Low Risk (21-40%): Jobs in this level have a limited risk of automation, as they demand a mix of technical and human-centric skills.
More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.
Our visitors have voted that it's unclear if this occupation will be replaced. However, employees may be able to find reassurance in the automated risk level we have generated, which only shows 34% chance of automation.
What do you think the risk of automation is?
What is the likelihood that this occupation will be replaced by robots or AI in the next 20 years?
The number of 'Graphic Designers' job openings is expected to rise 2.6% by 2031
Total employment, and estimated job openings
Updated projections are due Sep 2023.
In 2022, the median annual wage for 'Graphic Designers' was $57,990, or $27.88 per hour
'Graphic Designers' were paid 25.2% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $46,310
Wages over time
As of 2022 there were 211,890 people employed as Graphic Designers within the United States.
This represents around 0.14% of the employed workforce across the country.
Put another way, around 1 in 697 people are employed as Graphic Designers.
Design or create graphics to meet specific commercial or promotional needs, such as packaging, displays, or logos. May use a variety of mediums to achieve artistic or decorative effects.
SOC Code: 27-1024.00
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Creativity is the main aspect of Graphics Designing and I don't believe it can ever be replaced by something non-humans. Sure robots can replicate something at much grander and perfected scale than humans but creating something from mere thought process isn't something which I'd expect from a robot.
If you're chasing work by being as cheap as possible you'll never make it as a graphic designer. We are like fine wine & need to charge accordingly.
I think AI will be able to foresee possible designs. It can take a previous design and alter it the way customer likes to. For example there are already some websites that automatically make you a logo when you choose a few criteria. Maybe if you are in your mid forties you'll be safe but for people who are currently in high school, you need to either work in a developing or 3rd world country (which the the salary of someone in the art field is really low) or your job could be possibly taken :(
Furthermore, what's being neglected here is that businesses are being consolidated. Even if a smaller company were to have some outstanding graphics design in their products and this would help them turn a profit, the result would either be getting bought out by a corporate entity or being kept from other necessary resources via less-than-honest means. (For argument's sake, shipping necessary materials to a small shoemaking business in oversized boxes, if they're even still sold)
Even if A.I. doesn't take this job, much fewer people will be able to make a living this way. With the steady creep of consolidation, people will eventually have no choice in what they buy. This is the age of the megafactory; the time where businesses control every aspect of their employees' lives from work to product to consumption to sleep-schedule. There is no need to concern oneself with how a product looks in such an environment and such frivolities can be easily handed to less-than-gifted A.I. if deemed desirable.
I can hardly speak from authority, but I think that (keeping A.I. and all other things in mind) anyone who worries about being an unemployed graphics designer or other such artist is right to be afraid.
I don't see them as take over completely, but making the basic design from information they are feed, and then I take over, so I will be more of digital assistant, that will speed up my work.
I will be more productive, and there will be less work for designers, as one designer can do more in shorter time.
But as design is based on rules and methods, most great design comes from bending or breaking those rules slightly... A skill an AI is capable of doing just yet, and the non-designer isn't competent enough to do in an esthetic way.
Graphic designing sometimes needs also stuff like cutting objects from pictures, etc, and now there are tools for this task as well.
There are are also tools that generate palette templates automatically.
This means that lots of the tasks that took a long time due to the fact that decisions were taken "emotionally", until that "Eureka" moment, now are taken by an algorithm that can generate in a short time span many of the color palettes or take other design decisions that would have taken probably a couple of days to us to get to them.
Both will exist, but automation will drive all but a few very talented and connected designers out of the business.
Granted, I don't think it will replace 100% of graphic designers. More-so, I think it would be closer to around 50-60%, while the top 50-40% will retain their jobs.
Same thing can be said about programmers and software developers.
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