商业和工业设计师

低风险
39%
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投票 评论 (17)
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自动化风险
计算出的
47%
(中等风险)
投票
31%
(低风险)
Average: 39%
劳动力需求
增长
3.1%
到2033年
工资
$76,250
或每小时 $36.66
体积
30,810
截至 2023
摘要
工作评分
5.5/10

人们还浏览了

计算自动化风险

47% (中等风险)

中等风险(41-60%):中等风险的职业通常涉及常规任务,但仍需要一些人类的判断和交互。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 原创性

  • 说服

  • 社会洞察力

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为31%

我们的访客投票表示,这个职业被自动化的可能性很低。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持,该等级预计有47%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

商业和工业设计师在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表在有大量投票数据时会显示。这些可视化图表展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了情感趋势的重要指示。

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业,增长缓慢

预计"Commercial and Industrial Designers"的工作空缺数量将在2033内增长3.1%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2024到期.

工资

相对于其他职业来说薪酬高

在2023,'Commercial and Industrial Designers'的年度中位数工资为$76,250,或每小时$36。

'Commercial and Industrial Designers'的薪资比全国中位工资高58.7%,全国中位工资为$48,060。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,就业机会的下限范围较低。

截至2023,在美国有30,810人被雇佣为'Commercial and Industrial Designers'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约< 0.001%

换句话说,大约每4 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Commercial and Industrial Designers”。

工作描述

设计和开发制造产品,如汽车,家用电器和儿童玩具。将艺术才能与产品使用,市场营销和材料研究相结合,创建最具功能性和吸引力的产品设计。

SOC Code: 27-1021.00

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评论

Leave a comment

incandescent_waller (低) 3 months ago
The thing more requires originality, something hard for AI to achieve
0 0 Reply
Ian D. Velázquez (低) 1 year ago
AI will never have the social awareness and emocional human understanding to replace an industrial designer
0 0 Reply
Oscar Humano (低) 1 year ago
Parameters and ideas can be shared between humans and robots. Since sensory levels are still predominantly in humans and design is based on sensations and experiences, robots need to feed on human sensations and experiences.
0 0 Reply
Nicolas 1 year ago
I see how many classic "low-level" design tasks can be automated. Design agencies that specialize in the isolated styling of consumer goods for various smaller companies or brands will probably need far fewer employees in the future.

Of course, modern designers work in a multidisciplinary manner and communicate between the various fields of product development. They are not as isolated as the qualities listed above suggest, so I doubt they will become extinct too quickly.

Companies are unlikely to risk their money and reputation on AI wild shots without some form of sentient consideration. Despite this, I bet some will try it anyway, and I am honestly eager to see them succeed.

Advanced creative tasks like innovation management and the expansion of the product portfolio are too important for companies to leave exclusively to tools right now. This job will likely adapt and merge a lot more with engineering and management disciplines.

It is normal for jobs to change with technology.
0 0 Reply
Zaber (低) 1 year ago
Designing industrial products that people use every day is a complex task. It requires a lot of real-world field research, which an AI confined within the boundaries of machines cannot comprehend or execute. In my opinion, AI will certainly be a blessing for industrial designers and others. A vast amount of data can be processed with great insights in a very short amount of time, adding massive value to the work of designers.

However, the human-like quality of AI, like Chat GPT3 and others, is still primitive in capacity, even though their articulation is top-notch, to say the least. Even then, it is not enough to design products at the capacity that humans currently are capable of.

Certain design fields will probably struggle to reduce their dependency on humans, like graphic design, illustrations, and animation design. However, fields like product or industrial design, architecture, and the like are not likely to be replaced any time soon.

For now and in the foreseeable future, I see AI as a personal assistant to industrial designers rather than a threat.
0 0 Reply
Wnm (极有可能) 2 years ago
AI is as good as its inputs. As more data from the design world is entered, the better AI will become at generating creative solutions and output.
1 0 Reply
Zhusepe (适度) 2 years ago
Recent developments with AI show that it's fully feasible to automate product design.

Given a certain prompt and a starting image, an AI could create thousands of designs, each better than the last one.
0 0 Reply
Alex (低) 2 years ago
Automation will streamline the process for industrial design. So, while companies might hire fewer designers to accomplish the same output of work, the work itself will never be completely automated. This is due to how fundamental the product is to the bottom line of a company's profit.

New CAD tools will optimize and speed up the development process. Consequently, companies will hire fewer employees and expect more from them. This could lead to worker burnout and exploitation becoming even more common, due to the limited staff.

Prospective employees, in addition to having exceptional artistic skills, will also be expected to have proficiency in programming.
0 0 Reply
Nitin (不确定) 3 years ago
Industrial design is both about beauty and function. We have tools already that could simulate and rank the functional efficiencies. Data science could play a role in outlining the patterns of large-scale users' likings, which individual designers might not be able to do.
0 0 Reply
Oscar Os 4 years ago
En ingles o español creo que no se entiende que es una profesión que tiene muchos factores que difícilmente se pueden generar algoritmos, el arte a mi parecer es la ultima línea de los algoritmos, el diseño industrial contempla Ciencias y artes. Tan lógico como que cualquiera puede tener una propuesta a muchos requerimientos en la industria.

In English or Spanish I think it is not understood that it is a profession that has many factors that it is difficult to generate algorithms, art in my opinion is the last line of algorithms, industrial design contemplates Sciences and arts. As logical as that anyone can have a proposal to many requirements in the industry.
0 0 Reply
Raúl Palafox 4 years ago
industrial design could be developed by robots till the algorithms decide how we should love
0 0 Reply
Marco (没有机会) 4 years ago
Design is an art, it's subjective, there's no way a machine can replace this job.
0 0 Reply
Omar 3 years ago
What? I know that some of the young graphic designers and some students consider themselves artists but you should know that that isn't art. Some types of design use elements of art, but that doesn't make it art.
0 0 Reply
w 2 years ago
Graphic design isn't the same as industrial design. Yes, it is an art in many ways.

In my humble opinion, it falls under creative technology. It doesn't matter what you are actually designing; you're always going to, in the end, design a new way of living.
0 0 Reply
the (低) 4 years ago
creation of original ideas is one of the few things that I see machines having a hard time doing
0 0 Reply
Jon (低) 5 years ago
Industrial Designers could use robots or design them for automation
0 0 Reply
Alex 4 years ago
not in my home
0 0 Reply

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