Aperçu
Risque d'Automatisation
2. Sondage Utilisateur
3. Croissance
4. Salaires
5. Volume
Description
Ressources
Commentaires

Pilotes Commerciaux

RISQUE D'AUTOMATISATION
CALCULÉ
54%
niveau de risque
SONDAGE
43%
Basé sur 1 906 votes
DEMANDE DE TRAVAIL
CROISSANCE
5,1%
par l'année 2032
SALAIRES
103 910 $
ou 49,95 $ par heure
Volume
48 750
à partir du 2022
RÉSUMÉ
SCORE DE TRAVAIL
5,3/10

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Commentaires (67)

Risque d'automatisation

54% (Risque Modéré)

Risque Modéré (41-60%) : Les professions présentant un risque modéré d'automatisation impliquent généralement des tâches routinières mais nécessitent toujours un certain jugement et interaction humains.

Plus d'informations sur ce que représente ce score et comment il est calculé sont disponibles ici.

Certaines qualités assez importantes du travail sont difficiles à automatiser :

  • Espace de travail exigu, positions inconfortables

  • Dextérité manuelle

  • Dextérité des Doigts

  • Aider et Prendre Soin des Autres

  • Perceptivité Sociale

Sondage utilisateur

43% chance de pleine automatisation au cours des deux prochaines décennies

Nos visiteurs ont voté qu'ils ne sont pas sûrs si cette profession sera automatisée. Cette évaluation est davantage soutenue par le niveau de risque d'automatisation calculé, qui estime 54% de chances d'automatisation.

Que pensez-vous du risque de l'automatisation?

Quelle est la probabilité que Pilotes Commerciaux soit remplacé par des robots ou l'intelligence artificielle dans les 20 prochaines années ?






Sentiment

Le(s) graphique(s) suivant(s) sont inclus là où il y a un nombre substantiel de votes pour fournir des données significatives. Ces représentations visuelles affichent les résultats des sondages des utilisateurs au fil du temps, fournissant une indication significative des tendances de sentiment.

Sentiment au fil du temps (trimestriel)

Sentiment au fil du temps (annuellement)

Croissance

Une croissance modérée par rapport à d'autres professions

On s'attend à ce que le nombre de postes vacants pour 'Commercial Pilots' augmente 5,1% d'ici 2032

Emploi total, et estimations des offres d'emploi

* Données de la Bureau of Labor Statistics pour la période entre 2021 et 2031
Les prévisions mises à jour sont attendues 09-2023.

Salaires

Très bien rémunéré par rapport à d'autres professions

En 2022, le salaire annuel médian pour 'Commercial Pilots' était de 103 910 $, soit 49 $ par heure.

'Commercial Pilots' ont été payés 124,4% de plus que le salaire médian national, qui était de 46 310 $

Salaires au fil du temps

* Données provenant du Bureau des Statistiques du Travail

Volume

Gamme modérée d'opportunités d'emploi par rapport à d'autres professions

À partir de 2022, il y avait 48 750 personnes employées en tant que 'Commercial Pilots' aux États-Unis.

Cela représente environ < 0,001% de la main-d'œuvre employée à travers le pays

Autrement dit, environ 1 personne sur 3 mille est employée en tant que 'Commercial Pilots'.

Description du poste

Pilotez et naviguez le vol d'avions à voilure fixe sur des itinéraires de transport aérien non programmés, ou d'hélicoptères. Nécessite un certificat de pilote commercial. Comprend les pilotes d'affrètement ayant une certification similaire, ainsi que les pilotes d'ambulance aérienne et de circuits aériens. Exclut les pilotes de compagnies aériennes régionales, nationales et internationales.

SOC Code: 53-2012.00

Ressources

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Commentaires

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Dee Snuts (Aucune chance) dit
If the automated system went down because of a storm or someone forgetting to turn their phone on airplane mode then every passenger is screwed
Apr 22, 2024 at 09:22
luhenba (Faible) dit
the reason why i have voted 'low' because anyone will not be willing to sit in a plane operated by computer or A.I without any human input and will you be comfortable to travel in a plane with only A.I inputs?
Apr 18, 2024 at 02:14
Anonymous (Faible) dit
People would not trust robots, which are feared, to fly them, especially when flying is also feared by most people. They would much rather trust humans who can reassure them and are experienced. Also, companies would also be hesitant to incorporate robots as many of them do not have the money required and any lawsuits following a crash would be devastating and would end the whole industry potentially.
Jan 24, 2024 at 08:14
Rip (Faible) dit
No flight is the same. No robot could do what sully did.
Dec 18, 2023 at 12:05
LeftE81 (Aucune chance) dit
They can't handle emergencies
Dec 04, 2023 at 03:59
Autofill (Aucune chance) dit
I can’t even trust robots driving my car let alone flying my airplane. It might also be easier to hack a robot.
Nov 27, 2023 at 09:22
Sumik Chhaliwal (Faible) dit
I don't think robots will fully take over the "Commercial Pilot" job 'cause you always need human intelligence instead of artificial intelligence for a safe journey.
Nov 03, 2023 at 03:50
Sai rithwik (Faible) dit
I don't believe robots can take on the role of commercial pilots due to the potential risks involved.

Allowing robots to operate planes that carry varying numbers of passengers, such as smaller regional jets accommodating around 50 to 100 passengers, and larger airliners like the Boeing 737 or Airbus A320 series carrying between 140 to 240 passengers, or wide-body aircraft like the Boeing 777 or Airbus A380 with capacities ranging from around 300 to over 800 passengers, could pose significant risks to people's lives.

The possibility of robot malfunctions raises concerns about placing full trust in their abilities.
Aug 10, 2023 at 06:06
Etienne (Faible) dit
While yes there is an auto pilot in the cockpit now a days that is not ai this is a program at this stage AI is trying to guess what will come next. So while automation will be of assistance it will not be able to handle emergencies well. Meaning there is still human intervention needed at some point
Jun 04, 2023 at 06:54
Eli (Faible) dit
Most passengers feel like they need at least 1 human pilot to be safe. you can program a robot to do something but it has no clue what to do if something goes wrong.
May 16, 2023 at 02:51
Michael pare (Très probable) dit
It’s only FAA approval and public acceptance that are in the way.
Apr 15, 2023 at 11:27
Guilermo (Aucune chance) dit
Safety and safety perception will make this area to be delayed decades to be fully automated. Government regulations and risk main factors.
Feb 26, 2023 at 06:05
Sky World (Aucune chance) dit
As a student pilot, I need to learn to analyze a chart and do geometry for navigation. (Even tho we have an iPad) Learn air physics, phraseology etc. Make real time critical decision. Probably the last job but AI will enhance us!. Might as well replace 99% of the office workers with automation.

And IT/Engineers? We need them. But 80% less people.
Feb 19, 2023 at 09:51
Rhys (Modéré) dit
Because automation will likely be able to fully automate most systems with human oversight
Jan 18, 2023 at 07:45
Boeing 777 (Aucune chance) dit
First, we will need to make autonomous cars reliable and safe, which is an extremely complicated task. To do the same for airplanes is at least three times more complex.

If autonomous planes fully replace commercial pilots, these pilots will lose their jobs. Furthermore, your once-held childhood dream of flying a big jet above the clouds will be shattered. So, think about that.

Lastly, even if there are fully autonomous planes, there will be many passengers who feel unsafe about flying in a plane without a single pilot.
Jan 12, 2023 at 04:41
Altsu (Faible) dit
The public view on planes being flown by robots instead of a human at the controls would most likely be negative. I personally wouldn't fly on a robot operated plane
Jan 09, 2023 at 12:01
Billy Crews (Faible) dit
I feel like there are decisions that can't be made by AI. For instance, situations like 9/11 or Sully and the crash landing.

I 100% agree that AI can fly planes. For instance, in the military, most are drones piloted by people. So, I still think it's possible for it to go either way.
Oct 04, 2022 at 06:13
James (Aucune chance) dit
I think that commercial pilots should not be replaced by robots or AI. There are still people who want to train to be pilots and have the opportunity to fly people across the world. If these robots take over, they are not just taking over the basics of takeoff or landing, but their entire job. There are still so many people who have dreamed of becoming pilots, so don't let the robots or AI take over.

And what about all the pilots who will be flying in 2030? Where will they go? Plus, the pilots who have just started their job, paying a ton of money for training and working really hard, will then realize it was all for a whole lot of rubbish. So don't let the pilots' hard work go to waste. Let the robots be destroyed, and they can be scrapped or used for a different purpose not relating to planes.
May 16, 2022 at 05:15
Arctic International dit
Yes! at last, someone who agrees with me! Aviation live FOREVER!
Sep 04, 2023 at 11:14
Bob (Aucune chance) dit
Developing an aircraft, its certification process, and the time it takes to be delivered to airliners itself takes at least two decades. Thus, if aircraft manufacturers such as Boeing and Airbus were to start developing such aircraft today, it would take roughly two decades for them to enter service and fly passengers. These companies, as of now, have no plans for such pilotless aircraft. Thus, not only is there no chance of fully automating commercial aircraft within the next two decades, but the chances within the next 50 years are also extremely small.
Apr 07, 2022 at 06:53
dbWizard.24.7 (Très probable) dit
Increased drone activity by the DoD. Computer-operated fighter aircraft.

Increased positive factors:

- Reliability
- Less cockpit space
- Redesign of aircraft for more efficiency
- Does not get sick
- Does not have family problems

Goodbye, human pilots...
Jan 02, 2022 at 12:24
Josep dit
Just look at how many military drones crash every day and then you will change your idea..
Oct 21, 2023 at 09:13

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