Panoramica
Rischio di Automazione
2. Sondaggio degli utenti
3. Crescita
Salari
5. Volume
Descrizione
Risorse
Commenti

Programmatori di Computer

RISCHIO DI AUTOMAZIONE
CALCOLATO
52%
livello di rischio
SONDAGGI
47%
Basato su 9.017 voti
DOMANDA DI LAVORO
CRESCITA
-10,2%
entro l'anno 2032
SALARI
97.800 $
o 47,02 $ all'ora
Volume
132.740
a partire da 2022
SOMMARIO
PUNTEGGIO LAVORO
4,7/10

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Vota
Commenti (181)

Rischio di automazione

52% (Rischio Moderato)

Rischio Moderato (41-60%): Le professioni con un rischio moderato di automazione coinvolgono solitamente compiti di routine, ma richiedono ancora un certo giudizio umano e interazione.

Ulteriori informazioni su cosa sia questo punteggio e su come viene calcolato sono disponibili qui.

Alcune qualità piuttosto importanti del lavoro sono difficili da automatizzare:

  • Percezione Sociale

  • Originalità

Sondaggio degli utenti

47% possibilità di completa automazione nel prossimo ventennio

I nostri visitatori hanno votato che non sono sicuri se questa professione sarà automatizzata. Questa valutazione è ulteriormente supportata dal livello di rischio di automazione calcolato, che stima una possibilità di automazione del 52%.

Cosa pensi sia il rischio dell'automazione?

Qual è la probabilità che Programmatori di Computer venga sostituito da robot o intelligenza artificiale nei prossimi 20 anni?






Sentimento

Il/i seguente/i grafico/i sono inclusi ovunque ci sia un numero sostanziale di voti per fornire dati significativi. Queste rappresentazioni visive mostrano i risultati dei sondaggi degli utenti nel tempo, fornendo un'indicazione significativa delle tendenze del sentimento.

Sentimento nel tempo (trimestrale)

Sentimento nel tempo (annuale)

Crescita

Crescita molto lenta rispetto ad altre professioni.

Si prevede che il numero di offerte di lavoro per 'Computer Programmers' diminuirà 10,2% entro il 2032

Occupazione totale e stime delle offerte di lavoro

* Dati provenienti dal Bureau of Labor Statistics per il periodo tra 2021 e 2031
Le previsioni aggiornate sono previste per 09-2023.

Salari

Molto ben retribuito rispetto ad altre professioni

Nel 2022, il salario annuo mediano per 'Computer Programmers' era di 97.800 $, o 47 $ all'ora.

'Computer Programmers' hanno ricevuto un salario 111,2% superiore al salario mediano nazionale, che si attestava a 46.310 $

Salari nel tempo

* Dati provenienti dal Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Una gamma più ampia di opportunità lavorative rispetto ad altre professioni

A partire dal 2022 c'erano 132.740 persone impiegate come 'Computer Programmers' negli Stati Uniti.

Questo rappresenta circa il 0,09% della forza lavoro impiegata in tutto il paese

In altre parole, circa 1 su 1 mille persone sono impiegate come 'Computer Programmers'.

Descrizione del lavoro

Crea, modifica e testa il codice e gli script che consentono alle applicazioni informatiche di funzionare. Lavora a partire da specifiche redatte da sviluppatori di software e web o da altre persone. Potrebbe sviluppare e scrivere programmi informatici per memorizzare, localizzare e recuperare specifici documenti, dati e informazioni.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Risorse

Se stai pensando di iniziare una nuova carriera, o desideri cambiare lavoro, abbiamo creato un pratico strumento di ricerca del lavoro che potrebbe aiutarti a trovare il ruolo perfetto.

Cerca lavoro nella tua zona locale

Commenti

Lascia un commento

MR dice
Hi! From which year do you use data from and when was the calculations performed?
Apr 18, 2024 at 09:54
Admin dice
The calculations were last performed in January 2023, the data was the most recent data available at the time from O*NET

See more info here:
https://willrobotstakemyjob.com/about-our-calculations
Apr 18, 2024 at 10:14
Darin Beaudreau (Moderato) dice
20 years is a reasonable timeline for a large portion of software engineering to be able to be automated, but the problem in replacing programmers isn't AI's ability to reason, but in the customers themselves. To be able to fully replace engineers, a customer needs to be able to accurately describe their requirements, and anyone who works in that field will tell you that customers are idiots.

I think web development will be the first variation of software development that is automated because the majority of all web development is the same and very basic. Things like embedded, robotics, and applications programming will take much longer and require AI to be able to see the whole of an application in a single context to avoid a plateau effect where you get increasingly more errors due to loss of information regarding the program's architecture.
Apr 02, 2024 at 04:16
user (Moderato) dice
I've been a software engineer for over 10 years. This is really only the beginning. The pace of innovation in AI will only increase. We are already using Github Copilot at work and AI gives amazing code reviews. Outsourcing is now much more effective. Less engineers are needed already because of AI. With "Devin", we are seeing a tiny glimpse of what is to come in the next 20 years. I'm going back to school and transitioning out of the industry over the next 2-3 years.
Mar 27, 2024 at 02:00
maikelos272@gmail.com (Molto probabile) dice
Although AI is a tool for programmers, the better it gets the more of our job it can perfrom. It is unfathomable to me that AI will not be able to do a programmers job really well within the next 20 years. I reckon it will happen in 10. The only hope I have is that rather than the job market deminishing, its output will grow exponentially and programmers will grow to be supervrisors of AI. Nontheless at some point AI will be able to write apps and programs based purely on Natural language input. Albeit the code might be far from perfect at the beggining it will only get better.
Mar 20, 2024 at 08:54
Stechkin dice
Check out Devin. It solved 13% of the Git Hub problems. Its scary good.
Mar 24, 2024 at 11:03
ezkha (Incerto) dice
So I've heard about this AI "Devin", which is apparently capable of programming and distributing an entire application from scratch to release; but it is absolutely terrible at managing issues and fixing bugs. If my source is credible, it's 20% efficient compared to 80% with a human.

I think it'll probably improve and replace programming. Though maybe issues and solving bugs, in particular, will take a while to replace.
Mar 14, 2024 at 04:38
user (Molto probabile) dice
AI has been on the rise in the past several years, and is likely to continue growing rapidly. Within the past years what has been possible has greatly increased many magnitudes, and several AI tools that can accomplish coding means have been created, and are being greatly invested on and improved. With the release of "Dave" and companies like "Magic.dev" I can foresee this being a greatly human reduced job in the next 2-6 years.
Mar 14, 2024 at 11:47
S (Molto probabile) dice
ChatGPT is already proficient. It will at the very least heavily reduce the amount of software engineers required
Mar 04, 2024 at 05:05
Johnifer (Nessuna possibilità) dice
Those who say that AI will completely take over CS don't know CS.
Feb 28, 2024 at 12:55
Hot Take dice
Finally, someone with a brain! CS is developing AI and we will always be necessary to supervise it and align with human goals.
Mar 27, 2024 at 12:06
Jon (Incerto) dice
I see that most people voting with certainty on this topic don't understand how this job works, or they are just average or bellow average professionals.

GPT really gives you solutions for complex tasks but on minor details it's going to invent some buggy solution ultimately creating more bugs than helping you.

That's why you really need to understand the tool/system that you're working with.

Feb 26, 2024 at 06:40
kir (Basso) dice
AI has a difficult time with complex use cases, architecture, and requirements from clients.
Feb 12, 2024 at 02:35
Michal dice
That is true but, even if it only does programming really well and never gets around to understanding requirements and architecture well, which I think it will, then it will still take a lot of jobs.
Mar 20, 2024 at 08:56
Rin (Molto probabile) dice
For being beings based on technology, programs, and algorithms, computer programming will be able to replicate itself and take over its own recreation processes.
Feb 06, 2024 at 04:25
Ryan (Moderato) dice
Basic functionality in software is easily automated. Building entirely new systems might be more difficult. If we develop AGI, then any job done at a keyboard is gone, but if that proves more difficult than expected then high level system design and development jobs might last a bit longer.
Jan 22, 2024 at 07:29
Bryan Schmidt (Moderato) dice
So much of what we do as computer programmers can be automated.

My job is to interpret what the product owners want, and convert that into code. Currently, I have transitioned into using AI to help me with most of the code, while I'm still guiding the architecture, code style, and overall codebase.

It won't be long until AI could handle most of if not all of that as well.
Jan 20, 2024 at 10:06
John (Molto probabile) dice
Because chatgpt can already make script, sure its a wrong sometimes. but just imagine but it will be like in 20 years.
Dec 23, 2023 at 12:17
Auditormadness9 (Molto probabile) dice
It already wrote like 20 scripts for me that completely worked as expected.
Dec 11, 2023 at 10:23
Sequenze5517 (Basso) dice
Because Computer Programmers made and update AI. Logically, the AI will not update himself.
Nov 29, 2023 at 01:20
me (Nessuna possibilità) dice
coding requires a lot of skill and thinking which cannot be replaced by ai
Nov 28, 2023 at 03:08
matin (Basso) dice
robots make robots?
Nov 13, 2023 at 10:04
Leo (Molto probabile) dice
so clearly they already have stuff like Chat GPT that tells you code,
Nov 06, 2023 at 02:45
Anonymous (Incerto) dice
As it stands, an AI gets its information from the internet. That means that much of the code it acquires at this point when you ask for sample code or something similar will likely be from GitHub or some similar website. It doesn't have to understand the workings of the code, it just needs to know what to look for and dispense it to you. Sometimes the code may not even work. AI could eventually understand programming and then it'll be a different story, but AI doesn't really KNOW much of what it says, it just give a definition from the huge databases it has access to.
Nov 01, 2023 at 08:57

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