概述
自动化风险
2. 用户投票
3. 增长
工资
5. 体积
描述
资源
评论

邮政服务邮件递送员

自动化风险
计算出的
100%
风险等级
投票
55%
根据 193 票的投票结果
劳动力需求
增长
-4.8%
到2032年
工资
$54,250
或每小时 $26.08
体积
326,760
截至 2022
摘要
工作评分
2.8/10

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投票
评论 (18)

自动化风险

100% (即将来临的风险)

迫在眉睫的风险（81-100%）：这个等级的职业在不久的将来有极高的可能被自动化。这些工作主要包括重复性高、可预测的任务，几乎不需要人类的判断。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化：

  • 社会洞察力

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内，实现全自动化的可能性为55%。

我们的访客投票表示，他们不确定这个职业是否会被自动化。 然而，我们生成的自动化风险等级表明自动化的可能性要高得多：有100%的机会会被自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么？

邮政服务邮件递送员在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大？






情感

以下图表会在有大量投票数据可以呈现有意义的数据时包含在内。这些视觉表示显示了用户投票结果随时间的变化，提供了对情绪趋势的重要指示。

随着时间（每年）的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业，增长非常缓慢。

预计到2032，"Postal Service Mail Carriers"职位的空缺数量将减少4.8%。

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据，该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2023到期.

工资

相对于其他职业，薪酬适中

在2022，'Postal Service Mail Carriers'的年度中位数工资为$54,250，或每小时$26。

'Postal Service Mail Carriers'的薪资比全国中位工资高17.1%，全国中位工资为$46,310。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比，明显更多的工作机会范围。

截至2022，在美国有326,760人被雇佣为'Postal Service Mail Carriers'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约0.22%

换句话说，大约每452人中就有1人被雇佣为“Postal Service Mail Carriers”。

工作描述

为美国邮政服务(USPS)分类和投递邮件。通过车辆或步行在设定的路线上投递邮件。包括由USPS承包商雇佣的邮政服务邮递员。

SOC Code: 43-5052.00

资源

如果您正在考虑开始新的职业生涯，或者想要换工作，我们已经为您创建了一个方便的工作搜索工具，它可能会帮助您找到那个完美的新角色。

在您的本地区搜索工作岗位

评论

留下评论

Philip Low (极有可能)说
its a highly repetitive job and easy to replicate although some delivery areas will be automated faster than others
Dec 08, 2023 at 04:58 下午
Jacob Green (低)说
Being a mail carrier is harder than than it might seem. There is more to it than just putting things in boxes. We deliver in severe weather conditions like blizzards where am AI would have shard time seeing the road.
Jul 13, 2023 at 03:15 上午
grinch (不确定)说
Doubt all jobs would suddenly be cut especially because of unions etc. In my country the roads are really rubbish and weather can be especially nasty, not to mention the import costs would likely be high for such technology. Maybe further in future I could see less and less postmen but I highly doubt this would happen for a long time, in any case if this happens then sign me up for the dole and I will live in my parents basement like an incel while watching the world go to ruin.
Jun 11, 2023 at 08:15 上午
Jack (没有机会)说
Not feasible in rural areas where requirements and routes are variable and non-standard.
Apr 28, 2023 at 11:19 下午
J (低)说
I work for USPS as a letter carrier. I can’t imagine management being able to maintain robots when they can hardly update equipment and vehicles as is.
Nov 25, 2022 at 02:43 下午
Sujoi (极有可能)说
As the development of autonomous drones and self-driving cars continues to improve, the role of the postal man will greatly shrink. I believe that even in the span of a single decade, the job will be considerably automated.
Mar 14, 2022 at 02:33 下午
说
Not sure but it's a lot of hurdles to overcome. Drones flying around with big boxes everywhere. Sounds cool but realistically in our modern society even is it going to be too much liability? If something falls or destroys packages and people's property then people of course will try and steal from them.
Sep 17, 2021 at 03:01 下午
Dennis说
Even rural mail carriers?
Mar 09, 2021 at 06:53 下午
Charlie(No chance) (没有机会)说
I doubt postal mail carriers will be replaced by robots because of strong labor unions.
Feb 23, 2021 at 06:29 下午
Angus (极有可能)说
There is already post delivery robots in Brisbane suburbs in Queensland, Australia
Aug 31, 2020 at 12:20 上午
NO (适度)说
Drone based delivery
Jan 29, 2020 at 10:26 上午
Nancy说
There is human quality to this job that can't be replaced.
Dec 09, 2022 at 03:05 上午
Tony (适度)说
It's pretty likely that we will find ways to deliver physical mail to people using machines in the next 20 years. :/
Jan 17, 2020 at 05:35 下午
Jak Aser (不确定)说
Depends on a few things:
how much does it takes to develop an autodriven car.
how much it costs.
how much it takes to develop an auto-driven drone.
how to make it to get it directly to your home or mailbox, specially big packages.
how to make it less costly than a human delivering the package.
we have been waiting to the electric car like.... 40 years. it was said we would have it by the year 2000 and... still to many costs.
Oct 31, 2019 at 11:28 上午
Patrik (不确定)说
Machines already sort most mail, only needs refinement. Selfdriving cars are on the horizon. We only need to combine the two.
Aug 16, 2019 at 05:45 下午
Nilay (极有可能)说
This job will be taken over due to the coming of drone delivery.
Jun 24, 2019 at 11:21 上午
Steve Jennings (极有可能)说
Small robots would be faster and more efficient
May 08, 2019 at 03:39 上午
THE DUDE说
Yeah until kids on the street light them on fire, break them etc. imagine the repair cost of a couple 100,000 robots. Better off paying people that actually care about customers. You think a mail delivery robot would save an elderly woman from a house fire or notify police of a burglary.
Mar 05, 2023 at 07:19 下午

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