자동차 서비스 기술자 및 정비사

중간 위험
44%
다음으로 어디로 가고 싶으신가요?
결과를 친구 및 가족과 공유하세요.
투표 댓글 (24)
또는, 이 직업을 더 자세히 탐구해보세요...
자동화 위험
계산된
58%
(중간 위험)
투표 조사
30%
(낮은 위험)
Average: 44%
노동 수요
성장
2.7%
년도별 2033
임금
$47,770
또는 시간당 $22.96
볼륨
676,570
2023 기준으로
요약
직업 점수
4.9/10

사람들이 또한 조회했습니다

계산된 자동화 위험

58% (중간 위험)

중간 위험 (41-60%): 자동화의 중간 위험을 가진 직업은 보통 루틴적인 작업을 포함하지만, 여전히 일부 인간의 판단력과 상호작용이 필요합니다.

이 점수가 무엇인지, 그리고 어떻게 계산되는지에 대한 자세한 정보는 여기에 있습니다.

일부 매우 중요한 직무 특성은 자동화하기 어렵습니다:

  • 제한된 작업 공간, 불편한 자세

일부 중요한 직무 특성은 자동화하기 어렵습니다:

  • 손재주

  • 손가락 민첩성

  • 사회적 인식력

사용자 설문조사

다음 두 십년 안에 완전 자동화될 30%의 확률

우리의 방문자들은 이 직업이 자동화될 가능성이 낮다고 투표했습니다. 그러나, 우리가 생성한 자동화 위험 수준은 자동화 가능성이 더 높다는 것을 제안합니다: 58%의 자동화 가능성.

자동화의 위험성에 대해 어떻게 생각하십니까?

자동차 서비스 기술자 및 정비사이 다음 20년 이내에 로봇이나 인공지능에 의해 대체될 가능성은 얼마나 됩니까?






감정

다음 그래프는 의미 있는 데이터를 제공할 수 있을 만큼 충분한 투표 수가 있을 때마다 포함됩니다. 이러한 시각적 표현은 시간 경과에 따른 사용자 투표 결과를 보여주며, 감정 추세에 대한 중요한 지표를 제공합니다.

시간별 감정 (연간)

성장

다른 직업에 비해 성장이 느림

'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' 직업 분야의 공석은 2033년까지 2.7% 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

총 고용량 및 예상 직업 공석

* 2021년부터 2031년까지의 기간에 대한 노동통계국의 데이터
업데이트된 예상치가 09-2024에 제출될 예정입니다..

임금

다른 직업에 비해 임금이 낮음

2023년에 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics'의 중앙값 연간 급여는 $47,770이며, 시간당 $22입니다.

'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics'은 전국 중위임금인 $48,060보다 0.6% 낮은 금액을 지급받았습니다.

시간에 따른 임금

* 노동통계국의 데이터

볼륨

다른 직업에 비해 훨씬 더 많은 직업 기회 범위

2023년 현재, 미국 내에서 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics'로 고용된 사람들의 수는 676,570명이었습니다.

이는 전국의 고용 노동력 중 약 0.45%를 대표합니다.

다시 말해, 약 224명 중 1명이 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics'로 고용되어 있습니다.

직무 설명

자동차를 진단하고, 조정하며, 수리하거나, 전체를 개조합니다.

SOC Code: 49-3023.00

자원

새로운 커리어를 시작하려고 생각하거나 직장을 바꾸려는 계획이 있다면, 우리가 만든 편리한 채용 검색 도구를 사용해보세요. 이 도구를 통해 완벽한 새로운 역할을 찾을 수 있을지도 모릅니다.

당신의 지역에서 일자리를 검색하세요

댓글

Leave a comment

Not today (기회 없음) 5 months ago
Stripped bolts, damaged/worn parts, there is no way a computer can find a leak that only shows a small drip from the cooling system or remove a dash to replace a part.
1 0 Reply
LeRoy (기회 없음) 5 months ago
The infinite probability of small and insignificant things that can go wrong to set EVEN ONE DTC off cannot be computed by a machine, tested by a machine (if the fault Is in the wiring harness, or other wiring diagram), or fixed by a machine without that EXACT issue being programmed for IF it is even programmed for, and had the ability to fix said issue. Mechanics and technicians like myself are a dying breed.
1 0 Reply
Timmy Martin (기회 없음) 1 year ago
The pathway to automating the role of a technician I see would first require modular vehicle construction. Once vehicles have easily replaced and accessible modules i.e. a "front right drive motor assembly". an automated system could isolate the concern to a general module and with the removal of a handful of accessible fasteners could remove the whole module and replace it. With one large fastener at the top of the strut tower two large fasteners on the lower control arm and one large electrical connector, the entire module is swapped and sent for rebuild.
0 0 Reply
Tom B 1 year ago
Somewhere, right now a car company engineering group is working on a vehicle design that is centered around supporting service by robotics, and also developing the compatible robots. In about 5 years you will see basic service robots deployed, and within 10 years at least 50% of the work can be delegated to robots. (for new car dealerships) AI and big data will handle the majority of failure diagnosis, with diagnostics over the air and onboard computer software updates over the air. If surgeons are already being displaced by robotics for some types of surgeries, when the cost of robotics comes down almost any skilled manual labor can be displaced.
0 2 Reply
Mestica 1 year ago
There are simply too many variables, people interactions, and different levels of abuse and care that each vehicle receives.
0 0 Reply
Scott (기회 없음) 1 year ago
I've been an auto technician for about 37 years now. When I started working on cars computers didn't exist in cars yet. Now some cars have upwards of 15 computers that do everything from working a convertible top to driving a vehicle autonomously. That's a big leap in 37 years but I just don't think that robots could replace the parts we replace or diagnose a problem that humans can. I just don't think its possible. Not now. Not in 50 years. Yes cars will become smarter and have more computers but I still think there will always be a need for a human mechanic to work on them.

Also in my opinion cars haven't gotten any better than they were in the 70s or 80s just different problems and different ways to diagnose and repair them. I've forgotten more than a lot of guys in their 30s and even 40s have learned. I think I was blessed to have become a Mechanic when I did. I've seen and learned a lot more in 37 years than I think most techs will learn in the next 35 or 40 years. I became a mechanic in a time when computers didn't exist in cars I remember how may shops went out of business when Antilock brakes came out.

I'm a multiple times A.S.E. Master Technician. Still learning today still wrenching and I will to the end. I actually enjoyed it more 25 or 30 years ago but I love some of the challenges techs face today. I'm always waiting for that problem no one can figure out and I figure it out.

All the Techs my age know exactly what I'm saying we've all been there and been that guy to fix it. I doubt any robot could do all the things we have to do. It just doesn't seem possible.
0 0 Reply
Alec (낮은) 1 year ago
As cars get more advanced it will be harder to work on them and at the rate technology is progressing it seems unlikely that 20 years from now computers will be doing all the work on cars, humans are a lot more likely to be needed but will have technological aid
0 0 Reply
Siprico (매우 가능성이 높음) 1 year ago
Corporations will always look for the most cost effective way to increase the bottom line, corporations are not concerned with humanity or culture unless it makes them money.
0 0 Reply
Gael Gay Gaylord (낮은) 1 year ago
Robots working on cars would be bad, they do already create cars but I think its better if we people fix the cars and not have them create and fix them too (I'm gonna be an automotive mechanic sooner or later)
0 0 Reply
John 2 years ago
For maintenance, sure, but not every car is exactly the same. This would be one of the last to go. Anyone with a computer job or repetitive task will go first. Look at nursing, they said like 1.5%, and this is 55%... what? You check the temperature of a patient, then play on Facebook and complain about work for 3 hours. Lol. Definitely going to replace most of the basic ones.
0 0 Reply
Nicholas D'Amico (낮은) 2 years ago
Assembly and manufacturing will be automated. Minor service jobs, like fluid changes, will undoubtedly be automated away.

However, troubleshooting and repairing vehicles with problems that aren't related to recurring service will not be automated away.

With this in mind, I think that the market for mechanics will actually increase due to the automation of vehicles on the road. More vehicles mean more mechanics - more jiffy lube robot techs and more certified mechanics in the future.
0 0 Reply
Alex 3 years ago
Not robots but 'electric cars will reduce maintenance by 90 per cent' - Sandy Munro
0 0 Reply
Dean (기회 없음) 3 years ago
There simply is to many variables/people interactions that have to happen/every vehicle is different in the amount of abuse and care towards that vehicle
0 0 Reply
Troy (기회 없음) 3 years ago
They won't be able to diagnose little problems.
0 0 Reply
Jarno 3 years ago
Totally agree with the comments here. You’d need a super AI just to recognize the wear and/or damage. Then it also needs to think of a way to actually do it... and then you’d need a super-robot to be actually able to do the very diverse physical stuff. (Arms? Tools?)

It wouldn’t be cost effective to design and build such a robot anytime soon.

This job is super under-appreciated in my opinion.
0 0 Reply
Siprico 1 year ago
What is "super" AI? Seeing as every point I've read so far only takes into account the current(2023) state of the industry with out implementing the advances in the industry that would naturally happen with the passing of time. Once You apply this logical progression of the industry you must also take into account that advancements in the computer/robotics world are much more impactful and happen at an increasingly increased rate. "Robots will never be able to build a car." This used to be the motto; but as we all know that industry was quickly taken over by automation, and tech has only gotten exponentially more advanced since that time.
0 0 Reply
Rick (낮은) 4 years ago
Besides diagnostics there are to many variables for a robot to make the actual repairs.
0 0 Reply
Sorry robots will take your jobs 3 years ago
They do have arms fingers and A.I. would allow them to access info from any related and applicable book, manual, or source...
0 0 Reply
Mike 1 year ago
God bless you
First time robot skins his knuckle
Who’s going to fix that
0 0 Reply
Maybe 50 years. (기회 없음) 4 years ago
Unless we get self thinking robots that can mimic and access repair books and find problems very unlikely.

They would need arms for one.
1 0 Reply
jim beam (낮은) 5 years ago
Its WAYYYYYYY more complicated then you think
0 0 Reply
john (기회 없음) 5 years ago
robots can not detect the slightest repair
0 0 Reply
aaa 5 years ago
Eventually yes, but just don't see it happening in the next 20 years.
1 0 Reply
jason 5 years ago
right there with u brother
F**k robots
1 0 Reply

이 직업에 대한 답글을 남겨주세요.

이 사이트는 reCAPTCHA와 Google 개인정보처리방침서비스 이용약관에 의해 보호됩니다.