商业飞行员
您接下来想去哪里?
或者,更深入地探索这个职业...
这个雪花图案展示了什么?
这是什么?
我们使用四个因素对工作进行评分。这些是:
- 被自动化的可能性
- 工作增长
- 工资
- 可用职位的数量
这些是求职时需要考虑的一些关键事项。
人们还浏览了
计算自动化风险
中等风险(41-60%):中等风险的职业通常涉及常规任务,但仍需要一些人类的判断和交互。
有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。
用户投票
我们的访客投票表示,这个职业被自动化的可能性很低。 然而,我们生成的自动化风险等级暗示了更高的自动化可能性:55%的自动化机会。
你认为自动化的风险是什么?
商业飞行员在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?
情感
以下图表显示了在有足够投票的情况下生成的有意义数据。它展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,清晰地指示了情感趋势。
随着时间的推移的情绪(季度)
随着时间(每年)的情绪变化
增长
预计"Commercial Pilots"的工作空缺数量将在2033内增长5.7%
总就业人数和预计的职位空缺
更新的预测将在09-2025到期.
工资
在2023,'Commercial Pilots'的年度中位数工资为$113,080,或每小时$54。
'Commercial Pilots'的薪资比全国中位工资高135.3%,全国中位工资为$48,060。
随着时间推移的工资
体积
截至2023,在美国有52,750人被雇佣为'Commercial Pilots'。
这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约< 0.001%
换句话说,大约每2 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Commercial Pilots”。
工作描述
驾驶并导航固定翼飞机在非定期航空运输线路上的飞行,或直升机。需要商业飞行员证书。包括具有相似认证的包机飞行员,以及空中救护和空中旅游飞行员。不包括地区,国家和国际航空公司的飞行员。
SOC Code: 53-2012.00
评论 (107)
Personally, I think people will accept it surprisingly quickly after some initial hesitancy, just like there was with AI-generated content and general purpose LLM chatbots at the beginning. (There still is resistance - and I'm part of it - but ChatGPT etc. has already taken a huge chunk out of Google's market share, and I know so many people of all ages who treat its answers as gospel.) By the time Gen Alpha has come of age, long before 2046, unmanned cars and planes will be a standard part of their life, like so many "robot" jobs.
In this case, regulation is the hold-up, not the technology.
Rightly or wrongly, with the number of DEI initiatives at present and several recent high-profile transport incidents caused by user error, I foresee many people choosing AI over humans in life-or-death professions. I make no judgement on that, personally, but I know a lot of people are bearish on such hiring policies, especially in critical industries. As for the technology, one only need look at the progress of AI in automated driving since 2020 to see that self-flying planes will almost surely exist by 2045. (I'm a computer scientist, by the way. My own job will be gone too -- and much sooner. I'm opposed to AI on principle and I've grown to hate my own field. But I've also got to be honest about it because I understand where we are.)
Allowing robots to operate planes that carry varying numbers of passengers, such as smaller regional jets accommodating around 50 to 100 passengers, and larger airliners like the Boeing 737 or Airbus A320 series carrying between 140 to 240 passengers, or wide-body aircraft like the Boeing 777 or Airbus A380 with capacities ranging from around 300 to over 800 passengers, could pose significant risks to people's lives.
The possibility of robot malfunctions raises concerns about placing full trust in their abilities.
have to be 1000% reliable in order to not cause problems
can scare public away
Examples like TACA Flight 110, where a Boeing 737-300 lost both engines, show this. Instead of following the manual and returning, the pilots landed on the grass ahead, which was the right decision. This applies to many situations. In the case of United Airlines Flight 232, it's another example. Following the correct protocols isn't always the right choice and can sometimes prevent worse tragedies.
In the United case, let's suppose an AI is in command and the plane loses all three hydraulic systems. The company's manual doesn't cover a situation where all engines are lost. At that moment, what would the AI do? Even if it follows the tower controller's voice commands correctly, it’s impossible to determine the flight's fate because there's no human inside. However, this isn't to say that following protocols is always wrong. It’s just a reminder to follow protocols, but if you ever need to break them, it should be in a life-or-death situation.
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