs? If you go look through the history of incidents, you'll find that there are way more complicated issues than a simple engine failure that can occur. Not to mention the concern of hacking.
1 2 Reply
Not important 3 months ago
Remember that AI is able to think. It's not like a random program that runs to control the plane. AI will have ALL the information on the internet. So, it is difficult for you but not for AI.

And mind you, most plane accidents happen due to pilot error. :) AI can eliminate that.
0 3 Reply
Lisa 3 months ago
I'm not sure if the term "think" would be best for the situation. I say AI uses logic and percentile to decide what is best, based off of what humans have done before. Looking at the success rates, artificial intelligence picks out which route is safest and goes with it.

I agree with you, although there are some concerns with how AI could work in unique emergencies that have never occurred in the past, and how AI would work with the human crew members.
4 0 Reply
Ryan (No chance) 6 months ago
It's already dangerous enough as it is so I don't think it'll be wise to let AI take control of planes, especially with all its faults. Maybe in 50 years at least.
0 2 Reply
Anonymous 2 months ago
You are in more danger driving your car to work then taking a flight to Chicago.
0 0 Reply
.. 5 months ago
planes are the single safest form of transportation there is but i agree it will take atleast 50 yrs
0 1 Reply
asdf (Low) 6 months ago
people don't trust em
0 0 Reply
Bao Nam (No chance) 6 months ago
Because flying airplanes is very hard to do, if done not correctly, the plane could crash, the A.I is smart but some times the A.I will have errors that cannot be fixed. I think just that.
2 0 Reply
Sina (No chance) 7 months ago
A human being is required to accept legal responsibility
1 0 Reply
grummangrouse45 (Uncertain) 8 months ago
The technology required to do it is almost here, the only significant hurdle is the trust of passengers. Once the general population trusts AI/robots enough to put their lives in it's hands, pilots won't be as needed. However, that day may never come, and there are still things which technology can't do yet (respond to emergencies, handle passengers, aircraft repairs, etc.).
2 0 Reply
Dee Snuts (No chance) 8 months ago
If the automated system went down because of a storm or someone forgetting to turn their phone on airplane mode then every passenger is screwed
2 0 Reply
luhenba (Low) 8 months ago
the reason why i have voted 'low' because anyone will not be willing to sit in a plane operated by computer or A.I without any human input and will you be comfortable to travel in a plane with only A.I inputs?
0 0 Reply
Anonymous (Low) 11 months ago
People would not trust robots, which are feared, to fly them, especially when flying is also feared by most people. They would much rather trust humans who can reassure them and are experienced. Also, companies would also be hesitant to incorporate robots as many of them do not have the money required and any lawsuits following a crash would be devastating and would end the whole industry potentially.
2 0 Reply
Rip (Low) 1 year ago
No flight is the same. No robot could do what sully did.
2 0 Reply
LeftE81 (No chance) 1 year ago
They can't handle emergencies
0 0 Reply
Autofill (No chance) 1 year ago
I can’t even trust robots driving my car let alone flying my airplane. It might also be easier to hack a robot.
0 0 Reply
Sumik Chhaliwal (Low) 1 year ago
I don't think robots will fully take over the "Commercial Pilot" job 'cause you always need human intelligence instead of artificial intelligence for a safe journey.
0 0 Reply
Sai rithwik (Low) 1 year ago
I don't believe robots can take on the role of commercial pilots due to the potential risks involved.

Allowing robots to operate planes that carry varying numbers of passengers, such as smaller regional jets accommodating around 50 to 100 passengers, and larger airliners like the Boeing 737 or Airbus A320 series carrying between 140 to 240 passengers, or wide-body aircraft like the Boeing 777 or Airbus A380 with capacities ranging from around 300 to over 800 passengers, could pose significant risks to people's lives.

The possibility of robot malfunctions raises concerns about placing full trust in their abilities.
1 0 Reply

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