Pilotes de ligne, copilotes et ingénieurs de vol

Risque Modéré
52%
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RISQUE D'AUTOMATISATION
CALCULÉ
65%
(Haut Risque)
SONDAGE
39%
(Risque Faible)
Average: 52%
DEMANDE DE TRAVAIL
CROISSANCE
5,0%
par l'année 2033
SALAIRES
219 140 $
ou 105,35 $ par heure
Volume
93 670
à partir du 2023
RÉSUMÉ
SCORE DE TRAVAIL
5,9/10

Les gens ont également vu

Risque d'automatisation calculé

65% (Haut Risque)

Risque Élevé (61-80%) : Les emplois dans cette catégorie font face à une menace significative de l'automatisation, car beaucoup de leurs tâches peuvent être facilement automatisées en utilisant les technologies actuelles ou proches du futur.

Plus d'informations sur ce que représente ce score et comment il est calculé sont disponibles ici.

Certaines qualités assez importantes du travail sont difficiles à automatiser :

  • Dextérité manuelle

  • Perceptivité Sociale

  • Dextérité des Doigts

Sondage utilisateur

39% chance de pleine automatisation au cours des deux prochaines décennies

Nos visiteurs ont voté qu'il y a peu de chances que cette profession soit automatisée. Cependant, le niveau de risque d'automatisation que nous avons généré suggère une probabilité beaucoup plus élevée d'automatisation : 65% de chances d'automatisation.

Que pensez-vous du risque de l'automatisation?

Quelle est la probabilité que Pilotes de ligne, copilotes et ingénieurs de vol soit remplacé par des robots ou l'intelligence artificielle dans les 20 prochaines années ?






Sentiment

Le graphique suivant est inclus chaque fois qu'il y a un nombre substantiel de votes pour rendre les données significatives. Ces représentations visuelles affichent les résultats des sondages utilisateurs au fil du temps, fournissant une indication significative des tendances de sentiment.

Sentiment au fil du temps (annuellement)

Croissance

Une croissance modérée par rapport à d'autres professions

On s'attend à ce que le nombre de postes vacants pour 'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers' augmente 5,0% d'ici 2033

Emploi total, et estimations des offres d'emploi

* Données de la Bureau of Labor Statistics pour la période entre 2021 et 2031
Les prévisions mises à jour sont attendues 09-2024.

Salaires

Très bien rémunéré par rapport à d'autres professions

En 2023, le salaire annuel médian pour 'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers' était de 219 140 $, soit 105 $ par heure.

'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers' ont été payés 356,0% de plus que le salaire médian national, qui était de 48 060 $

Salaires au fil du temps

* Données provenant du Bureau des Statistiques du Travail

Volume

Gamme modérée d'opportunités d'emploi par rapport à d'autres professions

À partir de 2023, il y avait 93 670 personnes employées en tant que 'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers' aux États-Unis.

Cela représente environ 0,06% de la main-d'œuvre employée à travers le pays

Autrement dit, environ 1 personne sur 1 mille est employée en tant que 'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers'.

Description du poste

Pilotez et naviguez le vol d'aéronefs à voilure fixe, généralement sur des itinéraires de transporteurs aériens programmés, pour le transport de passagers et de marchandises. Nécessite un certificat de transport aérien fédéral et une qualification pour le type d'aéronef spécifique utilisé. Comprend les pilotes de compagnies aériennes régionales, nationales et internationales et les instructeurs de vol de pilotes de compagnies aériennes.

SOC Code: 53-2011.00

Ressources

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Commentaires

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John (Faible) 20 days ago
A computer can only do so many algorithms. Let's say a situation happens and the computer/AI is there to slove the problem and it does.... but what happens when the problem is outside of the box and the algorithm doesn't know what to do. This is where is can turn catastrophic. This is where pilots come in to play and think outside the box plus their fighting for their lives so they will do everything to get home to their families and their passengers also.

20 years it will start with cargo flights.

Another 10 years after maybe commercial flights.

If an accident happens like where two planes go down due to MCAS designed by boeing. This probably set it back years for automation.

Look at Sully landing on the Hudson can a computer do that?

Miracle on the Hudson that was down to skill and knowledge and a brilliant Captain and First Office.
1 0 Reply
Mason Braswelle (Aucune chance) 2 months ago
The amount of things pilots have to do in order to ensure safe flights is astounding, not to mention that if something were to go wrong, what would the robot even do?
1 0 Reply
Jeremy (Faible) 3 months ago
Although the actual flight operation can be managed by AI, there is always the chance that the AI will fail at controlling the plane. Also there is always different situations for landing and takeoff, AI won't always be able to predict and maneuver the next move.
1 0 Reply
rorik 4 months ago
consider that nothing manufactured by humans are perfect, with such a reality, you cannot assume that a robot/ai could do it's job flawlessly. there are ethical decisions in emergencies that must be made in the cockpit that an ai simply cannot do. furthermore, redundancy is a core value in aviation, and until human manufacturing is perfect (arguably wont ever be), a pilot will always be needed in the cockpit as a form of redundancy in case the manufactured systems malfunction.
1 0 Reply
dan (Faible) 4 months ago
ask yourself this question, how would you feel if the most beloved person to you was on a plane controlled by a robot that could be hacked, glitch, or malfunction
0 0 Reply
Anonymous 5 months ago
The technology exists, but is it socially acceptable? It’s similar to how self driving cars have been a thing since the late 90s (couldn’t believe it either), and have become more mainstream in the last few years. Pilots will probably lose their jobs when people become comfortable flying in fully autonomous aircraft. However, emergencies can still happen, so it will probably take even longer for machines to take over.
1 1 Reply
bob (Très probable) 6 months ago
1 word autopilot
1 4 Reply
L 4 months ago
Who said that an autopilot is more reliable than a human captain?
0 0 Reply
Anonymous (Modéré) 6 months ago
Because pilots even today have a sizeable portion of the piloting during flight cut out for them with autopilot and it is already so trustworthy and efficient that they can sleep around a half hour while autopilot is on before being woken up by an alarm. Though this is balanced out by takeoff and landing which is much more tricky to automate and there is still the need for pilot input during emergencies
0 1 Reply
LBFEBNL (Modéré) 6 months ago
If wanted, the aircraft manufacturer could easily develop a computer to follow all the instructions that pilots need to follow too, like taxiing, departure (still needs human help), cruising (already taken over by autopilot but still needs human help if an emergency happens), and landing.

That is for the pilot. For the co-pilot, it is highly likely because the A.I. doesn't need to do all the instructions; they just do half of it, and the rest the pilot will handle.

For the flight engineer, I think it has a lower chance of getting replaced by A.I. or some sort of computer.

But this is overall just my opinion.
0 1 Reply
p 5 months ago
flight engineers arent a thing anymore... they havent been very common since like 90s
1 0 Reply
James (Modéré) 6 months ago
Yeah the 64% chance scares my freind who is a pilot
0 1 Reply
criag (Aucune chance) 6 months ago
There are many airlines that want soft, silky landings and not slammy, hard, ai- landings
1 0 Reply
Josh (Faible) 6 months ago
It is a very complex job that requires concentration and multitasking of witch a robot can't di
1 0 Reply
1 5 months ago
although i agree a robot cant do everything a pilot has to do robots are still much better at multitasking than humans ever will be
0 0 Reply
. (Faible) 10 months ago
you will always need humans incase something happened. its possible but not in the next 20 years
0 0 Reply
Luca (Très probable) 1 year ago
Automated flight is already a well-established reality, the pilot on board serves only to reassure passengers who are not yet accustomed to the idea of a completely automated flight.
0 1 Reply
Oxtin Poss 7 months ago
We are no where near completely autonomous flight. We barely have self-driving cars, which are normally confined to certain parameters. There are so many variables and things that could go wrong, that it simply isn’t viable yet.
1 0 Reply
boo (Faible) 1 year ago
Automation has the ability to control events in a certain context, and wouldn't be able to handle an emergency or malfunction, considering the usual age of aircraft computers.
0 0 Reply
Harry (Faible) 1 year ago
Landing and take off needs accurate readings and a lot of man power we also need to understand the runway so it my not be
0 0 Reply
KickinTyres (Faible) 1 year ago
The public's perception of safety is intrinsically connected to having human pilots in the cockpit.
0 0 Reply
Ayden (Aucune chance) 1 year ago
New plane can fly it self but they still need pilot or co pilot to make sure nothing is going wrong especially when it is landing
0 0 Reply
Alneez (Modéré) 1 year ago
Airbus Project Dragonfly
0 0 Reply
C.L.M. (Aucune chance) 1 year ago
It is not a technological issue, it is a sociological, legislative, and regulatory one.

People are too anxious to get on a plane without another human being up front with their life and safety on the line. This will be even more true as we move through the inevitable accidents during automation of ground transportation. At least that's what I heard as an FAA research scientist working on future drone airspace research projects.
0 0 Reply

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