航空公司飞行员、副驾驶和飞行工程师
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自动化风险
高风险(61-80%):这个类别的工作面临着来自自动化的重大威胁,因为他们的许多任务可以使用当前或近期的技术轻松自动化。
有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。
用户投票
我们的访客投票表示,他们不确定这个职业是否会被自动化。 然而,我们生成的自动化风险等级表明自动化的可能性要高得多:有65%的机会会被自动化。
你认为自动化的风险是什么?
航空公司飞行员、副驾驶和飞行工程师在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?
情感
以下图表会在有大量投票数据可以呈现有意义的数据时包含在内。这些视觉表示显示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了对情绪趋势的重要指示。
随着时间(每年)的情绪变化
增长
预计"Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers"的工作空缺数量将在2032内增长6.0%
总就业人数和预计的职位空缺
更新的预测将在09-2023到期.
工资
在2022,'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers'的年度中位数工资为$211,790,或每小时$101。
'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers'的薪资比全国中位工资高357.3%,全国中位工资为$46,310。
随着时间推移的工资
体积
截至2022,在美国有89,580人被雇佣为'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers'。
这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约0.06%
换句话说,大约每1 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers”。
工作描述
驾驶并导航固定翼飞机的飞行,通常在预定的航空运输路线上,用于运输乘客和货物。需要联邦航空运输证书和对所使用的特定飞机类型的评级。包括地区,全国和国际航空公司飞行员以及航空公司飞行员的飞行教练。
SOC Code: 53-2011.00
资源
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评论
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People are too anxious to get on a plane without another human being up front with their life and safety on the line. This will be even more true as we move through the inevitable accidents during automation of ground transportation. At least that's what I heard as an FAA research scientist working on future drone airspace research projects.
Complex decision making
Unknown and unforeseen circumstances requiring reactions not programmed
In addition, the ATC lines are done through phone or broadband, so integrating an AI would require a continent-wide overhaul in the infrastructure necessary to actually integrate the AI. This would be needed even if one that was commercially viable as a pilot were to start existing.
Furthermore, testing the AI would involve crashing planes, as well as making planes that had fully modified hardware to accommodate an AI. It's not impossible for certain, not by a long shot, but the steps to get there are noticeably less cost-efficient than just training more pilots.
So, it probably won't happen for a while.
I could see cargo aircraft being fully automated well before passenger flights. Modern aircraft are largely automated from a systems perspective. However, the decision-making, particularly during emergencies or edge cases (where information can be conflicting or confusing), is where human pilots are still definitely required.
I think the chance of passenger flights being fully automated within 20 years is slim.
In the event of an emergency, people trust in other people. Automation will happen to a degree with pilots, but it will require massively improved AI and other systems to be stress-tested extensively before the two-body system used today is replaced with a no-body system.
The cost of the technology at the beginning will also be really high, so it will take a while for it to become widely used after the price comes down.
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