Commercial and Industrial Designers

AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
47%
risk level
POLLING
32%
Based on 179 votes
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
3.2%
by year 2032
WAGES
$76,250
or $36.66 per hour
Volume
30,810
as of 2023
SUMMARY
JOB SCORE
5.5/10

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Automation risk

47% (Moderate Risk)

Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Originality

  • Persuasion

  • Social Perceptiveness

User poll

32% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted there's a low chance this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 47% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Commercial and Industrial Designers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?






Sentiment

The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Slow growth relative to other professions.

The number of 'Commercial and Industrial Designers' job openings is expected to rise 3.2% by 2032

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2023.

Wages

High paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Commercial and Industrial Designers' was $76,250, or $36 per hour

'Commercial and Industrial Designers' were paid 58.7% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Lower range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 30,810 people employed as 'Commercial and Industrial Designers' within the United States.

This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 4 thousand people are employed as 'Commercial and Industrial Designers'.

Job description

Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

SOC Code: 27-1021.00

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Comments

Leave a comment

Ian D. Velázquez (Low) says
AI will never have the social awareness and emocional human understanding to replace an industrial designer
Aug 07, 2023 at 08:56 PM
Oscar Humano (Low) says
Parameters and ideas can be shared between humans and robots. Since sensory levels are still predominantly in humans and design is based on sensations and experiences, robots need to feed on human sensations and experiences.
May 18, 2023 at 12:16 AM
Nicolas says
I see how many classic "low-level" design tasks can be automated. Design agencies that specialize in the isolated styling of consumer goods for various smaller companies or brands will probably need far fewer employees in the future.

Of course, modern designers work in a multidisciplinary manner and communicate between the various fields of product development. They are not as isolated as the qualities listed above suggest, so I doubt they will become extinct too quickly.

Companies are unlikely to risk their money and reputation on AI wild shots without some form of sentient consideration. Despite this, I bet some will try it anyway, and I am honestly eager to see them succeed.

Advanced creative tasks like innovation management and the expansion of the product portfolio are too important for companies to leave exclusively to tools right now. This job will likely adapt and merge a lot more with engineering and management disciplines.

It is normal for jobs to change with technology.
Feb 12, 2023 at 12:42 PM
Zaber (Low) says
Designing industrial products that people use every day is a complex task. It requires a lot of real-world field research, which an AI confined within the boundaries of machines cannot comprehend or execute. In my opinion, AI will certainly be a blessing for industrial designers and others. A vast amount of data can be processed with great insights in a very short amount of time, adding massive value to the work of designers.

However, the human-like quality of AI, like Chat GPT3 and others, is still primitive in capacity, even though their articulation is top-notch, to say the least. Even then, it is not enough to design products at the capacity that humans currently are capable of.

Certain design fields will probably struggle to reduce their dependency on humans, like graphic design, illustrations, and animation design. However, fields like product or industrial design, architecture, and the like are not likely to be replaced any time soon.

For now and in the foreseeable future, I see AI as a personal assistant to industrial designers rather than a threat.
Jan 29, 2023 at 11:41 AM
Wnm (Highly likely) says
AI is as good as its inputs. As more data from the design world is entered, the better AI will become at generating creative solutions and output.
Dec 17, 2022 at 09:50 PM
Zhusepe (Moderate) says
Recent developments with AI show that it's fully feasible to automate product design.

Given a certain prompt and a starting image, an AI could create thousands of designs, each better than the last one.
Sep 05, 2022 at 11:02 AM
Alex (Low) says
Automation will streamline the process for industrial design. So, while companies might hire fewer designers to accomplish the same output of work, the work itself will never be completely automated. This is due to how fundamental the product is to the bottom line of a company's profit.

New CAD tools will optimize and speed up the development process. Consequently, companies will hire fewer employees and expect more from them. This could lead to worker burnout and exploitation becoming even more common, due to the limited staff.

Prospective employees, in addition to having exceptional artistic skills, will also be expected to have proficiency in programming.
Aug 30, 2022 at 09:49 PM
Nitin (Uncertain) says
Industrial design is both about beauty and function. We have tools already that could simulate and rank the functional efficiencies. Data science could play a role in outlining the patterns of large-scale users' likings, which individual designers might not be able to do.
Jun 11, 2021 at 10:48 PM
Oscar Os says
En ingles o español creo que no se entiende que es una profesión que tiene muchos factores que difícilmente se pueden generar algoritmos, el arte a mi parecer es la ultima línea de los algoritmos, el diseño industrial contempla Ciencias y artes. Tan lógico como que cualquiera puede tener una propuesta a muchos requerimientos en la industria.

In English or Spanish I think it is not understood that it is a profession that has many factors that it is difficult to generate algorithms, art in my opinion is the last line of algorithms, industrial design contemplates Sciences and arts. As logical as that anyone can have a proposal to many requirements in the industry.
Nov 05, 2020 at 08:31 PM
Raúl Palafox says
industrial design could be developed by robots till the algorithms decide how we should love
May 20, 2020 at 05:38 AM
Marco (No chance) says
Design is an art, it's subjective, there's no way a machine can replace this job.
Apr 27, 2020 at 03:56 PM
Omar says
What? I know that some of the young graphic designers and some students consider themselves artists but you should know that that isn't art. Some types of design use elements of art, but that doesn't make it art.
Mar 04, 2021 at 06:00 AM
the (Low) says
creation of original ideas is one of the few things that I see machines having a hard time doing
Mar 01, 2020 at 02:08 AM
Jon (Low) says
Industrial Designers could use robots or design them for automation
Dec 10, 2019 at 01:56 PM
Alex says
not in my home
Jun 24, 2020 at 05:48 PM

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