Commercial and Industrial Designers
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Calculated automation risk
Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.
More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.
User poll
Our visitors have voted there's a low chance this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 47% chance of automation.
What do you think the risk of automation is?
What is the likelihood that Commercial and Industrial Designers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?
Sentiment
The following graph is included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.
Sentiment over time (yearly)
Growth
The number of 'Commercial and Industrial Designers' job openings is expected to rise 3.1% by 2033
Total employment, and estimated job openings
Updated projections are due 09-2024.
Wages
In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Commercial and Industrial Designers' was $76,250, or $36 per hour
'Commercial and Industrial Designers' were paid 58.7% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060
Wages over time
Volume
As of 2023 there were 30,810 people employed as 'Commercial and Industrial Designers' within the United States.
This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country
Put another way, around 1 in 4 thousand people are employed as 'Commercial and Industrial Designers'.
Job description
Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.
SOC Code: 27-1021.00
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Comments
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Of course, modern designers work in a multidisciplinary manner and communicate between the various fields of product development. They are not as isolated as the qualities listed above suggest, so I doubt they will become extinct too quickly.
Companies are unlikely to risk their money and reputation on AI wild shots without some form of sentient consideration. Despite this, I bet some will try it anyway, and I am honestly eager to see them succeed.
Advanced creative tasks like innovation management and the expansion of the product portfolio are too important for companies to leave exclusively to tools right now. This job will likely adapt and merge a lot more with engineering and management disciplines.
It is normal for jobs to change with technology.
However, the human-like quality of AI, like Chat GPT3 and others, is still primitive in capacity, even though their articulation is top-notch, to say the least. Even then, it is not enough to design products at the capacity that humans currently are capable of.
Certain design fields will probably struggle to reduce their dependency on humans, like graphic design, illustrations, and animation design. However, fields like product or industrial design, architecture, and the like are not likely to be replaced any time soon.
For now and in the foreseeable future, I see AI as a personal assistant to industrial designers rather than a threat.
Given a certain prompt and a starting image, an AI could create thousands of designs, each better than the last one.
New CAD tools will optimize and speed up the development process. Consequently, companies will hire fewer employees and expect more from them. This could lead to worker burnout and exploitation becoming even more common, due to the limited staff.
Prospective employees, in addition to having exceptional artistic skills, will also be expected to have proficiency in programming.
In English or Spanish I think it is not understood that it is a profession that has many factors that it is difficult to generate algorithms, art in my opinion is the last line of algorithms, industrial design contemplates Sciences and arts. As logical as that anyone can have a proposal to many requirements in the industry.
In my humble opinion, it falls under creative technology. It doesn't matter what you are actually designing; you're always going to, in the end, design a new way of living.
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