精算师

中等风险
54%

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投票 评论 (21)
自动化风险
计算出的
61%
(高风险)
投票
48%
(中等风险, 根据 885 票的投票结果)
Average: 54%
劳动力需求
增长
21.8%
到2033年
工资
$120,000
或每小时 $57.69
体积
25,470
截至 2023
摘要
这个雪花图案展示了什么？
雪花是五个徽章的视觉总结：自动化风险（计算得出）、风险（投票得出）、增长、工资和体积。它为你提供了一个职业概况的即时快照。雪花的颜色与其大小有关。与其他职业相比，某个职业的得分越好，雪花就会变得越大且越绿。
工作评分
6.4/10
这是什么？
工作评分（越高越好）：

我们使用四个因素对工作进行评分。这些是：

- 被自动化的可能性
- 工作增长
- 工资
- 可用职位的数量

这些是求职时需要考虑的一些关键事项。

人们还浏览了

计算机程序员 律师 会计师和审计师 财务和投资分析师 网页开发者

计算自动化风险

61% (高风险)

高风险（61-80%）：这个类别的工作面临着来自自动化的重大威胁，因为他们的许多任务可以使用当前或近期的技术轻松自动化。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化：

  • 社会洞察力

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内，实现全自动化的可能性为48%。

我们的访客投票表示，他们不确定这个职业是否会被自动化。 然而，我们生成的自动化风险等级表明自动化的可能性要高得多：有61%的机会会被自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么？

精算师在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大？

情感

以下图表显示了在有足够投票的情况下生成的有意义数据。它展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化，清晰地指示了情感趋势。

随着时间（每年）的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业，非常快速的增长。

预计"Actuaries"的工作空缺数量将在2033内增长21.8%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据，该数据涵盖了从2023到2033的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2025到期.

工资

相对于其他职业，薪酬非常高。

在2023，'Actuaries'的年度中位数工资为120.000 $，或每小时58 $。

'Actuaries'的薪资比全国中位工资高149.7%，全国中位工资为48.060 $。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比，就业机会的下限范围较低。

截至2023，在美国有25,470人被雇佣为'Actuaries'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约< 0.001%

换句话说，大约每5 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Actuaries”。

工作描述

分析统计数据，如死亡率、事故率、疾病率、残疾率和退休率，并构建概率表以预测未来福利支付的风险和责任。可能需要确定保险费率和确保未来福利支付所需的现金储备。

SOC Code: 15-2011.00

评论 (21)

发表评论
JohnQ (没有机会)
31 3月 2023 20:53
GPT 4 has failed all of the actuarial exams by a large margin.
Rob the Robot
20 12月 2019 01:59
101010101010101010101010101010101010101010101010101010101010010101010101beep beep, I would not be so sure beep boop. I am coming for your job. beep beep 101010101000110001110001001001-100101001001001010101010
Jim C.
01 10月 2025 04:47
Not going away totally, but requirements might rise. Since standards are already very high and a full career path requires a ton of hard tests (waste many years of your free time studying), the number employed is not going to grow substantially. This is a tough career path that isn't worth the effort. Also, outsourcing and H1-B visas are a threat although salaries will likely rise overall.
U (低)
11 1月 2025 19:13
There is a person touch to it that doesn't allow robots to take over, and actuaries are likely to use AI, but not be replaced by it
zacattack
19 4月 2025 00:55
seems more like the growth is outpacing any automation.
Zachary Fisher (没有机会)
19 4月 2025 00:52
too many complex of assumptions and variables to consider on a daily basis.
Frank Chang (低)
19 5月 2024 05:06
Too much of actuarial work requires judgment, including commercial pricing and reserving.
If AI will be able to determine the outcome of lawsuits, actuaries might be at greater risk
Vittorio (低)
09 6月 2023 09:40
It is based on expert judgement and a holistic comprehension of technical, but also massive qualitative and strategic choices
Matthew (低)
09 8月 2025 04:59
Many actuaries could be replaced by AI. However, some assess far trickier risks that could not be easily shoehorned into existing patterns.
Alex (没有机会)
23 5月 2024 23:02
When it comes to economics, AI has an upper hand in understanding statistics and mathematics, with that said: The general economy suffers from a 100% secure stance in economy. For that reason it's extremely unlikely that AI takes the place of an actuary.
human (没有机会)
28 10月 2020 06:00
The automation of analysis and modeling is a great and useful tool for actuaries. There will always be a need for humans to study actuarial science because we will never achieve a final, perfect model (and if we did, we could let the robots take over!). To achieve a perfect model, all relevant pieces of information regarding how every individual human being will make every future decision must be known. This is obviously impossible, so sorry robots. Because more data is being generated and analysis tools are improving constantly, the practice of improving actuarial models will be profitable for employers of actuaries. As long as actuaries continue to study and update actuarial assumptions and modeling techniques they will have a very important and well-compensated role in the workforce.
Nearly obsolete human (极有可能)
02 6月 2023 21:06
You claim that robots will not be able to replace humans because "all relevant pieces of information regarding how every individual human being will make every future decision must be known" in order for this to happen. This does not make a lot of sense to me. Human actuaries do not have access to this information, so why would a robotic actuary need to have access to this information in order to replace humans? An AI model would not have to be perfect in order to be better than humans. For example, I suspect that chess programs do not play perfectly, but they play better than humans.

Regarding your second paragraph, I see no reason why a sufficiently advanced AI couldn't update actuarial assumptions based on new data, and it seems possible that an advanced AGI might be able to actually develop better models than humans.
Harsha Rajendran (极有可能)
27 1月 2023 12:40
Because it mostly involves mathematical calculations and actuarial techniques, these can only be done using computers due to the vast data. Once programmed to reckon the necessary sequence of steps required, from small to complex, inclusive of advising the stakeholders with reasonable output, decisions can be easily automated.
Bernard Everstein (极有可能)
20 10月 2020 20:53
Its literally a job focussed around data analysis... that's what computers are for
momo
16 9月 2021 17:05
lol I know right. People are so delusional when it comes to automation. Reminds me of the truckers saying "ai will never make the tough decisions from moment to moment" There is no job ai cannot replace. Imagine an AI that models the human brain inside a perfect humanoid body. Why couldn't it do job x? Or are you convinced such a simulacrum could never be achieved?
Kakkask
29 9月 2022 12:29
You know nothing about actuarial science. They have to analyze data and predict the financial risk for the future. Ever heard of dy/dx. That's what actuary does a lot in a daily basis.
sarina tang
02 5月 2020 12:31
Its analysing statistical data which AI's can already do
Mario
23 11月 2020 05:06
There's a lot of common sense behind it that you need someone there for
Phil
07 5月 2023 13:18
Hardly, there is certainly interpretation and communication involved in the process, and there will probably always be someone to watch over it, but it will take 10 human jobs and reduce them to 1.
Anonymous (极有可能)
28 9月 2021 22:33
A job that’s both repetitive and centered around statistics and numbers. Easily replaceable by robots. No need to hire a human and pay such a large salary. Cuts costs massively
;P (极有可能)
06 4月 2023 15:27
I don’t think AI is going to replace this job completely but def gonna lower the average salary. Some of the actuarial jobs are getting paid absurd amount of money for rather simple work lol
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