Overview
1. Automation Risk
2. User Poll
3. Growth
4. Wages
5. Volume
Decription
Resources
Comments

Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

6.9/10 job score
AUTOMATION RISK
19%
risk level
POLLING
GROWTH
5.1%
by 2031
WAGES
$48,630
or $23.38 hourly
VOLUME
356,960
as of 2021
Vote
Comments (6)

What is the risk of automation?

We calculate this occupation to have an automation risk score of 19% (No worries)

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated
Qualities required for this occupation:
Cramped Work Space, Awkward Positions
Finger Dexterity
Manual Dexterity
Social Perceptiveness
Key
very important
quite important
[Show all metrics]

What do you think the risk of automation is?

How likely do you think this occupation will be taken over by robots/AI within the next 20 years?

How quickly is this occupation growing?

The number of 'Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers' job openings is expected to rise 5.1% by 2031
'Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers' is expected to be an average growing occupation in comparison to other occupations.
* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031.
Updated projections are due Sep 2023.

What are the median wages for 'Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers' in the United States?

In 2021 the median annual wage for 'Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers' was $48,630, or $23.38 hourly
'Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers' are paid 6.3% higher than the national median wage, which stands at $45,760
* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

How many people are employed as heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installers?

As of 2021 there were 356,960 people employed as Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers within the United States.
This represents around 0.25% of the employed workforce across the country.
Put another way, around 1 in 394 people are employed as Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers.

Job description

Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

SOC Code: 49-9021.00

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Comments

Nate (No chance) says
I believe robots/software will make it easier to work on HVAC equipment making it so any random joe can work on it but a robot doing such in depth work as wiring repairs and burner replacement especially in the next 2 decades seems unlikely
Jun 23, 2021 at 07:24 PM
Refrigeration technician says
So HVAC/R techs have a 65% chance but electricians have a 15% chance? This website is ridiculous. Pretty much any trade skill in the service industry will be protected for a long time. Even as the systems become more automated there will have to be human technicians to maintain those systems. Over time it may definitely become more consolidated, but the future is a very tricky thing to predict.
Feb 16, 2020 at 02:00 AM
Jebac disa (Small chance) says
Hard job with unique jd
Jan 31, 2020 at 03:56 PM
Fef (Small chance) says
I think it would need a very advanced robot to carry all the manual labour needed to install or repair an air conditioner. A robot able to walk, lift, drill, use tools.
Oct 30, 2019 at 11:15 AM
Skagit Haines (Small chance) says
I dont think there will be robots capable of troubleshooting everything in HVAC Systems. it requires manual dexterity
Aug 27, 2019 at 06:29 PM
Ben says
No way too many variables
Jul 30, 2019 at 12:31 PM
Ben says
There’s also the emotional aspect when it comes to sales/service within the residential part of the field. People will be more tempted to destroy a robot than commit murder when you have to tell the customer it’s going to be x amount of money to repair/ replace x part and they loose their shit 😂
Dec 24, 2020 at 02:40 AM

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