risk level
Based on 1,149 votes
-10.0 %
by year 2031
or $13.58 per hour
as of 2022

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Automation risk

88% (Imminent Risk)

Imminent Risk (81-100%): Occupations in this level have an extremely high likelihood of being automated in the near future. These jobs consist primarily of repetitive, predictable tasks with little need for human judgment.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Assisting and Caring for Others

  • Social Perceptiveness

User poll

92% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted that it's very probable this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 88% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Cashiers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?


The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (quarterly)

Sentiment over time (yearly)


Very slow growth relative to other professions.

The number of 'Cashiers' job openings is expected to decline 10.0% by 2031

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2023.


Very low paid relative to other professions

In 2022, the median annual wage for 'Cashiers' was $28,240, or $13 per hour

'Cashiers' were paid 39.0% lower than the national median wage, which stood at $46,310

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics


Significantly greater range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2022 there were 3,296,040 people employed as 'Cashiers' within the United States.

This represents around 2.2% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 44 people are employed as 'Cashiers'.

Job description

Receive and disburse money in establishments other than financial institutions. May use electronic scanners, cash registers, or related equipment. May process credit or debit card transactions and validate checks.

SOC Code: 41-2011.00


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Leave a comment

Kale (Highly likely) says
Self check outs are a thing.
Jan 04, 2023 at 01:15 PM
VK (Highly likely) says
For most major retailers I will say yes, but you still have tons upon tons of Mom and pop stores that will still employ cashiers.
Jun 18, 2022 at 01:08 AM
Timothy Lynch (Highly likely) says
Currently in place and being tested. Will not work at all stores though.
Mar 13, 2022 at 05:31 PM
W (Highly likely) says
It already has been substantially taken over by automation
Dec 14, 2021 at 08:23 PM
Susan says
My grocery store only has self-checkout and I hate it. :/ It takes way longer and it's more work for me. I am not sure if that is even "automation."
Sep 10, 2021 at 01:58 AM
Mark (Uncertain) says
Nothing is ever all or nothing. We like variety, for all tastes. Digital books. Paper books. Etc. Etc.
May 05, 2021 at 09:41 PM
Michał (Highly likely) says
It's a really easy job and currently it is automated
Feb 26, 2021 at 09:08 AM
Tortilla (Highly likely) says
If there was a definitely option I would pick it because there's no way this won't be automated. It's easy to do (there are already self-checkouts) and its way cheaper than paying people.
Jul 11, 2020 at 06:55 AM
Dick Hurtz (Highly likely) says
There Is a high chance that cashiers will be replaced by automation as today we have online shopping becoming more and more popular and also people going "anti-cash", so as technology advances more and more that chance will go up.
May 23, 2020 at 03:21 AM
M says
I’m a cashier I hope I get replaced I seriously hate my boss
Apr 20, 2020 at 06:39 PM
Jen Leonard (Highly likely) says
Many cashiers have already been replaced by self checkouts.
Mar 25, 2020 at 01:02 PM
Elliott (No chance) says
Robots might severely cut down on the number of people employed as cashiers, but I doubt they can effectively replace human cashiers entirely. Only the human cashier still has the ability to ensure that the food went to the correct customer, as while a robot might blindly just give away food to a dishonest person who didn't purchase the meal.

So, there would still need to be at least one human employed in every restaurant to handle complaints by customers who didn't get their orders -- such as the manager.
Mar 07, 2020 at 10:28 PM
Urmum says
Have you not seen those shops where there is no cashier and no one supervising the place? Those outlets are completely AI-based and are already appearing around the world.
Aug 09, 2021 at 10:32 AM
lol says
***holes took my job 2 years at jack in the box
Feb 19, 2020 at 05:57 PM
Darian Mongiovi says
I work in retail and I have some some ideas about why automation hasn't already taken over.

1. Retail businesses may not have the profit margins to invest in robots/kiosks, the risk of this investment simply does not outweigh potential gains from it.

2. People are stupid and need help. People get frustrated already with kiosks, between finding things, coupon issues, questions about products, getting heavy things to vehicles. In a lot of retail settings cashiers double as customer service. Tech is ever evolving and it is hard for the average person to keep up, you would not believe how often I have to explain to people how to simply use there credit card.

3. Human to Human communication has a very large impact of returning customers. friendliness ratings have a very significant effects on weather or not a customer returns. robots simply cant recreate this.

4. retail businesses are constantly changing hands. When owners change so does the tech solutions, and integrating systems from different companies has caused many costly problems for retailers. Adding robots that run on these complicated inventory systems is just one more thing that can go wrong and potentially cause far more losses than the cost of an employee.

5. Tech is a business and the wouldn't be pushing for automation in retail without the potential for future profits. competition would lead to planned obsolescence and a lack of industry standards. This will mean that automation will not only be a huge investment, but will also come with routine costs to run. In the long run it may not be at all cheaper to replace minimum wage employees, If it made fiscal sense why hasn't macdonalds already done it? Big companies would have made the transition long ago if it was a guaranteed way to raise profits.
Feb 03, 2020 at 12:23 AM
iz me Alex (Highly likely) says
I can definitely see robots taking over cashiers! No more chatty cashiers LOOOOOL
Jan 16, 2020 at 07:27 PM
Smol bean (Highly likely) says
Well I mean, every grocery store I go to there is almost always a self-checkout so... It's very likely the job will be taken over by robots.
Jan 01, 2020 at 04:41 PM
Kaler (Low) says
People need jobs and these will always be available
Dec 13, 2019 at 02:59 PM
Michael says
Jul 04, 2020 at 12:46 AM
Donovan Briggs (Highly likely) says
I am literally certain no doubt they will be taken by automation.
Dec 09, 2019 at 01:51 AM
collin (Moderate) says
I'm a cashier, they are starting to replace a lot of the registers with self check out, and also getting rid of a lot of my co workers.
Nov 14, 2019 at 07:35 PM
Bud says
Yeah, cashiers are doomed. People already don't like to interact with other people while shopping.
Apr 15, 2020 at 04:38 PM
Drone_Better (Highly likely) says
Self-serving already exists, we're going to adopt it more and it will get better.
Nov 01, 2019 at 12:31 PM

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