Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

risk level
Based on 328 votes
by year 2032
or $16.00 per hour
as of 2022

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Automation risk

30% (Low Risk)

Low Risk (21-40%): Jobs in this level have a limited risk of automation, as they demand a mix of technical and human-centric skills.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Assisting and Caring for Others

  • Finger Dexterity

  • Manual Dexterity

  • Originality

  • Social Perceptiveness

User poll

27% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted there's a low chance this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 30% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?


The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (yearly)


Very fast growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists' job openings is expected to rise 10.9% by 2032

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2023.


Very low paid relative to other professions

In 2022, the median annual wage for 'Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists' was $33,290, or $16 per hour

'Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists' were paid 28.1% lower than the national median wage, which stood at $46,310

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics


Significantly greater range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2022 there were 298,050 people employed as 'Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists' within the United States.

This represents around 0.20% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 496 people are employed as 'Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists'.

Job description

Provide beauty services, such as cutting, coloring, and styling hair, and massaging and treating scalp. May shampoo hair, apply makeup, dress wigs, remove hair, and provide nail and skincare services.

SOC Code: 39-5012.00


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Leave a comment

Katrina says
Hair color has so much opportunity for customization compared to nails or lashes. I think creating systems for ai to do hair, especially lightening and balayage techniques is very complicated and could make the service even more expensive for the consumer. For haircuts I actually think that ai could take it over. There’s a lady who created and patented “head shapes matter” I could see the mathematics and science of this program being used as a system for ai machines to cut hair. I could also see clients loving the consistency they can get from a robot in this case. I’ll be waiting to buy this machine for my retirement!
May 19, 2024 at 05:27 PM
Kate says
I think it's been greatly underestimated the amount of money one can make in this profession-especially comparing it to a 4 year degree or a bachelor degree of something- as long as your body and health can hold up . There are millions of people in the world -no shortage of people
Mar 21, 2024 at 06:06 AM
Katie Fishburn (Low) says
You need hands
You need to feel texture
They can probably formulate but need to know any underlying issues such as medication, genetics , allergies ,
Mar 21, 2024 at 06:02 AM
Kerb says
Robots won't take this job. It's way too expensive. Instead the wage will be beaten down by millions of newly redundant public sector and financial industry employees avoiding starving to death.
Mar 29, 2023 at 12:01 AM
April (Low) says
We all have our own unique style and artistic hand… no robot can do that! Or can they??
Mar 22, 2023 at 12:47 AM
Mia Terra (Highly likely) says
I have seen videos of people getting their eyelash extensions and nails done by robots.
Oct 10, 2022 at 12:29 AM
bob (No chance) says
I don't see it in our future robots haven't gotten that artistic to know the exact needs or wants of a person
Feb 01, 2021 at 07:08 PM
Dawley Hair Design (Never) says
lol!!! been doing this over 10 yrs.. no way in HELL hair will be automated in any of our life times
Jul 09, 2020 at 01:56 PM
Kim says
I wouldn't ever take a chance of a robot cutting my hair, I'd fear being cut by the robot.
Jan 26, 2020 at 07:48 PM
Elle (Low) says
AI still has a long way to go before it can start doing people’s hair, too much dexterity involved.
Sep 21, 2019 at 11:17 AM
Millie (Low) says
Because they will probably do something wrong
Sep 04, 2019 at 09:47 AM
Sarah (No chance) says
Hairstyling is a creative job to do at saloons. Saloons are opening so this job should grow a bit.
Jun 26, 2019 at 01:36 AM
zoe haumaha (Uncertain) says
I really want to be a hair dress
Jun 13, 2019 at 10:53 PM

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