概述
自动化风险
2. 用户投票
3. 增长
工资
5. 体积
描述
资源
评论

船长，大副，和水上船只的驾驶员

低风险
36%
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自动化风险
计算出的
34%
(低风险)
投票
39%
(低风险)
Average: 36%
劳动力需求
增长
2.3%
到2033年
工资
$88,730
或每小时 $42.66
体积
34,520
截至 2023
摘要
工作评分
5.5/10

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计算自动化风险

34% (低风险)

低风险（21-40%）：这个级别的工作面临的自动化风险较低，因为它们需要技术和以人为中心的技能的混合。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化：

  • 手工熟练度

  • 手指灵巧

  • 社会洞察力

  • 帮助和照顾他人

  • 说服

  • 狭窄的工作空间，尴尬的姿势

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内，实现全自动化的可能性为39%。

我们的访客投票表示，这个职业被自动化的可能性很低。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持，该等级预计有34%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么？

船长，大副，和水上船只的驾驶员在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大？






情感

以下图表在有大量投票数据时会显示。这些可视化图表展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化，提供了情感趋势的重要指示。

随着时间（每年）的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业，增长缓慢。

预计"Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels"的工作空缺数量将在2033内增长2.3%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据，该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2024到期.

工资

相对于其他职业来说薪酬高

在2023，'Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels'的年度中位数工资为$88,730，或每小时$42。

'Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels'的薪资比全国中位工资高84.6%，全国中位工资为$48,060。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比，就业机会的下限范围较低。

截至2023，在美国有34,520人被雇佣为'Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约< 0.001%

换句话说，大约每4 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels”。

工作描述

指挥或监督船舶和水上交通工具的操作，如拖船和渡轮。必须持有由美国海岸警卫队颁发的执照。

SOC Code: 53-5021.00

资源

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评论

Leave a comment

Xx 2 months ago
Tesla robot for 25k would b a cheap replacement for boat labourers, not going to replace captains surely,?
0 0 Reply
Jayl (适度) 8 months ago
There are some limitations to AI in regrds to replacing human that I'm not going to list here, but I could definitely see reducing number of crew responsible for navigation from a captain, 3 mates and 3 helmsmen, to a captain, a mate and a helmsmen. AI would be in charge during long sea phases while captain or mate would take control in emergencies and during transits through congested waters, narrow waterways and during berthing or unberthing.
0 0 Reply
. (不确定) 8 months ago
There are times when weather conditions can change as quick as our eye blinks in my opinion robots may be able to do this but huminitic experience and skills are unbeatable.
0 0 Reply
Amit kumar (没有机会) 1 year ago
Oceans are too vast and entire world uses them in their own possible way, the risk of loss of an unmanned vessel with their costly cargoes are too huge to leave them on robots... so this job is safe for at least a 100 year period...
0 0 Reply
Slava 1 year ago
It is possible to automate the industry by "tomorrow". Worldwide. Every vessel. There are technologies out there.

Why it is not happening? Mostly because of money but also the complexity of the problem.

Simple example: Average salary of a Safety Officer is 3000 USD. He is carrying out inspections and maintenance of firefighting equipment and other stuff. To automate only this process company will probably need to spend tens of thousands. Why would they if one can use this money now to scale one's business?

Besides navigation ship's crew has a lot of other critical roles. It will take a lot of scientific effort to set up new safe processes. Most marine companies don't have the necessary resources and infrastructure for that. I won't say a word about the lack of initiative and natural resistance of the industry to everything "new".
0 0 Reply
frank (适度) 2 years ago
I believe computers can complete tasks much more efficiently than humans, saving a lot of money for companies. This includes costs such as food and amenities. Additionally, humans take up a lot of space on ships.

However, I also believe that there will always be some humans watching over ships at all times, whether on shore or elsewhere.
0 0 Reply
Old Sailor 3 years ago
For all you who have sailed, I can't believe AI will do what is needed when there is that not often but inevitable "Oh Sh*t" moment.
0 0 Reply
Jesse F. Malone (适度) 4 years ago
If we already have unmanned aircraft and are working on unmanned vessels, (tankers, freighters, car carriers, passenger ships) then who is to say the AI wont take over maritime jobs? Soon we will probably have remote control vessels or completely auto piloted vessels and no need for a bridge crew or engine room crew!
0 0 Reply
Jason (没有机会) 5 years ago
more jobs being created from new vessels and old crew retiring than people graduating out into the industry
0 0 Reply
me (没有机会) 5 years ago
they cant deal with water
0 0 Reply
Another me 4 years ago
Then people will make them waterproof
0 0 Reply
Angus Mansbridge (适度) 5 years ago
In a number of maritime sectors the hands on element of ship handling has already been given over to Dynamic Positioning Systems. That these systems require constant local supervision is only a question of communication and reliability. We already see automatic mining trucks, container cranes and transporters and more recently harbor tugs supervised from remote locations. Because of the financial advantage to the ship owner in not having to accommodate and pay people to operate a vessel, it is only a matter of time before we see ships are operating in the same way.
0 0 Reply

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