商业和工业设计师

自动化风险
计算出的
30%
风险等级
投票
30%
根据 173 票的投票结果
劳动力需求
增长
3.2%
到2032年
工资
$75,910
或每小时 $36.49
体积
30,450
截至 2022
摘要
工作评分
5.7/10

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自动化风险

30% (低风险)

低风险(21-40%):这个级别的工作面临的自动化风险较低,因为它们需要技术和以人为中心的技能的混合。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 原创性

  • 说服

  • 社会洞察力

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为30%

我们的访客投票表示,这个职业被自动化的可能性很低。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持,该等级预计有30%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

商业和工业设计师在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表会在有大量投票数据可以呈现有意义的数据时包含在内。这些视觉表示显示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了对情绪趋势的重要指示。

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业,增长缓慢

预计"Commercial and Industrial Designers"的工作空缺数量将在2032内增长3.2%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2023到期.

工资

相对于其他职业来说薪酬高

在2022,'Commercial and Industrial Designers'的年度中位数工资为$75,910,或每小时$36。

'Commercial and Industrial Designers'的薪资比全国中位工资高63.9%,全国中位工资为$46,310。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,就业机会的下限范围较低。

截至2022,在美国有30,450人被雇佣为'Commercial and Industrial Designers'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约< 0.001%

换句话说,大约每4 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Commercial and Industrial Designers”。

工作描述

设计和开发制造产品,如汽车,家用电器和儿童玩具。将艺术才能与产品使用,市场营销和材料研究相结合,创建最具功能性和吸引力的产品设计。

SOC Code: 27-1021.00

资源

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评论

留下评论

Ian D. Velázquez (低)说
AI will never have the social awareness and emocional human understanding to replace an industrial designer
Aug 07, 2023 at 08:56 下午
Oscar Humano (低)说
Parameters and ideas can be shared between humans and robots. Since sensory levels are still predominantly in humans and design is based on sensations and experiences, robots need to feed on human sensations and experiences.
May 18, 2023 at 12:16 上午
Nicolas说
I see how many classic "low-level" design tasks can be automated. Design agencies that specialize in the isolated styling of consumer goods for various smaller companies or brands will probably need far fewer employees in the future.

Of course, modern designers work in a multidisciplinary manner and communicate between the various fields of product development. They are not as isolated as the qualities listed above suggest, so I doubt they will become extinct too quickly.

Companies are unlikely to risk their money and reputation on AI wild shots without some form of sentient consideration. Despite this, I bet some will try it anyway, and I am honestly eager to see them succeed.

Advanced creative tasks like innovation management and the expansion of the product portfolio are too important for companies to leave exclusively to tools right now. This job will likely adapt and merge a lot more with engineering and management disciplines.

It is normal for jobs to change with technology.
Feb 12, 2023 at 12:42 下午
Zaber (低)说
Designing industrial products that people use every day is a complex task. It requires a lot of real-world field research, which an AI confined within the boundaries of machines cannot comprehend or execute. In my opinion, AI will certainly be a blessing for industrial designers and others. A vast amount of data can be processed with great insights in a very short amount of time, adding massive value to the work of designers.

However, the human-like quality of AI, like Chat GPT3 and others, is still primitive in capacity, even though their articulation is top-notch, to say the least. Even then, it is not enough to design products at the capacity that humans currently are capable of.

Certain design fields will probably struggle to reduce their dependency on humans, like graphic design, illustrations, and animation design. However, fields like product or industrial design, architecture, and the like are not likely to be replaced any time soon.

For now and in the foreseeable future, I see AI as a personal assistant to industrial designers rather than a threat.
Jan 29, 2023 at 11:41 上午
Wnm (极有可能)说
AI is as good as its inputs. As more data from the design world is entered, the better AI will become at generating creative solutions and output.
Dec 17, 2022 at 09:50 下午
Zhusepe (适度)说
Recent developments with AI show that it's fully feasible to automate product design.

Given a certain prompt and a starting image, an AI could create thousands of designs, each better than the last one.
Sep 05, 2022 at 11:02 上午
Alex (低)说
Automation will streamline the process for industrial design. So, while companies might hire fewer designers to accomplish the same output of work, the work itself will never be completely automated. This is due to how fundamental the product is to the bottom line of a company's profit.

New CAD tools will optimize and speed up the development process. Consequently, companies will hire fewer employees and expect more from them. This could lead to worker burnout and exploitation becoming even more common, due to the limited staff.

Prospective employees, in addition to having exceptional artistic skills, will also be expected to have proficiency in programming.
Aug 30, 2022 at 09:49 下午
Nitin (不确定)说
Industrial design is both about beauty and function. We have tools already that could simulate and rank the functional efficiencies. Data science could play a role in outlining the patterns of large-scale users' likings, which individual designers might not be able to do.
Jun 11, 2021 at 10:48 下午
Oscar Os说
En ingles o español creo que no se entiende que es una profesión que tiene muchos factores que difícilmente se pueden generar algoritmos, el arte a mi parecer es la ultima línea de los algoritmos, el diseño industrial contempla Ciencias y artes. Tan lógico como que cualquiera puede tener una propuesta a muchos requerimientos en la industria.

In English or Spanish I think it is not understood that it is a profession that has many factors that it is difficult to generate algorithms, art in my opinion is the last line of algorithms, industrial design contemplates Sciences and arts. As logical as that anyone can have a proposal to many requirements in the industry.
Nov 05, 2020 at 08:31 下午
Raúl Palafox说
industrial design could be developed by robots till the algorithms decide how we should love
May 20, 2020 at 05:38 上午
Marco (没有机会)说
Design is an art, it's subjective, there's no way a machine can replace this job.
Apr 27, 2020 at 03:56 下午
Omar说
What? I know that some of the young graphic designers and some students consider themselves artists but you should know that that isn't art. Some types of design use elements of art, but that doesn't make it art.
Mar 04, 2021 at 06:00 上午
the (低)说
creation of original ideas is one of the few things that I see machines having a hard time doing
Mar 01, 2020 at 02:08 上午
Jon (低)说
Industrial Designers could use robots or design them for automation
Dec 10, 2019 at 01:56 下午
Alex说
not in my home
Jun 24, 2020 at 05:48 下午

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