Physicists

Minimal Risk
10%
Where Would You Like to Go Next?
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Vote Comments (39)
Or, Explore This Profession in Greater Detail...
AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
0.6%
(Minimal Risk)
POLLING
19.9%
(Minimal Risk)
Average: 10%
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
8.2%
by year 2032
WAGES
$155,680
or $74.84 per hour
Volume
18,350
as of 2023
SUMMARY
JOB SCORE
8.3/10

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Calculated automation risk

0.6% (Minimal Risk)

Minimal Risk (0-20%): Occupations in this category have a low probability of being automated, as they typically demand complex problem-solving, creativity, strong interpersonal skills, and a high degree of manual dexterity. These jobs often involve intricate hand movements and precise coordination, making it difficult for machines to replicate the required tasks.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some very important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Originality

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Social Perceptiveness

  • Persuasion

User poll

19.9% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted there's a minimal chance this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 0.6% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Physicists will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?






Sentiment

The following graph is included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Fast growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Physicists' job openings is expected to rise 8.2% by 2032

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2024.

Wages

Very high paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Physicists' was $155,680, or $74 per hour

'Physicists' were paid 223.9% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Lower range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 18,350 people employed as 'Physicists' within the United States.

This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 8 thousand people are employed as 'Physicists'.

Job description

Conduct research into physical phenomena, develop theories on the basis of observation and experiments, and devise methods to apply physical laws and theories.

SOC Code: 19-2012.00

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Comments

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Anonymous (Low) 8 days ago
Honestly, robots only have have so much processing power, and with today’s tech, (and possibly tomorrow’s) it’s just not possible to run such complex calculations.
0 0 Reply
E (No chance) 11 days ago
Physics requires complex models and creativity that artificial intelligence can not replicate without a human mind.
0 0 Reply
Oliver Cavendish 15 days ago
differentiating between experimental and theoretical physicists, i think that there is a chance that experimental physics will be replaced by automation in the near future especially as nuclear engineering also comes under this bracket and the militaries of major world powers such as America, China and India are looking to incorporate more cyber-warfare and robotics into their offensive (and defensive) technologies and there is also a high chance that as other fields like chemistry, for example, begin to get automated, experimental physics will too. but theoretical physics, on the other hand, is the purest discipline of science there is. it requires originality, innovation, creativity, fun, a genuine interest in science and physics for its own sake and the ability to make coherent theories and hypotheses based on observations and data gathered of and from natural phenomena. this, at least in the near future, is something that AI is thoroughly incapable of doing. so on the whole, no, theo.physicists' shouldn't be going anywhere; exp.physicists on the other hand..............unless, of course, elon surprises us again with a sentient AI that can actually take over everything and become the next SkyNet!
1 1 Reply
Saket (Low) 3 months ago
I think that robots will not be able to find new things as of right now they can only use a database and find things out of there a robot doesnt have enough creativity to look out into space for example and think"Hmm why is it moving" for something htat shouldnt move it is just gonna see it and be like"cool"
1 0 Reply
Samik Yanque Amable (No chance) 4 months ago
A pure science is a kind of art where your creativity must shine to observe problems and devise solutions. The truth is, it hurts to think that my future will be filled with the anxiety of "finding a problem" that is relevant to science, but it's the hell I chose.

If any junior reads this message, I can only wish you the best. While your work is irreplaceable by AI, your future will be filled with problems where AI cannot assist you. Good luck.
2 0 Reply
Alec 3 months ago
Thank you. I am 12, and this is my dream job. Seeing this message really made me excited!
2 1 Reply
9 (No chance) 11 months ago
We teach AI. That's how it understands. Although it can learn, it can't accumulate pure factual knowledge by itself.
0 0 Reply
Jamie (Highly likely) 1 year ago
Hard science fields will be the easiest fields for AI to take-over.
0 2 Reply
MainEditor 7 months ago
But if AI can do hard science why it wouldn't as easy do soft science?
1 0 Reply
Zuzia (Moderate) 1 year ago
AI can already teach itself new things and it escalates very quickly, it probably will be able to analyze all the knowledge we have on Earth and come to some important conclusions.
1 0 Reply
Samuel (No chance) 1 year ago
It requires thinking outside the box, solving new problems, writing new programs. It has already implemented computers for calculations.
0 0 Reply
Toast (No chance) 1 year ago
Being a physicist requires, at least to a certain degree, being able to come up with purely original ideas, rather than interpolating the existing body of knowledge.
2 0 Reply
Quarked_Out (Low) 1 year ago
Hmm, a lot of areas in physics do incorporate ML techniques and AI to some degree. However, people with physics training play an undisputedly dominant role in research.

If anything, I can see some simulation aspects or redundant experimental procedures being automated in the near term. But parts that incorporate creative problem solving or the physical intuition needed in determining directions to take research are things that are pretty safeguarded to humans for a bit.

I think those "intuitions" are very difficult to map to general problem-solving algorithms.
0 0 Reply
Brian (No Chance) 1 year ago
Many other experimental physicists and I already automate every measurement we can, but there is still plenty of work to do.
1 0 Reply
David (No chance) 2 years ago
I wonder what all those people were thinking when they said there was a realistic possibility that physicists will be obsolete in 20 years. That's absurd on its face and every physicist I have ever met would agree.

We can have a discussion on whether it is possible in the next 200 years, sure, but 20 years? That's laughable. Given that only physicists are qualified to write, train, and optimize the algorithms that would be used to replace them, it will take a long, long, long time.

I suspect that we would need true machine sentience before we could actually start to talk about replacing theoretical and mathematical physicists.
0 0 Reply
Bimsara Bodaragama (No chance) 2 years ago
It's more about intuition and innovativeness. Of course, we will use more tools, but with Physics, since we interpret as we observe (there is a little problem with that conclusion, though), AI may not be able to take it over.
0 0 Reply
Wesley I (No chance) 3 years ago
I believe that it will be possible but not for a very long time, the process of positing new questions and then solving them is rather complex and I'm guessing that it will be at least 100 years before the jobs of theoretical physicists start to become threatened.
0 0 Reply
just bored (No chance) 3 years ago
Even though computers may get more intelligent than us humans, there is still a very small chance because computers don't have the basic questioning ability which we humans have
0 0 Reply
Rowan (Uncertain) 3 years ago
The development of AI is rapidly improving, AI maybe 10 years in the future being able to predict or understand the universe better through random generation or pure knowledge is very probable. However I doubt they will replace Physicists in the near decade it should be very increasingly possible.
0 0 Reply
rafel 3 years ago
We are users of AI to improve some calculations and we need robots and AI for experimental precision and performance. Until the singularity, we will be in charge.
0 0 Reply
Pinaki Patra 3 years ago
A huge section of theoretical physicists do algorithm based research, which can easily be replaced by automation.
However, Philosophy based theoretical research is difficult to be replaced.
0 0 Reply
Physics Boi (Low) 3 years ago
Doubt it, anyway we need physicists to understand what the AI is discovering anyway
0 0 Reply

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