Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

3.6/10 job score
risk level
by 2030
or $22.66 hourly
as of 2020

What is the risk of automation?

We calculate this occupation to have an automation risk score of 87% (Robots are watching)

[More info]
Qualities required for this occupation:
Manual Dexterity
very important
quite important
[Show all metrics]

What do you think the risk of automation is?

How likely do you think this occupation will be taken over by robots/AI within the next 20 years?

How quickly is this occupation growing?

The number of 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' job openings is expected to rise 6.3% by 2030
'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' is expected to be an average growing occupation in comparison to other occupations.
* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2020 and 2030.
Updated projections are due Sep 2022.

What are the median wages for 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' in the United States?

In 2020 the median annual wage for 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' was $47,130, or $22.66 hourly
'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' are paid 12.3% higher than the national median wage, which stands at $41,950
* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

How many people are employed in this occupation?

As of 2020 there were 1,797,710 people employed as Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers.
This represents around 1.29% of the employed workforce across the United States.

Job description

Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,001 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license. Includes tow truck drivers.

SOC Code: 53-3032.00

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james (Small chance) says
I don't think so my job means a lot to me and it should not be automated I make a living for my family
Dec 18, 2020 at 04:20 PM
fabe g (No chance) says
I highly doubt the safety laws of the government will allow it. Even the bad rap Tesla is getting for serious accidents
Feb 17, 2020 at 05:27 AM
A says
No way.
I'm all for automation in areas that are not life critical/life sensitive (stocking shelves, customer service, picking orders, cashiering, bookkeeping), but society is playing with fire here. There will be countless innocent deaths on the roads if this is adopted on a large scale. But hey, those lives are just cannon fodder/pawns in the game of industrial progress right?
You watch the media spin automated trucking as immoral when the first lives lost are a group of high earning fund managers, lawyers, or IT managers.
Dec 26, 2019 at 04:02 PM
Jake (Small chance) says
Dedicated consistent routes will be possible but irregular long haul and in city jobs will take longer. Driving a truck and driving a car are totally different and I think people don't really understand how different they truly are.
Oct 10, 2019 at 11:11 AM
Patryk says
maybe on long distances, yes, but I don't think it will happen in cities with distribution
Oct 08, 2019 at 07:50 PM
Kristina (Highly likely) says
Hazmat must have a trained professional. And an untrained person would not be responsible enough to know if the load is over weight. Add the to a risk of a computer failer or a computer hack and the untrained and people around become dead.
Sep 27, 2019 at 01:39 AM
bob (Could go either way) says
self driving tractors are too dangerous
May 20, 2019 at 12:00 AM
Charles G. Wolfe (No chance) says
I dont think a robot will be able to handle a tractor/trailer hauling steel coils, being the main reason. Coils need to checked very once in a while to make sure their still secure as most every other steel loads do.
Robots will never take the place of humans behind the wheel of eighteen-wheelers hauling steel.
May 12, 2019 at 10:41 PM
Andrew Piasecki says
Just to play devil's advocate, why can't a robot opperate the vehicle and the company pay an untrained person minimum wage to check the state of the steel every once in a while?
Aug 06, 2019 at 08:01 PM

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