Carpenters

Low Risk
25%

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Vote Comments (23)
AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
17%
(Minimal Risk)
POLLING
33%
(Low Risk, Based on 495 votes)
Average: 25%
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
4.2%
by year 2033
WAGES
$56,350
or $27.09 per hour
Volume
700,290
as of 2023
SUMMARY
What does this snowflake show?
The Snowflake is a visual summary of the five badges: Automation Risk (calculated), Risk (polled), Growth, Wages and Volume. It gives you an instant snapshot of an occupations profile. The colour of the Snowflake relates to its size. The better the occupation scores in relation to others, the larger and greener the Snowflake becomes.
JOB SCORE
6.5/10
What's this?
Job Score (higher is better):

We rate jobs using four factors. These are:

- Chance of being automated
- Job growth
- Wages
- Volume of available positions

These are some key things to think about when job hunting.

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Calculated automation risk

17% (Minimal Risk)

Minimal Risk (0-20%): Occupations in this category have a low probability of being automated, as they typically demand complex problem-solving, creativity, strong interpersonal skills, and a high degree of manual dexterity. These jobs often involve intricate hand movements and precise coordination, making it difficult for machines to replicate the required tasks.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Manual Dexterity

  • Finger Dexterity

User poll

33% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted there's a low chance this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 17% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Carpenters will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?

Sentiment

The following graph is shown where there are enough votes to produce meaningful data. It displays user poll results over time, providing a clear indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Moderate growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Carpenters' job openings is expected to rise 4.2% by 2033

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2023 and 2033
Updated projections are due 09-2025.

Wages

Moderately paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Carpenters' was 56.350 $, or 27 $ per hour

'Carpenters' were paid 17.2% higher than the national median wage, which stood at 48.060 $

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Significantly greater range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 700,290 people employed as 'Carpenters' within the United States.

This represents around 0.46% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 216 people are employed as 'Carpenters'.

Job description

Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

SOC Code: 47-2031.00

Comments (23)

Leave a comment
Lukas (Uncertain)
10 Nov 2022 15:53
Some jobs will definitely be occupied but in the premium segment, where there are extreme accuracy requirements and complex furniture, people will always be needed and wanted even if the jobs could be done by robots.
Brian (no chance) (No chance)
04 Jul 2024 01:52
I've worked in carpentry for a few years. Seen most aspects of carpentry from my father. He was the person who designed, made, install custom cabinets.

Maybe an integration where we use it to show a client a design or how which wood would be better.

If you ask me whether they'll replace my job, I heavily doubt it, however I do believe AI will be useful to both carpenters and clients alike.
chippy dan (No chance)
09 Jan 2023 07:32
I'm a chippy, ok furniture can be done by ai, but renovating a house is different, lot's of different repairs
Jared Y (No chance)
26 Sep 2022 20:57
A robot cannot build a house, piece by piece.

I'd like to see a robot put breakers into an electrical panel, lay tile in a tight bathroom, hang a cabinet, or install a four-piece crown moulding.

Sure, you can get a 3D-printed concrete house, but you still have to run electrical and plumbing, among other things.

I don't see it happening.
T (Low)
11 Jun 2022 05:17
Carpenters do so many different things that require complex ranges of motion.

Some tasks could be replaced but it will likely be a while before robots fully replace human carpenters.
Darren Maxwell
26 Oct 2020 12:23
Carpentry will never die completely but the money will/already has.... Skirting Architrave handrails will all be pre cut your already starting to see it now so Everything will be pre fab inevitably the pay scale will just go down and down
Nicolas (No chance)
02 Dec 2024 09:50
"It is something precise and with a very high degree of complexity."
Katlynn
14 Mar 2020 21:26
Why do robots have to take our jobs What happens when we can't do a job then we can't make money to support us.
S
26 Mar 2021 18:58
That's where welfare comes in.
Will
09 Jul 2021 05:25
@Katlynn Don't you know we wont have to work everything will be free like it would be if the world was communist
W R
24 Jan 2022 05:08
Universal Basic Income, Andrew Yang had a plan for this.
Jason (Low)
02 Mar 2020 12:09
I would agree with installers which are most carpenters today as I am not I am a custom designer/build from furniture to homes to custom interiors I can build anything from raw materials There are few carpenters left like me I never feel when the economy, tanks
BOB da Builder (No chance)
02 Feb 2020 13:27
movement /and split dissensions over thousands of variables
Nick Bronnenmayer (Low)
17 Dec 2019 18:04
I have a lot of different tasks to do and moving to my working positions needs climbing or crawling. Standard houses can be made bi robots, but repairing a 100 year's old roof will stay a job for humans more than 30 years.
Drew
11 Sep 2022 00:58
Not unless they just build the whole roof system that they can use a crane
Kieran Green (Low)
08 Dec 2019 11:38
I can see it likely that new build houses will be built by robots but I do t think they will be able to retro fit houses which have already been built by humans. And there are still and will be millions of houses to retro fit in decades to come.
Manuel Castillo (No chance)
05 Oct 2019 15:07
Computers will never be able to problem solve real world situations when it comes to construction whether it's structural, finish and or scenic. Carpenters will not and cannot be replaced by computer.
Henrik Nielsen
12 Aug 2019 10:19
I mean, its possible, BUT it will require a robot that can move as freely as humans, think with the same level of intelligence and "emotion" as humans (as a captender making a tough call, you think what would the client like, maybe i should focus on making this look good, But how does a robot know what "looks good" under extremely specific situations) Every job is different, from the setting/location, weather, what and how the client wants, improvising and changing cuts/plans/drawing based on the house/job. No carpenter has ever made a cut without accounting for errors in the house from previous construction. robots might replace carpenders, electricians, plummers, and all these trades. BUT it will not be easy, like at all. would you hire a robot to do the job a human can do, but worse?
Mike (Highly likely)
26 Sep 2019 16:06
What you describe as the human element "emotion" is nothing more than an organic algorithm. It will be created in machines and its possible that AI and robots may be able to develop more "emotion" than even humans are capable of. The short of the long is that robots and AI will become better at absolutely everything, and in ways that we will never be able to even comprehend. It's best to just work at what we can while we still can, and to understand that the future will be nothing like this blast off we're in the midst of.
zack
15 Jul 2019 13:54
bs
He
26 Mar 2019 13:01
Carpentry is a skilled trade. There's no mass production, you have to think carefully, and good communication is also necessary.
TJ
12 Mar 2019 03:32
no way, no how there's just too many variables involved on a day to day basis, not to mention robotics is pretty far away from having viable robots that can actually do the work.
KevinR
05 Sep 2022 20:52
I would have loved having a couple of robots do the heavy lifting during my 27 years as a carpenter.

AI and ML are here to stay, and I believe the jobs that are created from the advancement of technology will far outweigh the losses. There will also be better jobs that give us a better quality of life.

Don't forget, we'll be building differently with 3D printing.
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