航空公司飞行员、副驾驶和飞行工程师

自动化风险
计算出的
65%
风险等级
投票
41%
根据 1,162 票的投票结果
劳动力需求
增长
6.0%
到2032年
工资
$211,790
或每小时 $101.81
体积
89,580
截至 2022
摘要
工作评分
6.1/10

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自动化风险

65% (高风险)

高风险(61-80%):这个类别的工作面临着来自自动化的重大威胁,因为他们的许多任务可以使用当前或近期的技术轻松自动化。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 手工熟练度

  • 社会洞察力

  • 手指灵巧

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为41%

我们的访客投票表示,他们不确定这个职业是否会被自动化。 然而,我们生成的自动化风险等级表明自动化的可能性要高得多:有65%的机会会被自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

航空公司飞行员、副驾驶和飞行工程师在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表会在有大量投票数据可以呈现有意义的数据时包含在内。这些视觉表示显示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了对情绪趋势的重要指示。

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业的快速增长

预计"Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers"的工作空缺数量将在2032内增长6.0%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2023到期.

工资

相对于其他职业,薪酬非常高

在2022,'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers'的年度中位数工资为$211,790,或每小时$101。

'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers'的薪资比全国中位工资高357.3%,全国中位工资为$46,310。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,工作机会的适中范围。

截至2022,在美国有89,580人被雇佣为'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约0.06%

换句话说,大约每1 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”。

工作描述

驾驶并导航固定翼飞机的飞行,通常在预定的航空运输路线上,用于运输乘客和货物。需要联邦航空运输证书和对所使用的特定飞机类型的评级。包括地区,全国和国际航空公司飞行员以及航空公司飞行员的飞行教练。

SOC Code: 53-2011.00

资源

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评论

留下评论

. (低)说
you will always need humans incase something happened. its possible but not in the next 20 years
Feb 22, 2024 at 04:26 下午
Luca (极有可能)说
Automated flight is already a well-established reality, the pilot on board serves only to reassure passengers who are not yet accustomed to the idea of a completely automated flight.
Dec 03, 2023 at 03:43 下午
boo (低)说
Automation has the ability to control events in a certain context, and wouldn't be able to handle an emergency or malfunction, considering the usual age of aircraft computers.
Nov 29, 2023 at 02:09 上午
Harry (低)说
Landing and take off needs accurate readings and a lot of man power we also need to understand the runway so it my not be
Nov 11, 2023 at 12:01 下午
KickinTyres (低)说
The public's perception of safety is intrinsically connected to having human pilots in the cockpit.
Sep 25, 2023 at 07:07 上午
Ayden (没有机会)说
New plane can fly it self but they still need pilot or co pilot to make sure nothing is going wrong especially when it is landing
Sep 02, 2023 at 04:11 上午
Alneez (适度)说
Airbus Project Dragonfly
Aug 11, 2023 at 02:55 下午
C.L.M. (没有机会)说
It is not a technological issue, it is a sociological, legislative, and regulatory one.

People are too anxious to get on a plane without another human being up front with their life and safety on the line. This will be even more true as we move through the inevitable accidents during automation of ground transportation. At least that's what I heard as an FAA research scientist working on future drone airspace research projects.
Jul 15, 2023 at 05:31 上午
Captam (极有可能)说
The “need for the human touch“ when things “go wrong“ with a flight is arguably correct However this function can be provided perfectly adequately from a remote control room. The human does not need to be sitting in the cockpit. The ability to fly precision drone operarions from control rooms thousands of miles away proves this. Flights can be totally automated but when an abnormality occurs, the controllers (who oversee multiple flights)can be alerted, and intervene renotely if necessaey.
Jun 23, 2023 at 01:59 上午
MKD (低)说
Social licence
Complex decision making
Unknown and unforeseen circumstances requiring reactions not programmed
May 21, 2023 at 05:33 上午
Landon (低)说
Too many FAA regulations for something so untested
Apr 20, 2023 at 08:25 下午
Allen (没有机会)说
The consequences of having a 'computer's problem are too dire. It may be that there will only need to be a single pilot instead of a co-pilot backup. There will always be a human pilot when transporting humans.
Mar 26, 2023 at 07:48 下午
Corey Snyder (没有机会)说
Human factor is often blamed for air crashes, however the Human factor is truly the only thing that can prevent accidents in the complex air traffic system. An AI is not capable of making the philosophical and logical decisions that a required crew member on an aircraft has to be able to make. A theoretical AI that could add up every single factor in an Instant still could not make a rational choice that would balance deontological and consequentialist philosophies.
Mar 18, 2023 at 12:58 上午
mike (低)说
it is just too risky, to put so many peoples lives on the line of an AI with no emotion is a madness
Mar 09, 2023 at 05:19 上午
John Ostrum (不确定)说
Not because of issues with flying the plane, but more for issues with landing the planes. Also, the insurance would be nightmarish, and ATC would need to be changed.

In addition, the ATC lines are done through phone or broadband, so integrating an AI would require a continent-wide overhaul in the infrastructure necessary to actually integrate the AI. This would be needed even if one that was commercially viable as a pilot were to start existing.

Furthermore, testing the AI would involve crashing planes, as well as making planes that had fully modified hardware to accommodate an AI. It's not impossible for certain, not by a long shot, but the steps to get there are noticeably less cost-efficient than just training more pilots.

So, it probably won't happen for a while.
Feb 03, 2023 at 10:46 下午
Jarrod (不确定)说
Aviation is slower-moving than other industries due to regulation, safety requirements, and perception.

I could see cargo aircraft being fully automated well before passenger flights. Modern aircraft are largely automated from a systems perspective. However, the decision-making, particularly during emergencies or edge cases (where information can be conflicting or confusing), is where human pilots are still definitely required.

I think the chance of passenger flights being fully automated within 20 years is slim.
Jan 31, 2023 at 05:46 下午
Michael (极有可能)说
AI is advancing rapidly and is on track to replace pilots within 10 years.
Jan 21, 2023 at 02:47 下午
a-flight-worker (没有机会)说
People want humans as the final safety net for airplanes. When things go wrong, computers can get confused. I work on airplanes alongside pilots. We still have to reboot (yes, "turn it off and on again" reboot) planes fairly regularly to fix simple problems. For instance, the lights may not respond to control buttons properly. Light controls that have only three states: on, dimmed, or off, can get messed up and seemingly can only be fixed by rebooting the entire airplane.

In the event of an emergency, people trust in other people. Automation will happen to a degree with pilots, but it will require massively improved AI and other systems to be stress-tested extensively before the two-body system used today is replaced with a no-body system.
Jan 10, 2023 at 08:35 上午
Tyler (低)说
Because I feel like there are other occupations in aviation, or other careers, that would become automated before pilots do.

The cost of the technology at the beginning will also be really high, so it will take a while for it to become widely used after the price comes down.
Jan 09, 2023 at 03:18 下午
V (极有可能)说
Every new plane that comes out is increasingly automated. Also, as time passes, there's less and less crew in the flight deck. Think about flight engineers, for example.
Jul 06, 2022 at 03:03 下午

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