机车工程师

自动化风险
计算出的
79%
风险等级
投票
57%
根据 139 票的投票结果
劳动力需求
增长
4.7%
到2032年
工资
$74,570
或每小时 $35.85
体积
36,440
截至 2022
摘要
工作评分
4.2/10

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自动化风险

79% (高风险)

高风险(61-80%):这个类别的工作面临着来自自动化的重大威胁,因为他们的许多任务可以使用当前或近期的技术轻松自动化。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 狭窄的工作空间,尴尬的姿势

  • 手工熟练度

  • 手指灵巧

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为57%

我们的访客投票表示,他们不确定这个职业是否会被自动化。 然而,我们生成的自动化风险等级表明自动化的可能性要高得多:有79%的机会会被自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

机车工程师在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表会在有大量投票数据可以呈现有意义的数据时包含在内。这些视觉表示显示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了对情绪趋势的重要指示。

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业,呈现适度增长

预计"Locomotive Engineers"的工作空缺数量将在2032内增长4.7%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2023到期.

工资

相对于其他职业来说薪酬高

在2022,'Locomotive Engineers'的年度中位数工资为$74,570,或每小时$35。

'Locomotive Engineers'的薪资比全国中位工资高61.0%,全国中位工资为$46,310。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,工作机会的适中范围。

截至2022,在美国有36,440人被雇佣为'Locomotive Engineers'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约< 0.001%

换句话说,大约每4 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Locomotive Engineers”。

工作描述

驾驶电力、柴油电力、蒸汽或燃气涡轮电力机车,运送乘客或货物。解读列车指令、电子或手动信号以及铁路规章制度。

SOC Code: 53-4011.00

资源

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评论

Darius说
There's too much money at stake for the railroad companies that they *will* try to make robo-locos work. Full-authority digital [computer] engine control ("FADEC") is already in use in helicopters and jet airliners because of the money they save on fuel.

I live in a major metropolitan area, and there's a train/road crossing with signs warning of automated trains being in use there. Computers won't have to "learn" the different types of signals and rules, as they will be programmed in by (fallible) humans.

There is/has been a lawsuit by a bunch of families of British servicemen and servicewomen who were killed in CH-47 helicopter crashes in which those helos had been converted to FADEC (they still had human pilots). The lawsuit blames the crashes on failure of the computerized throttle controls. (With FADEC, by design, the computer overrules the pilots' inputs to the throttle controls.)

So, with money as the driving force, *some* sort of computerized trains will be deployed. And likely, there will be some failures in which people die, because the computerized systems are created by fallible humans.
Nov 26, 2023 at 11:27 下午
Jaakko (低)说
In some parts of Europe, signaling and railway management systems are not developed enough to supports automatic trains. On top of that, we have huge variations of weather that makes it even more difficult for a machine to get enough reliable data to operate. I´m certain that in some future trains will be fully automated, but not likely within 20 years.
Sep 26, 2023 at 07:34 下午
levi (低)说
Legal issues are heavy and one accident can cause millions in damages and hundreds of deaths. There is also the issue of a train being multiple kilometres long. You will always need someone to oversee and deal with issues as they arise. I can see it but not within 20 years
May 23, 2023 at 08:18 上午
Hayden Reininga 说
Honestly I think that trains and railroads are too complex for robots to understand and there could be times where they have to go against what they were programmed to do in a scenario if it’s the best option which it won’t be able to do look at autonomous cars they’re not fully safe so why should we put them on trains it’s too dangerous for the time being
May 11, 2023 at 03:21 下午
Ricky (极有可能)说
With railroad companies leaning towards autonomous technology such as PTC, one man crew, and the invention of the autonomous freight train in Australia, locomotive engineering is possible to be seized. However, such doubts of how safe autonomous trains can be (especially moving hazardous loads), little evidence support the idea to become the next industry standard.
Apr 06, 2023 at 06:16 上午
Isaac 说
The robots could experience a failure, similar to what occurred on the DC Metro. They also wouldn't be capable of managing switching or local freight, as most of the switches are manual.
Jul 15, 2022 at 05:16 下午
Ali说
Yes DLR Northern line are already automated a person is onboard only as a fail safe operative to keep on eye nothing goes wrong
Jun 04, 2021 at 01:37 上午
J (没有机会)说
How? There is no way they will learn all the rules and all the different types of signals.
Nov 25, 2020 at 05:16 下午
richard connelly说
you said it yourself, rules, it's not a dynamic process but a set of rules. and rules can be written rules can be coded.
Dec 07, 2022 at 04:22 上午
a (低)说
Robots will make the train crash!
Jan 01, 2020 at 02:56 上午
Jarhead说
Union Pacific is already trying to find ways to use those robots. Worker unions are trying to stop them.
Jun 14, 2021 at 03:09 下午

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