Programmeurs Informatiques

Haut Risque
70%
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RISQUE D'AUTOMATISATION
CALCULÉ
70%
(Haut Risque)
SONDAGE
70%
(Haut Risque)
Average: 70%
DEMANDE DE TRAVAIL
CROISSANCE
-9,6 %
par l'année 2033
SALAIRES
99 700 $
ou 47,93 $ par heure
Volume
120 370
à partir du 2023
RÉSUMÉ
SCORE DE TRAVAIL
3,5/10

Les gens ont également vu

Risque d'automatisation calculé

70% (Haut Risque)

Risque Élevé (61-80%) : Les emplois dans cette catégorie font face à une menace significative de l'automatisation, car beaucoup de leurs tâches peuvent être facilement automatisées en utilisant les technologies actuelles ou proches du futur.

Plus d'informations sur ce que représente ce score et comment il est calculé sont disponibles ici.

Certaines qualités assez importantes du travail sont difficiles à automatiser :

  • Perceptivité Sociale

  • Originalité

Sondage utilisateur

70% chance de pleine automatisation au cours des deux prochaines décennies

Nos visiteurs ont voté qu'il est probable que cette profession sera automatisée. Cette évaluation est davantage soutenue par le niveau de risque d'automatisation calculé, qui estime 70% de chances d'automatisation.

Que pensez-vous du risque de l'automatisation?

Quelle est la probabilité que Programmeurs Informatiques soit remplacé par des robots ou l'intelligence artificielle dans les 20 prochaines années ?






Sentiment

Le graphique suivant est inclus chaque fois qu'il y a un nombre substantiel de votes pour rendre les données significatives. Ces représentations visuelles affichent les résultats des sondages utilisateurs au fil du temps, fournissant une indication significative des tendances de sentiment.

Sentiment au fil du temps (trimestriel)

Sentiment au fil du temps (annuellement)

Croissance

Une croissance très lente par rapport à d'autres professions.

On s'attend à ce que le nombre d'offres d'emploi pour 'Computer Programmers' diminue 9,6% d'ici 2033

Emploi total, et estimations des offres d'emploi

* Données de la Bureau of Labor Statistics pour la période entre 2023 et 2033
Les prévisions mises à jour sont attendues 09-2025.

Salaires

Très bien rémunéré par rapport à d'autres professions

En 2023, le salaire annuel médian pour 'Computer Programmers' était de 99 700 $, soit 47 $ par heure.

'Computer Programmers' ont été payés 107,4% de plus que le salaire médian national, qui était de 48 060 $

Salaires au fil du temps

* Données provenant du Bureau des Statistiques du Travail

Volume

Une plus grande gamme d'opportunités d'emploi comparée à d'autres professions

À partir de 2023, il y avait 120 370 personnes employées en tant que 'Computer Programmers' aux États-Unis.

Cela représente environ 0,08% de la main-d'œuvre employée à travers le pays

Autrement dit, environ 1 personne sur 1 mille est employée en tant que 'Computer Programmers'.

Description du poste

Créez, modifiez et testez le code et les scripts qui permettent aux applications informatiques de fonctionner. Travaillez à partir de spécifications établies par des développeurs de logiciels et de sites web ou d'autres individus. Vous pouvez développer et écrire des programmes informatiques pour stocker, localiser et récupérer des documents, des données et des informations spécifiques.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Commentaires

Leave a comment

Mark Orsted (Faible) 7 days ago
I think that we cannot trust software to understand the human experience. I use agentic and non-agentic AI to help code now, after 30 years doing this, and it's primary benefit is saving me from typing a lot of code that I know how to write, and can confirm is written properly, or correct as needed. The "correct as needed" factor is VERY high still.
1 1 Reply
Dev (Modéré) 9 days ago
AI adds another attack surface to software development companies
1 0 Reply
Titus (Très probable) 10 days ago
Once A.I. overtakes human intelligence it will write billions of lines of code error free with simple prompts from any person wanting a digital product. Why would any company need overpaid, error prone people at that point. Learn a trade quickly programmers!
0 2 Reply
Swayam Bhowmick (Très probable) 15 days ago
Everyone who's commenting and judging is basing their judgment on the current state of things. But, the current state is rapidly evolving, and most people are failing to account for the trajectory that the progress of AI is taking. 2 years ago, we were laughing at AI-generated videos of Will Smith eating spaghetti; today, the realism sends shivers down our spines. 2 years ago, AI generated broken code, now, it's capabale of somewhat functional code, replacing junior devs entirely.

Please take into account the trajectory of progress rather than the current state of things.
3 0 Reply
Ab (Très probable) 18 days ago
It does not require any physical interaction with the real world
1 4 Reply
Habs (Incertain) 26 days ago
Software development includes understanding requirements and talking to customers (who do not know what they want). My job will be heavily automated but not yet to be fully replaced by AI.
2 2 Reply
Name (Faible) 1 month ago
AIs kind of suck at programming and logic they always add more bugs into my code
9 4 Reply
A 28 days ago
Currently. What about in 10 years though
6 1 Reply
John 2 months ago
Just as a few other professions, I’d say it would simply be limited to reducing unspecialized, entry-level positions. Those who find a niche would find that programming with chatbots are like lugging a junior dev that doesn’t learn around.
1 0 Reply
Everyone’s in denial 2 months ago
I am not saying I support the automation of everything, it’s just that in reality no one is safe as it accelerates. This is not just an assistant, nor just a displacement of humans, it is the complete replacement of the human mind. Pandora’s box was opened, now we have no idea if we will enter dystopia or utopia...
8 6 Reply
Jordan 28 days ago
No it is not. LLM's don't replicate how human brains work at all.
2 2 Reply
Tony B (Faible) 2 months ago
AI has so far been good for created standard well known solutions. It is not good at all at understanding large amounts of existing code.
7 3 Reply
Jersey Jim 2 months ago
Getting better every week. MCP. Augment Code. LLM rules.
2 1 Reply
Mu (Faible) 2 months ago
They will be reduced but not entirely replaced. This can be in ai research to improve the programming or new novel types of Research
1 2 Reply
Jacob (Faible) 3 months ago
It will change a sofware engineer is still going to be required to check the code. You aren't going to want this to automated that's crazy.
5 0 Reply
Timothy (Modéré) 3 months ago
"For example, tasks or task components that appeal to capacities in which AI systems excel, will have to be less (or less fully) mastered by people, so that less training will probably be required. AI systems are already much better than people at logically and arithmetically correct gathering (selecting) and processing (weighing, prioritizing, analyzing, combining) large amounts of data. They do this quickly, accurately and reliably. They are also more stable (consistent) than humans, have no stress and emotions and have a great perseverance and a much better retention of knowledge and skills than people. As a machine, they serve people completely and without any “self-interest” or “own hidden agenda.”"
0 0 Reply
Michał (Très probable) 4 months ago
Without knowing programming at this point you can easily write a good program with the help of AI. I completely agree that this work can be automated.
0 7 Reply
Jordan 28 days ago
There's a serious difference between it works and it works correctly. Without understanding the code and testing it, all you've done is make a polished turd.
0 0 Reply
TAmzid2872 (Incertain) 4 months ago
Programming isnt just about writing code, its about problem solving
10 0 Reply
Sven H. (Très probable) 4 months ago
AI can already code extremely well; there will be no need for human programmers in the future.
1 6 Reply
Doubtful (Faible) 4 months ago
AI is horrible at following instructions, and bad at understanding architecture. Also, as context grows it tends to forget instructions.
7 1 Reply
Jersey Jim 3 months ago
Model Context Protocol helps give AI better context. AI can work across many files now (way better IDE integration has happened in the past 6 months). The limits of AI have dwindled and will continue to dwindle as time goes on. Vibe coding is now a thing and AI can follow directions to build complete mvp's in under an hour.
0 1 Reply
Jordan 28 days ago
MVPs are not working reliable software that solves a real problem.
0 0 Reply
Michael Bohn (Incertain) 5 months ago
For the AI to work properly, you need people who know how to write the prompts and how to evaluate the written code.
5 2 Reply
... 5 months ago
How does this relate to programmers? Programmers program not write prompts. Evaluation to code is already possible
0 0 Reply
Pavel 4 months ago
But if AI becomes as good as humans then why programmers would be ever needed if not those who work on AI itself? Maybe for some complex and big programms people would still be needed.
0 0 Reply
J 6 months ago
Robots aint gonna code themselves, if we get to that point then that's Skynet/matrix. Aka end of the world for everyone so who cares
8 2 Reply
PossiblyUnemployed 4 months ago
My worry is if future code-generating models can modify itself or the programs it works on towards a specific goal, sort of like an intelligent self-modifying quine.
0 0 Reply
John pork (Aucune chance) 6 months ago
it is because AI and robots require programming and without programmers, they cannot function
1 2 Reply
PotentiallyJobless 4 months ago
It is true that programmers were necessary to create and train the models, but at this point what may be more necessary is just making sure the systems and hardware that keep the AI running don't malfunction. As it is, modern AI is finding ways to modify itself and its environment.
0 0 Reply

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