Aperçu
Risque d'Automatisation
2. Sondage Utilisateur
3. Croissance
4. Salaires
5. Volume
Description
Ressources
Commentaires

Programmeurs Informatiques

RISQUE D'AUTOMATISATION
CALCULÉ
52%
niveau de risque
SONDAGE
47%
Basé sur 9 017 votes
DEMANDE DE TRAVAIL
CROISSANCE
-10,2 %
par l'année 2032
SALAIRES
97 800 $
ou 47,02 $ par heure
Volume
132 740
à partir du 2022
RÉSUMÉ
SCORE DE TRAVAIL
4,7/10

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Commentaires (181)

Risque d'automatisation

52% (Risque Modéré)

Risque Modéré (41-60%) : Les professions présentant un risque modéré d'automatisation impliquent généralement des tâches routinières mais nécessitent toujours un certain jugement et interaction humains.

Plus d'informations sur ce que représente ce score et comment il est calculé sont disponibles ici.

Certaines qualités assez importantes du travail sont difficiles à automatiser :

  • Perceptivité Sociale

  • Originalité

Sondage utilisateur

47% chance de pleine automatisation au cours des deux prochaines décennies

Nos visiteurs ont voté qu'ils ne sont pas sûrs si cette profession sera automatisée. Cette évaluation est davantage soutenue par le niveau de risque d'automatisation calculé, qui estime 52% de chances d'automatisation.

Que pensez-vous du risque de l'automatisation?

Quelle est la probabilité que Programmeurs Informatiques soit remplacé par des robots ou l'intelligence artificielle dans les 20 prochaines années ?






Sentiment

Le(s) graphique(s) suivant(s) sont inclus là où il y a un nombre substantiel de votes pour fournir des données significatives. Ces représentations visuelles affichent les résultats des sondages des utilisateurs au fil du temps, fournissant une indication significative des tendances de sentiment.

Sentiment au fil du temps (trimestriel)

Sentiment au fil du temps (annuellement)

Croissance

Une croissance très lente par rapport à d'autres professions.

On s'attend à ce que le nombre d'offres d'emploi pour 'Computer Programmers' diminue 10,2% d'ici 2032

Emploi total, et estimations des offres d'emploi

* Données de la Bureau of Labor Statistics pour la période entre 2021 et 2031
Les prévisions mises à jour sont attendues 09-2023.

Salaires

Très bien rémunéré par rapport à d'autres professions

En 2022, le salaire annuel médian pour 'Computer Programmers' était de 97 800 $, soit 47 $ par heure.

'Computer Programmers' ont été payés 111,2% de plus que le salaire médian national, qui était de 46 310 $

Salaires au fil du temps

* Données provenant du Bureau des Statistiques du Travail

Volume

Une plus grande gamme d'opportunités d'emploi comparée à d'autres professions

À partir de 2022, il y avait 132 740 personnes employées en tant que 'Computer Programmers' aux États-Unis.

Cela représente environ 0,09% de la main-d'œuvre employée à travers le pays

Autrement dit, environ 1 personne sur 1 mille est employée en tant que 'Computer Programmers'.

Description du poste

Créez, modifiez et testez le code et les scripts qui permettent aux applications informatiques de fonctionner. Travaillez à partir de spécifications établies par des développeurs de logiciels et de sites web ou d'autres individus. Vous pouvez développer et écrire des programmes informatiques pour stocker, localiser et récupérer des documents, des données et des informations spécifiques.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Ressources

Si vous envisagez de commencer une nouvelle carrière ou de changer de travail, nous avons créé un outil de recherche d'emploi pratique qui pourrait vous aider à décrocher ce nouveau poste parfait.

Recherchez des emplois dans votre région locale

Commentaires

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MR dit
Hi! From which year do you use data from and when was the calculations performed?
Apr 18, 2024 at 09:54
Admin dit
The calculations were last performed in January 2023, the data was the most recent data available at the time from O*NET

See more info here:
https://willrobotstakemyjob.com/about-our-calculations
Apr 18, 2024 at 10:14
Darin Beaudreau (Modéré) dit
20 years is a reasonable timeline for a large portion of software engineering to be able to be automated, but the problem in replacing programmers isn't AI's ability to reason, but in the customers themselves. To be able to fully replace engineers, a customer needs to be able to accurately describe their requirements, and anyone who works in that field will tell you that customers are idiots.

I think web development will be the first variation of software development that is automated because the majority of all web development is the same and very basic. Things like embedded, robotics, and applications programming will take much longer and require AI to be able to see the whole of an application in a single context to avoid a plateau effect where you get increasingly more errors due to loss of information regarding the program's architecture.
Apr 02, 2024 at 04:16
user (Modéré) dit
I've been a software engineer for over 10 years. This is really only the beginning. The pace of innovation in AI will only increase. We are already using Github Copilot at work and AI gives amazing code reviews. Outsourcing is now much more effective. Less engineers are needed already because of AI. With "Devin", we are seeing a tiny glimpse of what is to come in the next 20 years. I'm going back to school and transitioning out of the industry over the next 2-3 years.
Mar 27, 2024 at 02:00
maikelos272@gmail.com (Très probable) dit
Although AI is a tool for programmers, the better it gets the more of our job it can perfrom. It is unfathomable to me that AI will not be able to do a programmers job really well within the next 20 years. I reckon it will happen in 10. The only hope I have is that rather than the job market deminishing, its output will grow exponentially and programmers will grow to be supervrisors of AI. Nontheless at some point AI will be able to write apps and programs based purely on Natural language input. Albeit the code might be far from perfect at the beggining it will only get better.
Mar 20, 2024 at 08:54
Stechkin dit
Check out Devin. It solved 13% of the Git Hub problems. Its scary good.
Mar 24, 2024 at 11:03
ezkha (Incertain) dit
So I've heard about this AI "Devin", which is apparently capable of programming and distributing an entire application from scratch to release; but it is absolutely terrible at managing issues and fixing bugs. If my source is credible, it's 20% efficient compared to 80% with a human.

I think it'll probably improve and replace programming. Though maybe issues and solving bugs, in particular, will take a while to replace.
Mar 14, 2024 at 04:38
user (Très probable) dit
AI has been on the rise in the past several years, and is likely to continue growing rapidly. Within the past years what has been possible has greatly increased many magnitudes, and several AI tools that can accomplish coding means have been created, and are being greatly invested on and improved. With the release of "Dave" and companies like "Magic.dev" I can foresee this being a greatly human reduced job in the next 2-6 years.
Mar 14, 2024 at 11:47
S (Très probable) dit
ChatGPT is already proficient. It will at the very least heavily reduce the amount of software engineers required
Mar 04, 2024 at 05:05
Johnifer (Aucune chance) dit
Those who say that AI will completely take over CS don't know CS.
Feb 28, 2024 at 12:55
Hot Take dit
Finally, someone with a brain! CS is developing AI and we will always be necessary to supervise it and align with human goals.
Mar 27, 2024 at 12:06
Jon (Incertain) dit
I see that most people voting with certainty on this topic don't understand how this job works, or they are just average or bellow average professionals.

GPT really gives you solutions for complex tasks but on minor details it's going to invent some buggy solution ultimately creating more bugs than helping you.

That's why you really need to understand the tool/system that you're working with.

Feb 26, 2024 at 06:40
kir (Faible) dit
AI has a difficult time with complex use cases, architecture, and requirements from clients.
Feb 12, 2024 at 02:35
Michal dit
That is true but, even if it only does programming really well and never gets around to understanding requirements and architecture well, which I think it will, then it will still take a lot of jobs.
Mar 20, 2024 at 08:56
Rin (Très probable) dit
For being beings based on technology, programs, and algorithms, computer programming will be able to replicate itself and take over its own recreation processes.
Feb 06, 2024 at 04:25
Ryan (Modéré) dit
Basic functionality in software is easily automated. Building entirely new systems might be more difficult. If we develop AGI, then any job done at a keyboard is gone, but if that proves more difficult than expected then high level system design and development jobs might last a bit longer.
Jan 22, 2024 at 07:29
Bryan Schmidt (Modéré) dit
So much of what we do as computer programmers can be automated.

My job is to interpret what the product owners want, and convert that into code. Currently, I have transitioned into using AI to help me with most of the code, while I'm still guiding the architecture, code style, and overall codebase.

It won't be long until AI could handle most of if not all of that as well.
Jan 20, 2024 at 10:06
John (Très probable) dit
Because chatgpt can already make script, sure its a wrong sometimes. but just imagine but it will be like in 20 years.
Dec 23, 2023 at 12:17
Auditormadness9 (Très probable) dit
It already wrote like 20 scripts for me that completely worked as expected.
Dec 11, 2023 at 10:23
Sequenze5517 (Faible) dit
Because Computer Programmers made and update AI. Logically, the AI will not update himself.
Nov 29, 2023 at 01:20
me (Aucune chance) dit
coding requires a lot of skill and thinking which cannot be replaced by ai
Nov 28, 2023 at 03:08
matin (Faible) dit
robots make robots?
Nov 13, 2023 at 10:04
Leo (Très probable) dit
so clearly they already have stuff like Chat GPT that tells you code,
Nov 06, 2023 at 02:45
Anonymous (Incertain) dit
As it stands, an AI gets its information from the internet. That means that much of the code it acquires at this point when you ask for sample code or something similar will likely be from GitHub or some similar website. It doesn't have to understand the workings of the code, it just needs to know what to look for and dispense it to you. Sometimes the code may not even work. AI could eventually understand programming and then it'll be a different story, but AI doesn't really KNOW much of what it says, it just give a definition from the huge databases it has access to.
Nov 01, 2023 at 08:57

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