Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

5.5/10 job score
AUTOMATION RISK
66%
risk level
POLLING
GROWTH
5%
by 2030
WAGES
$50,590
or $24.32 hourly
VOLUME
344,020
as of 2020

What is the risk of automation?

We calculate this occupation to have an automation risk score of 66% (Robots are watching)

[More info]
Qualities required for this occupation:
Cramped Work Space, Awkward Positions
Finger Dexterity
Manual Dexterity
Social Perceptiveness
Key
very important
quite important
[Show all metrics]

What do you think the risk of automation is?

How likely do you think this occupation will be taken over by robots/AI within the next 20 years?





How quickly is this occupation growing?

The number of 'Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers' job openings is expected to rise 5% by 2030
'Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers' is expected to be a slow growing occupation in comparison to other occupations.
* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2020 and 2030.
Updated projections are due Sep 2022.

What are the median wages for 'Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers' in the United States?

In 2020 the median annual wage for 'Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers' was $50,590, or $24.32 hourly
'Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers' are paid 20.6% higher than the national median wage, which stands at $41,950
* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

How many people are employed in this occupation?

As of 2020 there were 344,020 people employed as Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers.
This represents around 0.25% of the employed workforce across the United States.

Job description

Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

SOC Code: 49-9021.00

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Comments

Refrigeration technician says
So HVAC/R techs have a 65% chance but electricians have a 15% chance? This website is ridiculous. Pretty much any trade skill in the service industry will be protected for a long time. Even as the systems become more automated there will have to be human technicians to maintain those systems. Over time it may definitely become more consolidated, but the future is a very tricky thing to predict.
Feb 16, 2020 at 02:00 AM
Jebac disa (Small chance) says
Hard job with unique jd
Jan 31, 2020 at 03:56 PM
Fef (Small chance) says
I think it would need a very advanced robot to carry all the manual labour needed to install or repair an air conditioner. A robot able to walk, lift, drill, use tools.
Oct 30, 2019 at 11:15 AM
Skagit Haines (Small chance) says
I dont think there will be robots capable of troubleshooting everything in HVAC Systems. it requires manual dexterity
Aug 27, 2019 at 06:29 PM
Ben says
No way too many variables
Jul 30, 2019 at 12:31 PM
Ben says
There’s also the emotional aspect when it comes to sales/service within the residential part of the field. People will be more tempted to destroy a robot than commit murder when you have to tell the customer it’s going to be x amount of money to repair/ replace x part and they loose their shit 😂
Dec 24, 2020 at 02:40 AM

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