컴퓨터 프로그래머

고위험
69%
다음으로 어디로 가고 싶으신가요?
결과를 친구 및 가족과 공유하세요.
투표 댓글 (248)
또는, 이 직업을 더 자세히 탐구해보세요...
자동화 위험
계산된
70%
(고위험)
투표 조사
67%
(고위험)
Average: 69%
노동 수요
성장
-9.6%
년도별 2033
임금
$99,700
또는 시간당 $47.93
볼륨
120,370
2023 기준으로
요약
직업 점수
3.5/10

사람들이 또한 조회했습니다

계산된 자동화 위험

70% (고위험)

고위험 (61-80%): 이 범주에 속하는 직업은 현재 또는 가까운 미래의 기술을 사용하여 쉽게 자동화될 수 있는 많은 업무를 수행하므로 자동화로부터 중대한 위협을 받고 있습니다.

이 점수가 무엇인지, 그리고 어떻게 계산되는지에 대한 자세한 정보는 여기에 있습니다.

일부 중요한 직무 특성은 자동화하기 어렵습니다:

  • 사회적 인식력

  • 독창성

사용자 설문조사

다음 두 십년 안에 완전 자동화될 67%의 확률

우리의 방문자들은 이 직업이 자동화 될 가능성이 높다고 투표했습니다. 이 평가는 계산된 자동화 위험 수준에 의해 더욱 지지받고 있으며, 이는 자동화의 70% 확률을 추정합니다.

자동화의 위험성에 대해 어떻게 생각하십니까?

컴퓨터 프로그래머이 다음 20년 이내에 로봇이나 인공지능에 의해 대체될 가능성은 얼마나 됩니까?






감정

다음 그래프는 의미 있는 데이터를 제공할 수 있을 만큼 충분한 투표 수가 있을 때마다 포함됩니다. 이러한 시각적 표현은 시간 경과에 따른 사용자 투표 결과를 보여주며, 감정 추세에 대한 중요한 지표를 제공합니다.

시간에 따른 감정 (분기별)

시간별 감정 (연간)

성장

다른 직업에 비해 매우 느린 성장률.

'Computer Programmers' 직종의 채용 공고 수는 2033년까지 9.6% 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다.

총 고용량 및 예상 직업 공석

* 2023년부터 2033년까지의 기간에 대한 노동통계국의 데이터
업데이트된 예상치가 09-2025에 제출될 예정입니다..

임금

다른 직업에 비해 매우 높은 급여를 받는다.

2023년에 'Computer Programmers'의 중앙값 연간 급여는 $99,700이며, 시간당 $47입니다.

'Computer Programmers'은 전국 중위임금인 $48,060보다 107.4% 더 높은 금액을 지불받았습니다.

시간에 따른 임금

* 노동통계국의 데이터

볼륨

다른 직업에 비해 더 넓은 직업 기회 범위

2023년 현재, 미국 내에서 'Computer Programmers'로 고용된 사람들의 수는 120,370명이었습니다.

이는 전국의 고용 노동력 중 약 0.08%를 대표합니다.

다시 말해, 약 1 천명 중 1명이 'Computer Programmers'로 고용되어 있습니다.

직무 설명

컴퓨터 애플리케이션이 작동하게 해주는 코드와 스크립트를 생성, 수정, 테스트합니다. 소프트웨어 및 웹 개발자 또는 다른 개인이 작성한 사양에서 작업합니다. 특정 문서, 데이터, 정보를 저장, 검색, 검색하는 컴퓨터 프로그램을 개발하고 작성할 수 있습니다.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

댓글

Leave a comment

TAmzid2872 (불확실한) 17 days ago
Programming isnt just about writing code, its about problem solving
0 0 Reply
Sven H. (매우 가능성이 높음) 21 days ago
AI can already code extremely well; there will be no need for human programmers in the future.
0 0 Reply
Doubtful (낮은) 25 days ago
AI is horrible at following instructions, and bad at understanding architecture. Also, as context grows it tends to forget instructions.
0 0 Reply
Michael Bohn (불확실한) 1 month ago
For the AI to work properly, you need people who know how to write the prompts and how to evaluate the written code.
3 2 Reply
Pavel 20 days ago
But if AI becomes as good as humans then why programmers would be ever needed if not those who work on AI itself? Maybe for some complex and big programms people would still be needed.
0 0 Reply
... 28 days ago
How does this relate to programmers? Programmers program not write prompts. Evaluation to code is already possible
0 0 Reply
J 2 months ago
Robots aint gonna code themselves, if we get to that point then that's Skynet/matrix. Aka end of the world for everyone so who cares
6 2 Reply
PossiblyUnemployed 4 days ago
My worry is if future code-generating models can modify itself or the programs it works on towards a specific goal, sort of like an intelligent self-modifying quine.
0 0 Reply
John pork (기회 없음) 2 months ago
it is because AI and robots require programming and without programmers, they cannot function
0 2 Reply
PotentiallyJobless 4 days ago
It is true that programmers were necessary to create and train the models, but at this point what may be more necessary is just making sure the systems and hardware that keep the AI running don't malfunction. As it is, modern AI is finding ways to modify itself and its environment.
0 0 Reply
Emy (매우 가능성이 높음) 2 months ago
Even though programming can demand thinking sometimes, 70% of the work is repetitive or the same across different business. Not only that, but 80% of the time you are not solving any complex problem that demands creativity or deep thinking.
6 2 Reply
Jersey Jim 2 months ago
You can convert from one language to another with AI and a developer is not protected by knowing Java vs C#. This further erodes job protection. Recreating the wheel will drastically stop in programming and I'd imagine known problems will converge to one solution.
0 3 Reply
rick 13 days ago
programming is problem resolution. there is not a single solution. lol.
0 0 Reply
@irton (기회 없음) 3 months ago
Why do they already develop this, and AI is not smart enough to do more? To complement, it is good.
1 5 Reply
Cessna (불확실한) 3 months ago
Some AI can program or help a person program like chatgpt
3 2 Reply
Siddhant Tambe (불확실한) 3 months ago
In order for AI to truly replace a Human computer programmer job, they will need to be "human" enough to handle the multiple complexities of building a whole ecosystem of a software product, along with defining clients who has accurately specify requirement.
For instance, I asked ChatGPT to write me a simple code that creates a "conversation" with OpenAI's APIs. It could not even do that accurately.
Current likelihood of replacing a computer programmer is laughable at best. Maybe over 20 years there might be "some" progress.
8 3 Reply
pleb 2 months ago
To be honest, it's quite scary that most people think this job will be entirely replaced. If AI ever fully becomes "human enough" (as you said! That's a brilliant way to put it) to take over every single Computer Programmer job... well, I don't think we have to worry about whether CS Majors will get employed.
3 2 Reply
Some Programmer (낮은) 4 months ago
We need programmers to make AI, the programmers themselves propel AI ahead by making new ideas, AI cannot do that it is simply using the knowledge it has to gen a quick answer for the user based on training, however i do believe that there is a chance that AI will replace humans if its way of thinking becomes completely identical as to a human would think and if quantum computing gets invented.
3 2 Reply
half-full 2 months ago
a good example of this would be asking an ai to generate a wineglass thats full to the brim; it cant because all the pictures online are half-full, lmao
1 2 Reply
Arsh (적당한) 4 months ago
Some concepts like orginaltity and thinking can not be replicated, but base code is in danger
1 2 Reply
Somone (적당한) 4 months ago
This job could be revamped/transformed but i don't think AI will take over completely because AI isn't good at randomness and complex thinking/problem solving so i think AI will be a tool that will assist coders, engineers, etc not take over completely.
2 2 Reply
random idiot (기회 없음) 4 months ago
Don't Computer programmers code AI...
2 7 Reply
Jamal 21 days ago
I think they do honestly, wait nvm i think its chatgpt giving us our jobs
0 0 Reply
Distragin (낮은) 4 months ago
The amount of Ai copying from one another is insane if one Ai makes a mistake it could be devastating to other AI informational sources. This is why coding and programming are minimal risk, AI is most likely just gonna copy each other leading to inefficient mayhem!
1 2 Reply
Jersey Jim 2 months ago
These reasons have little bearing on the push for automation. Modern DevOps can push out fixes quickly. Companies don't really suffer much from downtime or security breaches. AI only has to be good enough with slight imperfections to kill jobs. Companies have already be proven willing to eat some losses from self-checkouts versus cashiers. It is cold math. The cost savings will far exceed the losses from downtime or government fines.
0 2 Reply
Guilherme (낮은) 4 months ago
Because client's need change and language models can't pick up nuances 100% of the time there will always be a place for programers. But the kind of tasks they perform might change.
1 2 Reply
darkmewtwo (낮은) 5 months ago
Ask an ai to simplify code. It will not work
2 4 Reply
Wes (기회 없음) 5 months ago
You still need someone to understand every line of code the AI produces. Although AI is decent at programming now, I am certain that we will always need a human to write code to some degree.
8 3 Reply
` (불확실한) 6 months ago
I think that while there is a high chance that AI will be used to automate the creation of basic code, AI will always make mistakes that have to be corrected by humans who know what they're doing, and I don't think AI will replace programmers in the next ~20 years because of the need for complex and intricate code used in projects such as game engines.
11 5 Reply
Guy (매우 가능성이 높음) 6 months ago
Already starting, automation has begun being used for coding in many places.
8 7 Reply
Adrian 4 months ago
Agreed. AI will continue to grow, and it learns faster than any human could. The only type of software development postions I see staying is the creation of new languages. However, these jobs will be very few and require an insanely high level of education and years of experience. Heck, these jobs are offshored right now.
3 2 Reply
Luke 5 months ago
Often incorrect and needs fixing though, at least from my experience.
5 2 Reply

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