Musikdirektoren und Komponisten

Geringes Risiko
29%

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Abstimmen Kommentare (31)
AUTOMATISIERUNGSRISIKO
BERECHNET
21%
(Geringes Risiko)
UMFRAGE
37%
(Geringes Risiko, Basierend auf 426 Stimmen)
Average: 29%
ARBEITSNACHFRAGE
WACHSTUM
2,7%
bis zum Jahr 2033
LÖHNE
62.590 $
oder 30,09 $ pro Stunde
Volumen
10.770
ab dem 2023
ZUSAMMENFASSUNG
Was zeigt diese Schneeflocke?
Die Schneeflocke ist eine visuelle Zusammenfassung der fünf Abzeichen: Automatisierungsrisiko (berechnet), Risiko (abgefragt), Wachstum, Löhne und Volumen. Sie gibt Ihnen einen sofortigen Überblick über das Profil eines Berufs. Die Farbe der Schneeflocke steht in Beziehung zu ihrer Größe. Je besser der Beruf im Vergleich zu anderen abschneidet, desto größer und grüner wird die Schneeflocke.
ARBEITSPUNKTZAHL
5,3/10
Was ist das?
Jobbewertung (höher ist besser):

Wir bewerten Jobs anhand von vier Faktoren. Diese sind:

- Chance der Automatisierung
- Jobwachstum
- Löhne
- Anzahl der verfügbaren Stellen

Dies sind einige wichtige Punkte, über die man beim Jobsuchen nachdenken sollte.

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Berechnetes Automatisierungsrisiko

21% (Geringes Risiko)

Geringes Risiko (21-40%): Jobs auf dieser Ebene haben ein begrenztes Risiko der Automatisierung, da sie eine Mischung aus technischen und menschenzentrierten Fähigkeiten erfordern.

Weitere Informationen darüber, was dieser Wert ist und wie er berechnet wird, sind verfügbar hier.

Einige sehr wichtige Eigenschaften des Jobs sind schwer zu automatisieren:

  • Bildende Kunst

Einige ziemlich wichtige Eigenschaften des Jobs sind schwer zu automatisieren:

  • Originalität

  • Überzeugung

  • Soziale Wahrnehmungsfähigkeit

  • Verhandlung

Benutzerumfrage

37% Chance auf vollständige Automatisierung in den nächsten zwei Jahrzehnten

Unsere Besucher haben abgestimmt, dass es eine geringe Chance gibt, dass dieser Beruf automatisiert wird. Diese Einschätzung wird weiterhin durch das berechnete Automatisierungsrisiko unterstützt, welches eine 21% Chance der Automatisierung schätzt.

Was denken Sie, ist das Risiko der Automatisierung?

Wie hoch ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass Musikdirektoren und Komponisten in den nächsten 20 Jahren durch Roboter oder künstliche Intelligenz ersetzt wird?

Gefühl

Das folgende Diagramm wird angezeigt, wenn genügend Stimmen vorhanden sind, um aussagekräftige Daten zu erzeugen. Es zeigt die Ergebnisse von Nutzerumfragen im Laufe der Zeit und bietet einen klaren Hinweis auf Stimmungstrends.

Gefühlslage über die Zeit (jährlich)

Wachstum

Langsames Wachstum im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen.

Die Anzahl der 'Music Directors and Composers' Stellenangebote wird voraussichtlich um 2,7% bis 2033 steigen.

Gesamtbeschäftigung und geschätzte Stellenangebote

* Daten des Bureau of Labor Statistics für den Zeitraum zwischen 2023 und 2033
Aktualisierte Prognosen sind fällig 09-2025.

Löhne

Mäßig bezahlt im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Im Jahr 2023 betrug das mittlere Jahresgehalt für 'Music Directors and Composers' 62.590 $, oder 30 $ pro Stunde.

'Music Directors and Composers' wurden 30,2% höher bezahlt als der nationale Medianlohn, der bei 48.060 $ lag.

Löhne über die Zeit

* Daten vom Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volumen

Deutlich geringeres Angebot an Arbeitsmöglichkeiten im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Ab dem 2023 waren 10.770 Personen als 'Music Directors and Composers' in den Vereinigten Staaten beschäftigt.

Dies entspricht etwa < 0,001% der erwerbstätigen Bevölkerung im ganzen Land.

Anders ausgedrückt, ist etwa 1 von 14 Tausend Personen als 'Music Directors and Composers' beschäftigt.

Stellenbeschreibung

Leiten, dirigieren, planen und führen Sie instrumentale oder vokale Aufführungen von Musikern oder Gruppen durch, wie zum Beispiel Orchester, Bands, Chöre und Gesangsvereine; oder kreieren Sie originale Musikwerke.

SOC Code: 27-2041.00

Kommentare (31)

Einen Kommentar hinterlassen
J (Niedrig)
06 Jan. 2024 21:08
The only people are impressed by the music AIVA and other AI technologies create are people who either lack an ability to evaluate music properly (they are not musical themselves and don't actively listen to music) or people who stand to gain if they can replace the creativity of composers with a program.

This is without taking into account all of the interpersonal elements of composition, which are also not well understood by people who don't do this work.

Finally, given that humans are subject to copyright law and that the level of imitation and inspiration from previous works is controlled and limited by these laws, it is unlikely that music created by AI that was not drastically reshaped by a human composer would avoid copyright lawsuits or be subject to copyright itself, as current technology in this field only knows how to aggregate and make stylistic choices based on probability. A human composer is not going to waste time fiddling with AI compositions to "get them there" when they could just write something themselves.

Show me an evangelist who actually produces music and isn't heavily invested in AI themselves in some way, and I'll reconsider.
Bel (Niedrig)
04 Sept. 2024 02:59
Robots (IA's) will never match human creativity.
Joe (Niedrig)
11 Juli 2024 11:06
It makes sense why some people would use AI for small things, like as background music for a YouTube video. Everywhere else, you'd have to have human minds and human limbs behind it. The way I see it, AI will never be Hans Zimmer or Jacob Collier. Not by a longshot.
Zac (Keine Chance)
16 Juni 2021 04:48
Even if they could it wouldn't be the same as a person composing and putting their input and ideas into the composition. The feeling and emotion has to come from within to create something astonishing in my opinion. Because of this, they wouldn't fully replace humans in music writing/composing.
beanz (Keine Chance)
15 Juni 2025 18:37
Because Automated machines don't have emotions (as you probably know by asking Siri or whatever,) a conductor, for one, would be impossible to replace because it would lack, first of all, free movement of the joints, and in the event it does become automated, would look EXTREMELY uncanny...
Jaybird (Niedrig)
08 Juli 2024 00:02
It’s too complex and subjective for individual AI feedback to be effective over the arc of learning
EdwinBrophy
07 Juli 2020 13:34
Composing pop music is already nearly completely automated but serious music will continue to require human composers.
EdwinBrophyIsAClown
08 Dez. 2020 11:57
Composing pop music is not automated. Just because it is created on a computer doesn't mean it is automated, you still need human to create the ideas.
nathanuppnext (Keine Chance)
11 Apr. 2021 19:12
I'm a trap producer and its true
Dave
20 Sept. 2022 23:32
Not true, and there is no such thing as 'serious music'
Anomius Maximus (Keine Chance)
29 Apr. 2019 23:34
No way a robot would have ever been able to create a song as great, innovative, inspiring and culture changing as the masterpiece that is known as 'All Star' by Smash Mouth.
Matt
30 Apr. 2019 20:28
:)
Nicholas Venet (Keine Chance)
14 März 2025 12:33
music can be performed by bots and you can have a robot conductor however the emotion of a musician, providing interpertions of word is not able to be replicated by robots
Joey (Niedrig)
13 März 2025 22:46
You need a lot of emotion - something unable to be reproduced by robots - to have and do this job well. Also, originality is a BIG part of the job.
DJ (Keine Chance)
20 März 2021 17:00
Produce own style of music, create melody you like, there is just no way AI could replace it
Natalie (Niedrig)
22 Mai 2020 01:00
Music would be awful of it was automated. Music requires feelings to be any good.
Joel (Keine Chance)
26 Juni 2019 03:40
Music, or the act of composing music, has no formula of equation to it. Music is the expression of one's emotions, often called the outburst of the soul. A robot or machine is literally incapable of having emotions or a soul, therefore a robot will never be able to replace a human composer.
Jason (Höchstwahrscheinlich)
01 Sept. 2019 10:23
You are wrong. A big part of AI works by spotting patterns. Patterns is relatively simple given that there are only so many notes and scales in music. It can even come out with sounds that arent be able to be produced by normal instruments. AI can already write articles somewhat. They can already compose music (see link below). Playing music is trivial and doesnt even require AI. There are only 2 things that an AI may have trouble with. 1. Which is understanding which part of what they created did a human like and thus may have trouble using reinforced learning. 2. Lyrics have meaning behind the words. Its much more complex than just a melody. Its these lyrics and building melody in combination with lyrics which is going to be rather difficult but not impossible. Lyric writing is going to be one of the Last things AI will be able to do. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYb3Wimn01s
Dylan Dukat
03 Dez. 2019 18:49
I’ll raise you this. Music is a sphere of culture, and as such evolves with culture. Looking throughout music’s history, there are evident reasons why eras change, morph, and evolve. The role of composers is to create a unique voice that resonates with ever-shifting cultural trends. AI can easily analyze music and replicate its patterns, sure. But, that’s not really the foundation of music composition. I could, in writing a work, replicate the unique qualities of Shostakovich or Schoenberg. I could tell you all about how Shostakovich’s music was a rally against the USSR, and balanced nationalism with individualism and a rebellion against the machine. I could tell you how Shoenberg used serialism as a direct counter to Romanticism, and how he managed to create beautiful music mathematically. And I could produce similar work. But doing that without self-stylized inspiration… is it really writing music anymore? And could AI write music as a counter to a political movement while adhering to its demands? Or could it revolutionize an entire artistic culture? That’s the question that forms the crux of the counter.
Zaran Jathaul (Keine Chance)
09 Apr. 2019 14:27
You can't automate music. Unless it is dub step but even then people have to make that. After hundreds of years why has classical music always stayed popular? Because it is an advanced form of music that people understand once they get an advanced understanding of music and that is why people will always pay to see it live.
Gadgetsz
05 März 2021 18:34
The act of composing will not be replaced BUT it will definitely change and maybe become more easy and accessible for all people. Maybe one day, everyone is a composer because you don't even need to learn score writing, DAW, playing or singing. Maybe just by thinking, you can create masterworks.. We will see?
Joshua
01 Juni 2020 15:19
People who learn the same music theories write different songs, so do robots. Robots are rarely likely to replace human beings in the field of composition.
Sam (Mäßig)
11 Jan. 2026 19:46
Ai is rapidly developing, and ai will probably be in charge of background music etc in the near future.
Someone (Höchstwahrscheinlich)
26 Apr. 2019 18:54
Sad but very likely. Many projects (e.g. Jukedeck and Aiva) have already proven this by analyzing works made by humans and creating their own pieces.
Nikola
13 Juli 2020 12:54
But just because a robot can "make" music or "write" a book, i.e. create a composite of what's already out there, it doesn't mean that these professions will be overtaken by AI. People gravitate towards works of art created by humans, because reading a good book or gives you insight into the mind of the person who created it, in addition to possibly being relatable to you on a personal level. Art is deeply individual, both from the perspective of the artist and the consumer of art. I'd say it's very hard to imagine that any creative profession that's grounded in relaying the sensory, emotional, intellectual, and philosophical experiences of the world would ever cease to exist. People will always feel the need to tell stories and express themselves through art, and other people will always want to hear those stories and consume that art. It's because art gives more meaning to our lives. It elevates our experience of living to another level. There's a difference between automating jobs like assembly line work or driving and automating creative work. The former can arguably be perfected through automation, while the latter becomes devoid of meaning through automation. Only one way I can imagine this happening is if all humans cease to exist, and we're replaced by machines. But if that happens, I won't be around to care.
Rachel Farina
28 März 2023 22:48
You are right. What happens when we no longer can decipher what is and isn't created by AI? There are no regulations in place at the moment, zero laws, no certification or copyright process to say, "This was created by a human." Not a surprise given no one wants to but the brakes on big tech. But I sadly feel like this line will get very blurred, and AI and its billionaire founders will be all the more eager to keep it blurred so people keep using their AI, driving costly human artists and musicians and writers into obsolescence. There will be room for them in the highest realms of the arts and humanities, which still cuts out 90% of working artists.
John (Höchstwahrscheinlich)
07 Mai 2021 20:39
There are already many ai composers like AIVA, so I am pretty sure in the next 15-20 years ai composers will replace human music composers.
yo lads (Mäßig)
16 Sept. 2021 06:14
i seen some robots making chunes and people saying they bussin beats bye bye dutse, hesh and koot
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