Commercial Divers

risk level
Based on 65 votes
by year 2032
or $32.83 per hour
as of 2022

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Automation risk

9% (Minimal Risk)

Minimal Risk (0-20%): Occupations in this category have a low probability of being automated, as they typically demand complex problem-solving, creativity, strong interpersonal skills, and a high degree of manual dexterity. These jobs often involve intricate hand movements and precise coordination, making it difficult for machines to replicate the required tasks.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Finger Dexterity

  • Manual Dexterity

  • Cramped Work Space, Awkward Positions

  • Assisting and Caring for Others

  • Negotiation

  • Originality

  • Social Perceptiveness

User poll

41% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. However, employees may be able to find reassurance in the automated risk level we have generated, which shows 9% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Commercial Divers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?


The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (yearly)


Very fast growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Commercial Divers' job openings is expected to rise 14.7% by 2032

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2023.


High paid relative to other professions

In 2022, the median annual wage for 'Commercial Divers' was $68,300, or $32 per hour

'Commercial Divers' were paid 47.5% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $46,310

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics


Significantly lower range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2022 there were 3,860 people employed as 'Commercial Divers' within the United States.

This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 38 thousand people are employed as 'Commercial Divers'.

Job description

Work below surface of water, using surface-supplied air or scuba equipment to inspect, repair, remove, or install equipment and structures. May use a variety of power and hand tools, such as drills, sledgehammers, torches, and welding equipment. May conduct tests or experiments, rig explosives, or photograph structures or marine life.

SOC Code: 49-9092.00


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Marcus (Moderate) says
High profit for anybody who successfully automates procedures carried out at depth. Time needed for human divers to acclimate to the pressure. Time needed for very specialized training and need for supplies to be sent down with divers. The computer program will likely need to be operated by someone with similar expertise to a commercial diver, but the job itself might no longer entail risky and expensive human dives.
Jul 06, 2023 at 04:33 PM
nihilist (Moderate) says
Look at Elon Musk presenting the Tesla semi-truck that has autopilot. It's clear that the technology will only get more advanced.

Hence, there will be no more need for drivers, especially if all the cars have synchronicity. This would be safer than human drivers because computers don't have human error.
Aug 09, 2022 at 05:09 PM
Anti-nihilist says
Divers not drivers
Apr 17, 2024 at 01:54 PM

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