변호사들
이 요약을 사이트에 원하시나요? 임베드 코드:
자동화 위험
저위험 (21-40%): 이 수준의 직업은 기술적인 능력과 인간 중심의 기술을 모두 요구하기 때문에 자동화 위험이 제한적입니다.
이 점수가 무엇인지, 그리고 어떻게 계산되는지에 대한 자세한 정보는 여기에 있습니다.
사용자 설문조사
우리의 방문자들은 이 직업이 자동화될 가능성이 낮다고 투표했습니다. 이 평가는 계산된 자동화 위험 수준에 의해 더욱 지지받고 있으며, 이는 자동화의 22% 확률을 추정합니다.
자동화의 위험성에 대해 어떻게 생각하십니까?
변호사들이 다음 20년 이내에 로봇이나 인공지능에 의해 대체될 가능성은 얼마나 됩니까?
감정
다음 그래프는 의미있는 데이터를 제공할 수 있는 상당한 양의 투표가 있을 때마다 포함되어 있습니다. 이러한 시각적 표현은 시간에 따른 사용자 설문조사 결과를 보여주어, 감정 추세의 중요한 지표를 제공합니다.
시간에 따른 감정 (분기별)
시간별 감정 (연간)
성장
'Lawyers' 직업 분야의 공석은 2032년까지 9.6% 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
총 고용량 및 예상 직업 공석
업데이트된 예상치가 09-2023에 제출될 예정입니다..
임금
2022년에 'Lawyers'의 중앙값 연간 급여는 $135,740이며, 시간당 $65입니다.
'Lawyers'은 전국 중위임금인 $46,310보다 193.1% 더 높은 금액을 지불받았습니다.
시간에 따른 임금
볼륨
2022년 현재, 미국 내에서 'Lawyers'로 고용된 사람들의 수는 707,160명이었습니다.
이는 전국의 고용 노동력 중 약 0.48%를 대표합니다.
다시 말해, 약 209명 중 1명이 'Lawyers'로 고용되어 있습니다.
직무 설명
범죄 및 민사 소송 그리고 기타 법적 절차에서 클라이언트를 대리하고, 법적 문서를 작성하거나, 클라이언트가 법적 거래에 대해 관리하거나 조언을 제공합니다. 특정 영역에 전문화되거나 법의 여러 분야에서 폭넓게 실무를 수행할 수 있습니다.
SOC Code: 23-1011.00
자원
새로운 커리어를 시작하려고 생각하거나 직장을 바꾸려는 계획이 있다면, 우리가 만든 편리한 채용 검색 도구를 사용해보세요. 이 도구를 통해 완벽한 새로운 역할을 찾을 수 있을지도 모릅니다.
댓글
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Plus, a lot of lawyers have strong political connections and a lot of money and influence. No way they'd willingly allow themselves to be replaced by AI.
Ministerial work like estate, wills, estate planning, corporations law, definitely.
Contract law, most likely. Use of standardized language and exploiting vague wording seems like AI forte.
Litigation, nope. Despite what people say it's about critical thinking skills. In many case its the opposite. It's creative BS'ing.
Dealing with people who are can be genuine boneheads or lazy, but may be in positions of authority or needed for your case.
Criminal Law and Family law, don'teven think about it. Both involve real stakes for people's rights and extreme emotions of those involved. Many times requiring subjective evaluation of evidence.
Numerous cases pivot on the attempt to convince a jury, or judge in certain cases, that your version of the facts is accurate. Furthermore, while you will be able to ask an AI about a law, it's unlikely that the AI will be able to interpret the facts from your situation and apply them to the law. This is because interpreting whether the facts of your case apply to the scope of the law often requires inherently human ingenuity and creative thinking.
Also, whether the law applies to your case, or if convicted, whether your sentence should be reduced, can often involve making appeals to morals and the specific circumstances of the case. Some argue that AI will be able to draft commercial contracts between businesses. This may be true, but it would first require someone, ideally a lawyer, to advise you on whether certain agreements you've made will increase your liability or position you more favorably in case of a contractual breach. An AI would simply write the contract, presumably more quickly and with fewer mistakes.
Finally, many seem to believe that the law is black and white. This is incorrect for several reasons and is an area where AI would likely struggle. In countries like the U.K., U.S., India, Australia, Canada, and New Zealand, many areas of law are not governed by statute but created on a case-by-case basis. This can result in a lack of consistency in the law and occasional conflicting judicial decisions. Lawyers often argue that these cases can be reconciled, or that, in contemporary society, one decision is more favorable than another.
Even regarding statute law, there are usually many approaches to 'legislative interpretation' (such as textualism, structuralism, or intentionalism). At different points in time, the legal system has preferred one approach over another for certain issues. While AI might be able to explain this, I fear many will not give it the appropriate significance it deserves. This could result in individuals mistakenly thinking they have not committed a tort, traffic offense, crime, etc. due to a particular interpretation method.
Additionally, even when a certain method of statutory interpretation is preferred, a skilled lawyer could argue that a different approach should be applied due to special circumstances in the case, changing societal values, or a discrepancy between Parliament/Congress' expressed intention about the application of the legislation and how the law is currently being applied.
In terms of arbitration or conciliation, the entire point of lawyers in these circumstances is not necessarily to know the law, but to provide impartial advice from someone who isn't emotionally invested in the issue. Clients often do not think rationally due to the emotive nature of the circumstances. However, AI will likely automate 'grunt work' like finding cases, writing letters, and contracts. AI will also likely be beneficial because many commercial and property disputes may not warrant paying expensive fees for lawyers - the same goes for low-level criminal and traffic offenses.
I also don't see many people mentioning that AI itself will likely create more work for lawyers. For example, claims that an AI gave not only bad legal advice, but outright negligent advice, and whether the owner company should be liable. Issues like AI being discriminatory, privacy breaches, and the extent to which AI will be allowed to give legal information or answer legal concerns about specific facts will undoubtedly arise. There will likely be news articles about how someone was negatively affected by using AI. Unlike lawyers, it would be much harder to prove liability for the company that owns the AI. Therefore, the use of AI in relation to the law is likely to be limited - at least for public use.
Even if not limited by the government, I believe a sophisticated AI law robot would likely be locked away behind an expensive paywall that only legal firms and other companies could afford. AI might also not be proficient in law in many smaller countries for a significant period. I've noticed it often doesn't recognize the law or case I referred to, or it completely misinterprets the definition, facts, and decisions of that law or case.
A final issue with the use of AI is that it may often provide incorrect laws. Court cases in many countries refer to cases in other countries or states. Because of this, the AI might read the case name mentioned and provide a plethora of decisions from completely different jurisdictions.
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