Light Truck Drivers

High Risk
76%
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Vote Comments (6)
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AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
90%
(Imminent Risk)
POLLING
62%
(High Risk)
Average: 76%
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
8.8%
by year 2033
WAGES
$42,470
or $20.42 per hour
Volume
1,003,960
as of 2023
SUMMARY
JOB SCORE
4.0/10

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Calculated automation risk

90% (Imminent Risk)

Imminent Risk (81-100%): Occupations in this level have an extremely high likelihood of being automated in the near future. These jobs consist primarily of repetitive, predictable tasks with little need for human judgment.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Assisting and Caring for Others

  • Manual Dexterity

User poll

62% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted that it's probable this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 90% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Light Truck Drivers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?






Sentiment

The following graph is included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Very fast growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Light Truck Drivers' job openings is expected to rise 8.8% by 2033

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2024.

Wages

Very low paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Light Truck Drivers' was $42,470, or $20 per hour

'Light Truck Drivers' were paid 11.6% lower than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Significantly greater range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 1,003,960 people employed as 'Light Truck Drivers' within the United States.

This represents around 0.7% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 151 people are employed as 'Light Truck Drivers'.

Job description

Drive a light vehicle, such as a truck or van, with a capacity of less than 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW), primarily to pick up merchandise or packages from a distribution center and deliver. May load and unload vehicle.

SOC Code: 53-3033.00

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Comments

Robert (No chance) 3 months ago
The tech does not prove to be fully capable nor in enough abundance to complete this task. The glossy promos and tech demos look great, and even small area rollouts look promising but always fail to address scale. Most importantly they do not account for rapid changes in industry or human malice.
0 0 Reply
Bob 4 months ago
Who is going to load and unload frieght? Who is going to make sure straps/chains dont get loose during transit? Who's going to put chains on tires in the winter? Whos going to refuel/recharge the trucks? Who's going to stop theives from breaking into the trailer if no diver in truck? Will A.I. be able to drive off-road like for oil tankers? When a truck is loading/unloading, shippers and recievers often want you in a very specific space. How will you tell A.I. where to go? Driving will become automated, however I believe most trucks will still require someone sitting in the cab and taking over when they need to.
0 0 Reply
Maciej Leqen (Highly likely) 2 years ago
Just Look at tesla autopilot
0 0 Reply
Jose Luis Espert (Highly likely) 3 years ago
In all driving jobs, robots will be far more reliable than humans, as well as more effective, since they don´t need time to sleep. At first, I think that they will replace long-trip workers, however, the change could happen immediately.
0 0 Reply
Paul 3 years ago
I can understand people’s concerns with linehaul or warehouse/fulfilment centre work being automated, but delivery driver automation? Doubtful. I’ve done residential and business deliveries for major delivery companies, and there are too many variables for current technology to thrive in these situations. Maybe a few decades from now we will see robots capable of taking over this job.
1 0 Reply
Archived Knowledge (Highly likely) 4 years ago
We are closing in on having autonomous trucks, and already have small autonomous take away robots, replacing human-to-human deliveries.
0 0 Reply

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