音乐总监和作曲家

自动化风险
计算出的
9%
风险等级
投票
37%
根据 347 票的投票结果
劳动力需求
增长
4.9%
到2032年
工资
$62,940
或每小时 $30.26
体积
11,690
截至 2022
摘要
工作评分
5.9/10

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自动化风险

9% (最小风险)

最小风险(0-20%):这一类别的职业被自动化的可能性较低,因为它们通常需要复杂的问题解决能力,创造力,强大的人际交往能力和高度的手动灵巧。这些工作通常涉及复杂的手部动作和精确的协调,使得机器难以复制所需的任务。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些非常重要的品质很难实现自动化:

  • 美术

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 原创性

  • 说服

  • 社会洞察力

  • 谈判

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为37%

我们的访客投票表示,这个职业被自动化的可能性很低。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持,该等级预计有9%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

音乐总监和作曲家在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表会在有大量投票数据可以呈现有意义的数据时包含在内。这些视觉表示显示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了对情绪趋势的重要指示。

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业,呈现适度增长

预计"Music Directors and Composers"的工作空缺数量将在2032内增长4.9%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2023到期.

工资

相对于其他职业,薪酬适中

在2022,'Music Directors and Composers'的年度中位数工资为$62,940,或每小时$30。

'Music Directors and Composers'的薪资比全国中位工资高35.9%,全国中位工资为$46,310。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,显著较低的就业机会范围。

截至2022,在美国有11,690人被雇佣为'Music Directors and Composers'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约< 0.001%

换句话说,大约每12 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Music Directors and Composers”。

工作描述

指挥、引导、规划和领导乐团、乐队、合唱团和欢唱俱乐部等音乐艺术家或团体的器乐或声乐表演;或创作原创音乐作品。

SOC Code: 27-2041.00

资源

如果您正在考虑开始新的职业生涯,或者想要换工作,我们已经为您创建了一个方便的工作搜索工具,它可能会帮助您找到那个完美的新角色。

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评论

留下评论

J (低)说
The only people are impressed by the music AIVA and other AI technologies create are people who either lack an ability to evaluate music properly (they are not musical themselves and don't actively listen to music) or people who stand to gain if they can replace the creativity of composers with a program.

This is without taking into account all of the interpersonal elements of composition, which are also not well understood by people who don't do this work.

Finally, given that humans are subject to copyright law and that the level of imitation and inspiration from previous works is controlled and limited by these laws, it is unlikely that music created by AI that was not drastically reshaped by a human composer would avoid copyright lawsuits or be subject to copyright itself, as current technology in this field only knows how to aggregate and make stylistic choices based on probability. A human composer is not going to waste time fiddling with AI compositions to "get them there" when they could just write something themselves.

Show me an evangelist who actually produces music and isn't heavily invested in AI themselves in some way, and I'll reconsider.
Jan 06, 2024 at 09:08 下午
Rachel Farina (极有可能)说
AI is already composing and generating music. Algorithms can already curate. There will always be work for the top - John Williams, Hans Zimmer won't find their work gone. But for indie films and anyone on a budget, AI composing will be the thing within the next few years. The technology grows at an exponential pace. Though stuff sounds embarrassing now, six months from now, that will not be the case.
Mar 28, 2023 at 10:43 下午
Marcus (极有可能)说
As we already see everything can be done by sophisticated software. It started with pictures, then text and next is music. We all thought Software can never replace artists, but as we see that was a wrong assupmtion and in fact got hit first by the "AI" hype. With enough data and "training" any sort of music will be possible. Using a DAW will be obsolete.
Mar 04, 2023 at 02:49 下午
Fl studio 20 (极有可能)说
Art like graphic design is already being synthesized with superb detail using AI. What's to say that music isn't next?
Sep 18, 2022 at 11:47 下午
yo lads (适度)说
i seen some robots making chunes and people saying they bussin beats
bye bye dutse, hesh and koot
Sep 16, 2021 at 06:14 上午
Zac (没有机会)说
Even if they could it wouldn't be the same as a person composing and putting their input and ideas into the composition. The feeling and emotion has to come from within to create something astonishing in my opinion. Because of this, they wouldn't fully replace humans in music writing/composing.
Jun 16, 2021 at 04:48 上午
John (极有可能)说
There are already many ai composers like AIVA, so I am pretty sure in the next 15-20 years ai composers will replace human music composers.
May 07, 2021 at 08:39 下午
DJ (没有机会)说
Produce own style of music, create melody you like, there is just no way AI could replace it
Mar 20, 2021 at 05:00 下午
Gadgetsz说
The act of composing will not be replaced BUT it will definitely change and maybe become more easy and accessible for all people. Maybe one day, everyone is a composer because you don't even need to learn score writing, DAW, playing or singing. Maybe just by thinking, you can create masterworks.. We will see?
Mar 05, 2021 at 06:34 下午
EdwinBrophy说
Composing pop music is already nearly completely automated but serious music will continue to require human composers.
Jul 07, 2020 at 01:34 下午
EdwinBrophyIsAClown说
Composing pop music is not automated. Just because it is created on a computer doesn't mean it is automated, you still need human to create the ideas.
Dec 08, 2020 at 11:57 上午
nathanuppnext说
I'm a trap producer and its true
Apr 11, 2021 at 07:12 下午
Dave说
Not true, and there is no such thing as 'serious music'
Sep 20, 2022 at 11:32 下午
Joshua说
People who learn the same music theories write different songs, so do robots. Robots are rarely likely to replace human beings in the field of composition.
Jun 01, 2020 at 03:19 下午
Natalie (低)说
Music would be awful of it was automated. Music requires feelings to be any good.
May 22, 2020 at 01:00 上午
Joel (没有机会)说
Music, or the act of composing music, has no formula of equation to it. Music is the expression of one's emotions, often called the outburst of the soul. A robot or machine is literally incapable of having emotions or a soul, therefore a robot will never be able to replace a human composer.
Jun 26, 2019 at 03:40 上午
Jason说
You are wrong. A big part of AI works by spotting patterns. Patterns is relatively simple given that there are only so many notes and scales in music. It can even come out with sounds that arent be able to be produced by normal instruments. AI can already write articles somewhat. They can already compose music (see link below). Playing music is trivial and doesnt even require AI. There are only 2 things that an AI may have trouble with.

1. Which is understanding which part of what they created did a human like and thus may have trouble using reinforced learning.

2. Lyrics have meaning behind the words. Its much more complex than just a melody. Its these lyrics and building melody in combination with lyrics which is going to be rather difficult but not impossible. Lyric writing is going to be one of the Last things AI will be able to do.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYb3Wimn01s
Sep 01, 2019 at 10:23 上午
Anomius Maximus (没有机会)说
No way a robot would have ever been able to create a song as great, innovative, inspiring and culture changing as the masterpiece that is known as 'All Star' by Smash Mouth.
Apr 29, 2019 at 11:34 下午
Matt 说
:)
Apr 30, 2019 at 08:28 下午
Someone (极有可能)说
Sad but very likely. Many projects (e.g. Jukedeck and Aiva) have already proven this by analyzing works made by humans and creating their own pieces.
Apr 26, 2019 at 06:54 下午
Nikola说
But just because a robot can "make" music or "write" a book, i.e. create a composite of what's already out there, it doesn't mean that these professions will be overtaken by AI. People gravitate towards works of art created by humans, because reading a good book or gives you insight into the mind of the person who created it, in addition to possibly being relatable to you on a personal level.

Art is deeply individual, both from the perspective of the artist and the consumer of art. I'd say it's very hard to imagine that any creative profession that's grounded in relaying the sensory, emotional, intellectual, and philosophical experiences of the world would ever cease to exist. People will always feel the need to tell stories and express themselves through art, and other people will always want to hear those stories and consume that art. It's because art gives more meaning to our lives. It elevates our experience of living to another level.

There's a difference between automating jobs like assembly line work or driving and automating creative work. The former can arguably be perfected through automation, while the latter becomes devoid of meaning through automation.

Only one way I can imagine this happening is if all humans cease to exist, and we're replaced by machines. But if that happens, I won't be around to care.
Jul 13, 2020 at 12:54 下午
Zaran Jathaul (没有机会)说
You can't automate music. Unless it is dub step but even then people have to make that. After hundreds of years why has classical music always stayed popular? Because it is an advanced form of music that people understand once they get an advanced understanding of music and that is why people will always pay to see it live.
Apr 09, 2019 at 02:27 下午

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