Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates
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Calculated automation risk
Minimal Risk (0-20%): Occupations in this category have a low probability of being automated, as they typically demand complex problem-solving, creativity, strong interpersonal skills, and a high degree of manual dexterity. These jobs often involve intricate hand movements and precise coordination, making it difficult for machines to replicate the required tasks.
More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.
User poll
Our visitors have voted there's a low chance this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 18% chance of automation.
What do you think the risk of automation is?
What is the likelihood that Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?
Sentiment
The following graph is included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.
Sentiment over time (yearly)
Growth
The number of 'Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates' job openings is expected to rise 3.4% by 2033
Total employment, and estimated job openings
Updated projections are due 09-2024.
Wages
In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates' was $148,910, or $71 per hour
'Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates' were paid 209.8% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060
Wages over time
Volume
As of 2023 there were 24,470 people employed as 'Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates' within the United States.
This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country
Put another way, around 1 in 6 thousand people are employed as 'Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates'.
Job description
Arbitrate, advise, adjudicate, or administer justice in a court of law. May sentence defendant in criminal cases according to government statutes or sentencing guidelines. May determine liability of defendant in civil cases. May perform wedding ceremonies.
SOC Code: 23-1023.00
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Comments
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an argument for why they won't be replaced in my opinion. Just imagine a drug dealer and a
person having the drug because they believe it would help their dying grandmother, how can they both serve the same sentance for possesion?
That's why I think the judges' probability of automation is closer to 95% than 40%, much like the accountants.
I agree with jac. I think it's highly unlikely Judges will be replaced by robots/A.I. anytime in the near or distant future if at all not only because of the complicated nature of what their jobs entails, secondly, the human touch required to do so as jac touched upon and, thirdly, because on a deeper, more philosophical but also more tantamount level, to do so would, essentially, be surrendering our core and fundamental power as human beings to govern our own kind. If we were to hand over judiciary powers and control to A.I. we would effectively be putting mankind on the bench forever. It would tear the core fabric of our humanity and everything the human race has achieved thus far in all antiquity and hopes to achieve in all future and for those reasons and more, I believe, simply could not and would not ever happen.
So, realistically, I think the automation risk level of this particular category should be reassessed to almost zero because anyone in their right mind with any semblance of logic and understanding of the justice system couldn't possibly surmise that it could realistically be awarded a percentile score that such could happen higher than that.
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