Overview

1. Automation Risk

2. User Poll

3. Growth

4. Wages

5. Volume

Description

Resources

Comments

Fallers

High Risk

78%

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AUTOMATION RISK

CALCULATED

100%

(Imminent Risk)

POLLING

57%

(Moderate Risk)

Average: 78%

LABOR DEMAND

GROWTH

-8.4%

by year 2033

WAGES

$53,170

or $25.56 per hour

Volume

4,800

as of 2023

SUMMARY

JOB SCORE

1.8/10

Calculated automation risk

100% (Imminent Risk)

Imminent Risk (81-100%): Occupations in this level have an extremely high likelihood of being automated in the near future. These jobs consist primarily of repetitive, predictable tasks with little need for human judgment.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

Manual Dexterity
Cramped Work Space, Awkward Positions

User poll

57% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. However, the automation risk level we have generated suggests a much higher chance of automation: 100% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Fallers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?

Highly likely
Moderate
Uncertain
Low
No chance

Growth

Very slow growth relative to other professions.

The number of 'Fallers' job openings is expected to decline 8.4% by 2033

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2023 and 2033
Updated projections are due 09-2025.

Wages

Moderately paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Fallers' was $53,170, or $25 per hour

'Fallers' were paid 10.6% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Significantly lower range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 4,800 people employed as 'Fallers' within the United States.

This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 31 thousand people are employed as 'Fallers'.

Job description

Use axes or chainsaws to fell trees using knowledge of tree characteristics and cutting techniques to control direction of fall and minimize tree damage.

SOC Code: 45-4021.00

Comments

Ian (Low) 1 month ago

Tree falling work is dangerous and technical. While theoretically a robot could be made with enough intelligence to understand the various aspects of tree falling (it's never as simple as just cutting trees, there are always hazards and spatial factors to consider), it seems unlikely that logging outfits would spend the money on such a complex machine that could easily be crushed and destroyed by a falling tree.

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Fallers

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Calculated automation risk

User poll

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Growth

Total employment, and estimated job openings

Wages

Wages over time

Volume

Job description

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