邮政服务邮件递送员

高风险
77%
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自动化风险
计算出的
100%
(即将来临的风险)
投票
55%
(中等风险)
Average: 77%
劳动力需求
增长
-3.0%
到2033年
工资
$56,330
或每小时 $27.08
体积
331,600
截至 2023
摘要
工作评分
2.8/10

人们还浏览了

计算自动化风险

100% (即将来临的风险)

迫在眉睫的风险(81-100%):这个等级的职业在不久的将来有极高的可能被自动化。这些工作主要包括重复性高、可预测的任务,几乎不需要人类的判断。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 社会洞察力

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为55%

我们的访客投票表示,他们不确定这个职业是否会被自动化。 然而,我们生成的自动化风险等级表明自动化的可能性要高得多:有100%的机会会被自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

邮政服务邮件递送员在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表在有大量投票数据时会显示。这些可视化图表展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了情感趋势的重要指示。

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业,增长非常缓慢

预计到2033,"Postal Service Mail Carriers"职位的空缺数量将减少3.0%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2024到期.

工资

相对于其他职业,薪酬适中

在2023,'Postal Service Mail Carriers'的年度中位数工资为$56,330,或每小时$27。

'Postal Service Mail Carriers'的薪资比全国中位工资高17.2%,全国中位工资为$48,060。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,明显更多的工作机会范围。

截至2023,在美国有331,600人被雇佣为'Postal Service Mail Carriers'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约0.22%

换句话说,大约每457人中就有1人被雇佣为“Postal Service Mail Carriers”。

工作描述

为美国邮政服务(USPS)分类和投递邮件。通过车辆或步行在设定的路线上投递邮件。包括由USPS承包商雇佣的邮政服务邮递员。

SOC Code: 43-5052.00

资源

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评论

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genya 2 months ago
while other postal jobs are at higher risk of automation, it would be extremely difficult to automate the actual task of delivering on the street. while there are repetitive aspects to the job, there are simply far too many complicated, ever-changing variables for a machine to replicate the work. from working in all weather conditions, to driving in unpredictable traffic and road conditions, to specific customer and delivery needs that require complex thinking. a lot of problem-solving and risk-assessment involved in the job that cannot be easily replicated by automated technology. consider even a variable that is small and simple like a mailbox being moved or replaced in a new spot - an issue that would be easy for a human to problem-solve, but nearly-impossible for any artificial intelligence we could conceive in the foreseeable future.
0 0 Reply
mbailey (没有机会) 4 months ago
Will there be less, yes. Will it be replaced by robots in 20 years? NO WAY.
0 0 Reply
Nate (没有机会) 5 months ago
Clerk work might get automated, but delivering mail can not be automated in the next 20 years. They can't even get self driving right, walking up to a house is way beyond what a robot can do let alone sort and place mail. New technology might be invited to aid a carrier in delivering, but will not be replaced.
1 0 Reply
Philip Low (极有可能) 11 months ago
its a highly repetitive job and easy to replicate although some delivery areas will be automated faster than others
0 0 Reply
Jacob Green (低) 1 year ago
Being a mail carrier is harder than than it might seem. There is more to it than just putting things in boxes. We deliver in severe weather conditions like blizzards where am AI would have shard time seeing the road.
0 0 Reply
grinch (不确定) 1 year ago
Doubt all jobs would suddenly be cut especially because of unions etc. In my country the roads are really rubbish and weather can be especially nasty, not to mention the import costs would likely be high for such technology. Maybe further in future I could see less and less postmen but I highly doubt this would happen for a long time, in any case if this happens then sign me up for the dole and I will live in my parents basement like an incel while watching the world go to ruin.
0 0 Reply
Jack (没有机会) 1 year ago
Not feasible in rural areas where requirements and routes are variable and non-standard.
0 0 Reply
J (低) 1 year ago
I work for USPS as a letter carrier. I can’t imagine management being able to maintain robots when they can hardly update equipment and vehicles as is.
1 0 Reply
Sujoi (极有可能) 2 years ago
As the development of autonomous drones and self-driving cars continues to improve, the role of the postal man will greatly shrink. I believe that even in the span of a single decade, the job will be considerably automated.
0 0 Reply
3 years ago
Not sure but it's a lot of hurdles to overcome. Drones flying around with big boxes everywhere. Sounds cool but realistically in our modern society even is it going to be too much liability? If something falls or destroys packages and people's property then people of course will try and steal from them.
0 0 Reply
Dennis 3 years ago
Even rural mail carriers?
0 0 Reply
Charlie(No chance) (没有机会) 3 years ago
I doubt postal mail carriers will be replaced by robots because of strong labor unions.
0 0 Reply
Angus (极有可能) 4 years ago
There is already post delivery robots in Brisbane suburbs in Queensland, Australia
0 0 Reply
NO (适度) 4 years ago
Drone based delivery
0 0 Reply
Nancy 1 year ago
There is human quality to this job that can't be replaced.
0 0 Reply
Tony (适度) 4 years ago
It's pretty likely that we will find ways to deliver physical mail to people using machines in the next 20 years. :/
0 0 Reply
Jak Aser (不确定) 5 years ago
Depends on a few things:
how much does it takes to develop an autodriven car.
how much it costs.
how much it takes to develop an auto-driven drone.
how to make it to get it directly to your home or mailbox, specially big packages.
how to make it less costly than a human delivering the package.
we have been waiting to the electric car like.... 40 years. it was said we would have it by the year 2000 and... still to many costs.
0 0 Reply
Patrik (不确定) 5 years ago
Machines already sort most mail, only needs refinement. Selfdriving cars are on the horizon. We only need to combine the two.
0 0 Reply
Nilay (极有可能) 5 years ago
This job will be taken over due to the coming of drone delivery.
0 0 Reply
Steve Jennings (极有可能) 5 years ago
Small robots would be faster and more efficient
0 0 Reply
THE DUDE 1 year ago
Yeah until kids on the street light them on fire, break them etc. imagine the repair cost of a couple 100,000 robots. Better off paying people that actually care about customers. You think a mail delivery robot would save an elderly woman from a house fire or notify police of a burglary.
0 0 Reply

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