平面设计师

中等风险
58%
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投票 评论 (155)
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自动化风险
计算出的
47%
(中等风险)
投票
69%
(高风险)
Average: 58%
劳动力需求
增长
2.5%
到2033年
工资
$58,910
或每小时 $28.32
体积
212,720
截至 2023
摘要
工作评分
4.1/10

人们还浏览了

计算自动化风险

47% (中等风险)

中等风险(41-60%):中等风险的职业通常涉及常规任务,但仍需要一些人类的判断和交互。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些非常重要的品质很难实现自动化:

  • 美术

  • 原创性

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 社会洞察力

  • 谈判

  • 说服

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为69%

我们的访客投票认为,这个职业很可能会被自动化。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持,该等级预计有47%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

平面设计师在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表在有大量投票数据时会显示。这些可视化图表展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了情感趋势的重要指示。

随着时间的推移的情绪(季度)

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业,增长缓慢

预计"Graphic Designers"的工作空缺数量将在2033内增长2.5%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2024到期.

工资

相对于其他职业,薪酬适中

在2023,'Graphic Designers'的年度中位数工资为$58,910,或每小时$28。

'Graphic Designers'的薪资比全国中位工资高22.6%,全国中位工资为$48,060。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,更大的就业机会范围

截至2023,在美国有212,720人被雇佣为'Graphic Designers'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约0.14%

换句话说,大约每713人中就有1人被雇佣为“Graphic Designers”。

工作描述

设计或创建图形以满足特定的商业或促销需求,例如包装,展示或标志。可能使用各种媒介来达到艺术或装饰效果。

SOC Code: 27-1024.00

资源

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评论

Leave a comment

Anonymous message (不确定) 5 months ago
It involves designing, which might make it unpredictable. Coding involves a set of rules. If you remember the rules, you can write code easily.

But that's not the case with designing. Though designing has rules, it's not as rigid as coding.
0 8 Reply
Jake (不确定) 5 months ago
AI, at its current stages, can only replicate patterns it sees in the images and text it’s given. It isn’t capable of the knowledge behind the design choices in Graphic Design. AI doesn’t understand anatomy, color theory, or other aspects of art. However, this doesn’t mean that it can’t in the future, and it certainly doesn’t mean it can’t fool us into thinking it knows what it’s doing.
8 0 Reply
Max (极有可能) 5 months ago
AI has shown that it is increasingly capable of creating art when given instructions, which will make being a graphic designer an unnecessary position in the coming decades.
2 10 Reply
h 5 months ago
Just no. AI art looks and will always look awful and soulless. People who say "ohhh its ai it'll look better in the future" just dont know how AI works. AI isnt gonna replace ANY creative processes, EVER.
14 3 Reply
skibidi (适度) 5 months ago
AI keeps getting better with graphic design in general. Just look at things like Sora by OpenAI or the Microsoft Bing Image Creator, and then think about what that'll look like in a couple of years.
2 1 Reply
nyah (低) 5 months ago
motion graphics is too perfect to replicate
4 0 Reply
Azazel (低) 5 months ago
Looking that artist fight back against artificial intelligence by making Anti-AI Flitters that seems to lower the risk not to mention what you put as a reason for 34% risk which is that It's hard to automate Originality, fine arts.etc not to mention that every single artist have their own style even in the umbrella terms, for example you can't say style in Toilet Bound Hanako kun is the same as one in Blue Exorcist.etc.
In short: Even if hard it in theory could be possible, but I'm more for making that AI + Artist combo to help people with drawing.
6 0 Reply
Ravi j (不确定) 5 months ago
I mean we can't say anything at this moment the a.i design are polish n all but it fails in communicating the message of the design, need a human to assist n monitor.
1 0 Reply
Bee (不确定) 6 months ago
Hard to say, because AI is doing a pretty good job at creating art. However, it still has a way to go with hands and the CGI look a lot of the art it creates has.
0 1 Reply
Tvrbo (适度) 6 months ago
It is more likely that designers will use artificial intelligence as a tool, as there are things that artificial intelligence will not be able to do, such as creating a completely original and coherent branding system.
1 0 Reply
josh (极有可能) 6 months ago
its easy to train ai on boring corporate designs
0 1 Reply
Nikkolas (极有可能) 6 months ago
There's already a viral video out right now about a graphic designer who has 8 years of experience being made redundant by ai...
2 3 Reply
Bob (适度) 6 months ago
Due to the rise of generative AI, companies will be incentivized to use AI databases that are relevant to what they do in order to cut costs. While some demand for graphic designers may still exist for more creativity demanding areas, I believe it won't be enough to answer an increasing supply of out-of-job graphic designers
0 0 Reply
marvin jakata (适度) 7 months ago
i would say moderate because in as much as AI is coming there still will need that using touch combined with it but then also the market might become too overcrowded with more and more people coming into the design space.
0 0 Reply
Wil 7 months ago
Clients will not pay designers handsomely because 90 percent of the work will be done with Ai tools such as Dalle 3. Small adjustments takes minutes in photoshop and can be done in-house by almost anyone.
0 0 Reply
Sponge Bob Squarepants (不确定) 7 months ago
20 years is a long time. Would you have expected this AI boom twenty years ago? Who knows how fast AI will develop in the future. Imagine showing someone SORA twenty years ago. They would be in disbelief.

Graphic design is too broad of a term in my opinion. There's logo design, web design, package design, wayfinding design, branding, mobile design, t-shirt design, print design, poster design, and much more.

Digital art and illustrations I think are already under threat. When the art being generated is general and the boundaries of art are more forgiving, then the general nature of AI will thrive. But for more exacting work like logo design, web design, and package design, AI struggles from my experience.

I have played around with Adobe's built-in AI tools for Illustrator and Photoshop. While they're cool to play with, I often find myself wasting time playing prompt engineering, when I could have created something on my own faster. If I as a designer don't have patience to prompt-engineer my way into a design, I'm certain clients won't either.

There's also levels to graphic design. Maybe AI will get rid of the bad designers and the bad clients! But the precise, custom, unique work that many clients look for is hard to replace.

Lastly, being a graphic designer is more than just the technical skills. It's about directing a vision for the design. Even if AI is 100% perfect, it may not understand the client's needs.


0 0 Reply
Agt (低) 8 months ago
Clients will get designs from automated AI, but they will start to look all very similar, lacking personality. A good graphic designer can listen to their clients and deliver what they ask, get feedback and adjust accordingly
6 1 Reply
Loris (极有可能) 8 months ago
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is learning so fast that we are barely able to control its advancement. Even now, it's possible to create very high-quality videos and/or images. Before long, with the right prompt (or prompts), we will be able to specify the type of image, video, or message we want to be developed.
0 8 Reply
Kev (极有可能) 9 months ago
Anyone who doesn't think that this will become automated in the next 5 years, is kidding themselves. the writing is on the walls
1 8 Reply
Noah Siler (极有可能) 10 months ago
Dalle-3 is extremely good at making art, in the next 20 years the improvement will be substantial.
0 7 Reply
Manuel 8 months ago
In the next 20 months you mean…
0 7 Reply
Jeo 1 month ago
ya the next 20 years of unemployment
0 0 Reply

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