Writers and Authors

4%

Will "Writers and Authors" be replaced by AI & Robots?

There is very little chance of this occupation being replaced by robots/AI. This is further validated by our poll, which suggests a 22% chance of automation within the next 2 decades.

Automation Risk Level

Totally Safe

or 4% probability of automation

Projected Growth

2%

by 2024

People Employed

45,860

as of 2019

Median Annual Wage

$63,200

or $30.38 hourly

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How this compares with other jobs: 123 out of 707

Cast Your Vote




How likely do you think this occupation will be taken over by robots/AI within the next 20 years?

People Employed (US)

Median Annual Wage (US)

Job description

Originate and prepare written material, such as scripts, stories, advertisements, and other material.

SOC Code: 27-3043

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Comments

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Anon (Likely) says
Seems like the general consensus is "robots don't have a brain / creativity / a soul, therefore they will never be able to reproduce what human writers are doing now." But robots don't need souls to produce writing. GPT-3 is already astonishingly good at producing text, and I don't think OpenAI is finished pushing this technology to its limits. At the very least, text synthesis will augment the amount of articles one writer can produce for some website, and the number of writers needed will shrink.
Aug 22, 2020 at 05:54 PM
Sebastian (No chance) says
Imagination cannot be replicated.
Jul 28, 2020 at 11:48 AM
alicia (No chance) says
The creativity is fundamental, nothing replaces it
Jul 10, 2020 at 03:08 PM
someone (no chance) (No chance) says
of course they can't, even in the future. no matter how smart AIs are, they can never, ever be creative, and therefore cannot be capable of writing.
Jun 01, 2020 at 03:15 PM
Jason (Small chance) says
I have seen a youtuber program an AI to write a story and it did that. However the story made no sense to listen to. This was not an amazingly high budget production but it highlighted that AI still needs to develop before it can properly replicate the output a human writer could manage. I could see it happening in 10-15 years though I imagine most people would prefer a story written by a human
May 26, 2020 at 01:08 AM
Jim (Small chance) says
The thing with anything artsy (such as writing) is that humans will continue to do it to express themselves even if robots will be able to do it better. I think there will always be humans creating art and making at least small amounts of profit from it.
May 02, 2020 at 12:20 AM
六小六hh (Small chance) says
I don’t think it will. The profession of an author requires creativity. I don’t think it can be achieved according to the current level of technology.
Apr 01, 2020 at 03:49 AM
Linsay (No chance) says
It take an imagination to write stories AI have none.
Mar 24, 2020 at 09:51 PM
Elizabeth (No chance) says
To be an author you need to come up with creative ideas on your own. It's almost impossible for AI to come up with stories the way humans do.
Mar 08, 2020 at 07:51 PM
no u (No chance) says
come on, have you seen bot developed stories? botnik isn't anywhere close to hp
Dec 04, 2019 at 06:48 PM
Dot (No chance) says
Robots will only become writers when Artificial Intelligence matures. The human race might be extinct by then.
Nov 28, 2019 at 04:24 PM
Fef (Likely) says
There exist today AI capable of writing stories by mixing the styles of one or various authors. Maybe not masterpieces but for your everyday novel reader will be more than enough
Oct 30, 2019 at 11:04 AM
Paige (Small chance) says
The arts are based on the conscious. When a robot has full consciousness and can tell me what it’s like to be a robot that is when I will, not compete, but welcome said robot as a sentient being capable of completing wonderful works of art.
Oct 29, 2019 at 07:41 AM
Jak (No chance) says
It's a purely creative field. Even if a robot could do it, automation isn't the point of art. It's quality, not quantity.
Sep 23, 2019 at 10:08 AM
Simone (Small chance) says
Writing is human communication. There might be a market in the future for custom stories written by AI but since it’s an art, there will always be a need for humans writing for humans for the sake of history, progression and expression.
Sep 21, 2019 at 11:21 AM
Robert Winning (No chance) says
A machine has no soul, it can’t produce art
Sep 16, 2019 at 08:27 AM
Howl says
Robots can indeed make things like music. I just wanted you to know.
Feb 19, 2020 at 04:39 PM
Jason says
What is a soul though? Is it something inside the human body exclusively? Is it in living creatures?

I think an intelligence should be considered to have a soul if it was capable of seeing itself and recognising others, if it could communicate without assistance or restraints, if you could provide it with information and perspective and it could formulate its own opinion

AI can very much create art, however the art they make is not an expression of themselves because these are AI. They simulate intelligence. But they only do what we tell them to. I don't consider what most AI makes to be art because they are not expressing themselves, they're just doing what we tell them to do without any real personal investment because they have nothing to invest

If we wanted them to make real art without instruction the only way would be to make them live some kind of life and then ask them to express themselves through some form of art be it a painting or a story
May 26, 2020 at 01:22 AM
Maquette Alforque (Small chance) says
Creative human intelligence has the quality of being ever evolving. Robotic intelligence might be able to simulate this, cleverly using a vast and increasing database to draw from in "writing something new," but there will be no evidence of genius. There will no longer be great writing.
Sep 13, 2019 at 08:00 AM
John Doe (Highly likely) says
We are already seeing stories written by robots, and though made fun of for their non-sensibility, such as a fan-fiction about Harry Potter written by an AI, in 20 years I don't see it as unlikely that not only will fully understandable stories be written by robots, but that publication companies will use them as a cheaper alternative to paying real authors.
Jun 18, 2019 at 04:26 AM
Dusty Rose says
Given that the vast majority of traditionally published authors don't even earn enough money to live on, with many of them even below the poverty line, I don't think "robots as a cheaper alternative to real authors" is a viable argument. Writers like JK Rowling and Stephen King, who make bank, are one-in-a-million outliers.
Jun 18, 2019 at 09:42 PM
Paige says
Tech enthusiasts such as yourself fail to understand the arts and that’s why you think it’s possible for AI to be able to do it. Art is based on human consciousness. Scientists still know very little about the entirety of the human mind. Seems only people in the tech community believe the human mind= a machine that can be copied. If AI can “understand” a script it is ultimately because it’s programmer (a human) understood it. AI can only do anything if it’s human has computed it to do so and I think a lot of people misunderstand this. When I watched a film “written” by an AI on youtube I was shocked at how many people placed the meaning on the robot versus the film crew (a group of humans) that actually applied meaning and sense to the gibberish it churned it out.
Oct 29, 2019 at 07:38 AM
ByAli says
Yeah, nah. Robots could never replace an author/writer; it’s about passion! If you don’t have creativity, what will you right about? Even if you do, your stories won’t be interesting, or nice to read.
Jun 14, 2019 at 05:32 AM
seojin (No chance) says
if you have the job that needs 3C, then it probably don't be automated.
critical thinking? 2/5, creativity? 5/5, collaboration? 4/5! 11/15, quite low probablity of automating.
Jun 03, 2019 at 08:42 AM
Peter Murphy (Could go either way) says
Given the drop in writers' earnings, it would not be viable.
Unless, of course, there are those robots who just have to tell their stories!
May 23, 2019 at 02:40 PM
4BASKETBALL says
Robots don't have a brain to explore and really come from the heart because robots don't have a heart.
Apr 24, 2019 at 03:38 PM
A. P. (No chance) says
That's not how it works...
Jun 15, 2020 at 10:42 AM

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