Tecnici di Servizio Automobilistico e Meccanici

RISCHIO DI AUTOMAZIONE
CALCOLATO
55%
livello di rischio
SONDAGGI
33%
Basato su 453 voti
DOMANDA DI LAVORO
CRESCITA
1,4%
entro l'anno 2032
SALARI
46.970 $
o 22,58 $ all'ora
Volume
664.070
a partire da 2022
SOMMARIO
PUNTEGGIO LAVORO
4,7/10

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Rischio di automazione

55% (Rischio Moderato)

Rischio Moderato (41-60%): Le professioni con un rischio moderato di automazione coinvolgono solitamente compiti di routine, ma richiedono ancora un certo giudizio umano e interazione.

Ulteriori informazioni su cosa sia questo punteggio e su come viene calcolato sono disponibili qui.

Alcune qualità molto importanti del lavoro sono difficili da automatizzare:

  • Spazio di Lavoro Stretto, Posizioni Scomode

Alcune qualità piuttosto importanti del lavoro sono difficili da automatizzare:

  • Destrezza Manuale

  • Destrezza delle Dita

  • Percezione Sociale

Sondaggio degli utenti

33% possibilità di completa automazione nel prossimo ventennio

I nostri visitatori hanno votato che c'è una bassa probabilità che questa professione sarà automatizzata. Tuttavia, il livello di rischio di automazione che abbiamo generato suggerisce una probabilità più alta di automazione: 55% probabilità di automazione.

Cosa pensi sia il rischio dell'automazione?

Qual è la probabilità che Tecnici di Servizio Automobilistico e Meccanici venga sostituito da robot o intelligenza artificiale nei prossimi 20 anni?






Sentimento

Il/i seguente/i grafico/i sono inclusi ovunque ci sia un numero sostanziale di voti per fornire dati significativi. Queste rappresentazioni visive mostrano i risultati dei sondaggi degli utenti nel tempo, fornendo un'indicazione significativa delle tendenze del sentimento.

Sentimento nel tempo (annuale)

Crescita

Crescita lenta rispetto ad altre professioni.

Il numero di offerte di lavoro per 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' dovrebbe aumentare 1,4% entro il 2032

Occupazione totale e stime delle offerte di lavoro

* Dati provenienti dal Bureau of Labor Statistics per il periodo tra 2021 e 2031
Le previsioni aggiornate sono previste per 09-2023.

Salari

Rispetto ad altre professioni, è poco retribuito

Nel 2022, il salario annuo mediano per 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' era di 46.970 $, o 22 $ all'ora.

'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' hanno ricevuto un salario 1,4% superiore al salario mediano nazionale, che si attestava a 46.310 $

Salari nel tempo

* Dati provenienti dal Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Gamma di opportunità lavorative notevolmente maggiore rispetto ad altre professioni

A partire dal 2022 c'erano 664.070 persone impiegate come 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' negli Stati Uniti.

Questo rappresenta circa il 0,45% della forza lavoro impiegata in tutto il paese

In altre parole, circa 1 su 222 persone sono impiegate come 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics'.

Descrizione del lavoro

Diagnostica, regola, ripara o revisiona i veicoli automobilistici.

SOC Code: 49-3023.00

Risorse

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Commenti

Lascia un commento

Timmy Martin (Nessuna possibilità) dice
The pathway to automating the role of a technician I see would first require modular vehicle construction. Once vehicles have easily replaced and accessible modules i.e. a "front right drive motor assembly". an automated system could isolate the concern to a general module and with the removal of a handful of accessible fasteners could remove the whole module and replace it. With one large fastener at the top of the strut tower two large fasteners on the lower control arm and one large electrical connector, the entire module is swapped and sent for rebuild.
Oct 27, 2023 at 02:50
Tom B dice
Somewhere, right now a car company engineering group is working on a vehicle design that is centered around supporting service by robotics, and also developing the compatible robots. In about 5 years you will see basic service robots deployed, and within 10 years at least 50% of the work can be delegated to robots. (for new car dealerships) AI and big data will handle the majority of failure diagnosis, with diagnostics over the air and onboard computer software updates over the air. If surgeons are already being displaced by robotics for some types of surgeries, when the cost of robotics comes down almost any skilled manual labor can be displaced.
Oct 08, 2023 at 03:01
Mestica dice
There are simply too many variables, people interactions, and different levels of abuse and care that each vehicle receives.
May 22, 2023 at 10:29
Scott (Nessuna possibilità) dice
I've been an auto technician for about 37 years now. When I started working on cars computers didn't exist in cars yet. Now some cars have upwards of 15 computers that do everything from working a convertible top to driving a vehicle autonomously. That's a big leap in 37 years but I just don't think that robots could replace the parts we replace or diagnose a problem that humans can. I just don't think its possible. Not now. Not in 50 years. Yes cars will become smarter and have more computers but I still think there will always be a need for a human mechanic to work on them.

Also in my opinion cars haven't gotten any better than they were in the 70s or 80s just different problems and different ways to diagnose and repair them. I've forgotten more than a lot of guys in their 30s and even 40s have learned. I think I was blessed to have become a Mechanic when I did. I've seen and learned a lot more in 37 years than I think most techs will learn in the next 35 or 40 years. I became a mechanic in a time when computers didn't exist in cars I remember how may shops went out of business when Antilock brakes came out.

I'm a multiple times A.S.E. Master Technician. Still learning today still wrenching and I will to the end. I actually enjoyed it more 25 or 30 years ago but I love some of the challenges techs face today. I'm always waiting for that problem no one can figure out and I figure it out.

All the Techs my age know exactly what I'm saying we've all been there and been that guy to fix it. I doubt any robot could do all the things we have to do. It just doesn't seem possible.
May 04, 2023 at 02:45
Alec (Basso) dice
As cars get more advanced it will be harder to work on them and at the rate technology is progressing it seems unlikely that 20 years from now computers will be doing all the work on cars, humans are a lot more likely to be needed but will have technological aid
Apr 14, 2023 at 02:48
Siprico (Molto probabile) dice
Corporations will always look for the most cost effective way to increase the bottom line, corporations are not concerned with humanity or culture unless it makes them money.
Mar 28, 2023 at 05:52
Gael Gay Gaylord (Basso) dice
Robots working on cars would be bad, they do already create cars but I think its better if we people fix the cars and not have them create and fix them too (I'm gonna be an automotive mechanic sooner or later)
Dec 16, 2022 at 03:34
John dice
For maintenance, sure, but not every car is exactly the same. This would be one of the last to go. Anyone with a computer job or repetitive task will go first. Look at nursing, they said like 1.5%, and this is 55%... what? You check the temperature of a patient, then play on Facebook and complain about work for 3 hours. Lol. Definitely going to replace most of the basic ones.
Feb 14, 2022 at 04:51
Nicholas D'Amico (Basso) dice
Assembly and manufacturing will be automated. Minor service jobs, like fluid changes, will undoubtedly be automated away.

However, troubleshooting and repairing vehicles with problems that aren't related to recurring service will not be automated away.

With this in mind, I think that the market for mechanics will actually increase due to the automation of vehicles on the road. More vehicles mean more mechanics - more jiffy lube robot techs and more certified mechanics in the future.
Jan 06, 2022 at 07:21
Alex dice
Not robots but 'electric cars will reduce maintenance by 90 per cent' - Sandy Munro
Aug 30, 2021 at 12:03
Dean (Nessuna possibilità) dice
There simply is to many variables/people interactions that have to happen/every vehicle is different in the amount of abuse and care towards that vehicle
May 27, 2021 at 03:19
Troy (Nessuna possibilità) dice
They won't be able to diagnose little problems.
May 14, 2021 at 12:09
Jarno dice
Totally agree with the comments here. You’d need a super AI just to recognize the wear and/or damage. Then it also needs to think of a way to actually do it... and then you’d need a super-robot to be actually able to do the very diverse physical stuff. (Arms? Tools?)

It wouldn’t be cost effective to design and build such a robot anytime soon.

This job is super under-appreciated in my opinion.
Jan 09, 2021 at 11:08
Siprico dice
What is "super" AI? Seeing as every point I've read so far only takes into account the current(2023) state of the industry with out implementing the advances in the industry that would naturally happen with the passing of time. Once You apply this logical progression of the industry you must also take into account that advancements in the computer/robotics world are much more impactful and happen at an increasingly increased rate. "Robots will never be able to build a car." This used to be the motto; but as we all know that industry was quickly taken over by automation, and tech has only gotten exponentially more advanced since that time.
Mar 28, 2023 at 06:02
Rick (Basso) dice
Besides diagnostics there are to many variables for a robot to make the actual repairs.
May 15, 2020 at 01:41
Sorry robots will take your jobs dice
They do have arms fingers and A.I. would allow them to access info from any related and applicable book, manual, or source...
Aug 14, 2021 at 02:02
Maybe 50 years. (Nessuna possibilità) dice
Unless we get self thinking robots that can mimic and access repair books and find problems very unlikely.

They would need arms for one.
May 05, 2020 at 11:05
jim beam (Basso) dice
Its WAYYYYYYY more complicated then you think
Nov 12, 2019 at 01:17
john (Nessuna possibilità) dice
robots can not detect the slightest repair
Aug 28, 2019 at 12:05
aaa dice
Eventually yes, but just don't see it happening in the next 20 years.
Mar 30, 2019 at 11:05
jason dice
right there with u brother
F**k robots
Oct 01, 2019 at 03:40

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