Übersicht
Automatisierungsrisiko
2. Benutzerumfrage
3. Wachstum
4. Löhne
5. Volumen
Beschreibung
Ressourcen
Kommentare

Computerprogrammierer

Hohes Risiko
69%
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AUTOMATISIERUNGSRISIKO
BERECHNET
70%
(Hohes Risiko)
UMFRAGE
67%
(Hohes Risiko)
Average: 69%
ARBEITSNACHFRAGE
WACHSTUM
-9,6 %
bis zum Jahr 2033
LÖHNE
99.700 $
oder 47,93 $ pro Stunde
Volumen
120.370
ab dem 2023
ZUSAMMENFASSUNG
ARBEITSPUNKTZAHL
3,5/10

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Rechtsanwälte
Webentwickler
Grafikdesigner
Schauspieler
Maschinenbauingenieure

Berechnetes Automatisierungsrisiko

70% (Hohes Risiko)

Hohes Risiko (61-80%): Arbeitsplätze in dieser Kategorie sind einer erheblichen Bedrohung durch Automatisierung ausgesetzt, da viele ihrer Aufgaben mit aktuellen oder nahen zukünftigen Technologien leicht automatisiert werden können.

Weitere Informationen darüber, was dieser Wert ist und wie er berechnet wird, sind verfügbar hier.

Einige ziemlich wichtige Eigenschaften des Jobs sind schwer zu automatisieren:

  • Soziale Wahrnehmungsfähigkeit

  • Originalität

Benutzerumfrage

67% Chance auf vollständige Automatisierung in den nächsten zwei Jahrzehnten

Unsere Besucher haben abgestimmt, dass es wahrscheinlich ist, dass dieser Beruf automatisiert wird. Diese Einschätzung wird weiterhin durch das berechnete Automatisierungsrisiko unterstützt, welches eine 70% Chance der Automatisierung schätzt.

Was denken Sie, ist das Risiko der Automatisierung?

Wie hoch ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass Computerprogrammierer in den nächsten 20 Jahren durch Roboter oder künstliche Intelligenz ersetzt wird?






Gefühl

Das folgende Diagramm wird überall dort eingefügt, wo eine beträchtliche Anzahl von Stimmen vorliegt, um aussagekräftige Daten darzustellen. Diese visuellen Darstellungen zeigen die Ergebnisse von Nutzerumfragen im Laufe der Zeit und geben einen wichtigen Hinweis auf Stimmungstrends.

Gefühlslage über die Zeit (vierteljährlich)

Gefühlslage über die Zeit (jährlich)

Wachstum

Sehr langsames Wachstum im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen.

Die Anzahl der 'Computer Programmers' Stellenangebote wird voraussichtlich um 9,6% bis 2033 sinken.

Gesamtbeschäftigung und geschätzte Stellenangebote

* Daten des Bureau of Labor Statistics für den Zeitraum zwischen 2023 und 2033
Aktualisierte Prognosen sind fällig 09-2025.

Löhne

Sehr hoch bezahlt im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Im Jahr 2023 betrug das mittlere Jahresgehalt für 'Computer Programmers' 99.700 $, oder 47 $ pro Stunde.

'Computer Programmers' wurden 107,4% höher bezahlt als der nationale Medianlohn, der bei 48.060 $ lag.

Löhne über die Zeit

* Daten vom Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volumen

Größeres Spektrum an Arbeitsmöglichkeiten im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Ab dem 2023 waren 120.370 Personen als 'Computer Programmers' in den Vereinigten Staaten beschäftigt.

Dies entspricht etwa 0,08% der erwerbstätigen Bevölkerung im ganzen Land.

Anders ausgedrückt, ist etwa 1 von 1 Tausend Personen als 'Computer Programmers' beschäftigt.

Stellenbeschreibung

Erstellen, ändern und testen Sie den Code und die Skripte, die es Computeranwendungen ermöglichen zu laufen. Arbeiten Sie nach Spezifikationen, die von Software- und Webentwicklern oder anderen Personen erstellt wurden. Sie können Computerprogramme entwickeln und schreiben, um spezifische Dokumente, Daten und Informationen zu speichern, zu lokalisieren und abzurufen.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Kommentare

Leave a comment

TAmzid2872 (Unsicher) 17 days ago
Programming isnt just about writing code, its about problem solving
0 0 Reply
Sven H. (Höchstwahrscheinlich) 21 days ago
AI can already code extremely well; there will be no need for human programmers in the future.
0 0 Reply
Doubtful (Niedrig) 25 days ago
AI is horrible at following instructions, and bad at understanding architecture. Also, as context grows it tends to forget instructions.
0 0 Reply
Michael Bohn (Unsicher) 1 month ago
For the AI to work properly, you need people who know how to write the prompts and how to evaluate the written code.
3 2 Reply
Pavel 20 days ago
But if AI becomes as good as humans then why programmers would be ever needed if not those who work on AI itself? Maybe for some complex and big programms people would still be needed.
0 0 Reply
... 28 days ago
How does this relate to programmers? Programmers program not write prompts. Evaluation to code is already possible
0 0 Reply
J 2 months ago
Robots aint gonna code themselves, if we get to that point then that's Skynet/matrix. Aka end of the world for everyone so who cares
6 2 Reply
PossiblyUnemployed 4 days ago
My worry is if future code-generating models can modify itself or the programs it works on towards a specific goal, sort of like an intelligent self-modifying quine.
0 0 Reply
John pork (Keine Chance) 2 months ago
it is because AI and robots require programming and without programmers, they cannot function
0 2 Reply
PotentiallyJobless 4 days ago
It is true that programmers were necessary to create and train the models, but at this point what may be more necessary is just making sure the systems and hardware that keep the AI running don't malfunction. As it is, modern AI is finding ways to modify itself and its environment.
0 0 Reply
Emy (Höchstwahrscheinlich) 2 months ago
Even though programming can demand thinking sometimes, 70% of the work is repetitive or the same across different business. Not only that, but 80% of the time you are not solving any complex problem that demands creativity or deep thinking.
6 2 Reply
Jersey Jim 2 months ago
You can convert from one language to another with AI and a developer is not protected by knowing Java vs C#. This further erodes job protection. Recreating the wheel will drastically stop in programming and I'd imagine known problems will converge to one solution.
0 3 Reply
rick 13 days ago
programming is problem resolution. there is not a single solution. lol.
0 0 Reply
@irton (Keine Chance) 3 months ago
Why do they already develop this, and AI is not smart enough to do more? To complement, it is good.
1 5 Reply
Cessna (Unsicher) 3 months ago
Some AI can program or help a person program like chatgpt
3 2 Reply
Siddhant Tambe (Unsicher) 3 months ago
In order for AI to truly replace a Human computer programmer job, they will need to be "human" enough to handle the multiple complexities of building a whole ecosystem of a software product, along with defining clients who has accurately specify requirement.
For instance, I asked ChatGPT to write me a simple code that creates a "conversation" with OpenAI's APIs. It could not even do that accurately.
Current likelihood of replacing a computer programmer is laughable at best. Maybe over 20 years there might be "some" progress.
8 3 Reply
pleb 2 months ago
To be honest, it's quite scary that most people think this job will be entirely replaced. If AI ever fully becomes "human enough" (as you said! That's a brilliant way to put it) to take over every single Computer Programmer job... well, I don't think we have to worry about whether CS Majors will get employed.
3 2 Reply
Some Programmer (Niedrig) 4 months ago
We need programmers to make AI, the programmers themselves propel AI ahead by making new ideas, AI cannot do that it is simply using the knowledge it has to gen a quick answer for the user based on training, however i do believe that there is a chance that AI will replace humans if its way of thinking becomes completely identical as to a human would think and if quantum computing gets invented.
3 2 Reply
half-full 2 months ago
a good example of this would be asking an ai to generate a wineglass thats full to the brim; it cant because all the pictures online are half-full, lmao
1 2 Reply
Arsh (Mäßig) 4 months ago
Some concepts like orginaltity and thinking can not be replicated, but base code is in danger
1 2 Reply
Somone (Mäßig) 4 months ago
This job could be revamped/transformed but i don't think AI will take over completely because AI isn't good at randomness and complex thinking/problem solving so i think AI will be a tool that will assist coders, engineers, etc not take over completely.
2 2 Reply
random idiot (Keine Chance) 4 months ago
Don't Computer programmers code AI...
2 7 Reply
Jamal 21 days ago
I think they do honestly, wait nvm i think its chatgpt giving us our jobs
0 0 Reply
Distragin (Niedrig) 4 months ago
The amount of Ai copying from one another is insane if one Ai makes a mistake it could be devastating to other AI informational sources. This is why coding and programming are minimal risk, AI is most likely just gonna copy each other leading to inefficient mayhem!
1 2 Reply
Jersey Jim 2 months ago
These reasons have little bearing on the push for automation. Modern DevOps can push out fixes quickly. Companies don't really suffer much from downtime or security breaches. AI only has to be good enough with slight imperfections to kill jobs. Companies have already be proven willing to eat some losses from self-checkouts versus cashiers. It is cold math. The cost savings will far exceed the losses from downtime or government fines.
0 2 Reply
Guilherme (Niedrig) 4 months ago
Because client's need change and language models can't pick up nuances 100% of the time there will always be a place for programers. But the kind of tasks they perform might change.
1 2 Reply
darkmewtwo (Niedrig) 5 months ago
Ask an ai to simplify code. It will not work
2 4 Reply
Wes (Keine Chance) 5 months ago
You still need someone to understand every line of code the AI produces. Although AI is decent at programming now, I am certain that we will always need a human to write code to some degree.
8 3 Reply
` (Unsicher) 6 months ago
I think that while there is a high chance that AI will be used to automate the creation of basic code, AI will always make mistakes that have to be corrected by humans who know what they're doing, and I don't think AI will replace programmers in the next ~20 years because of the need for complex and intricate code used in projects such as game engines.
11 5 Reply
Guy (Höchstwahrscheinlich) 6 months ago
Already starting, automation has begun being used for coding in many places.
8 7 Reply
Adrian 4 months ago
Agreed. AI will continue to grow, and it learns faster than any human could. The only type of software development postions I see staying is the creation of new languages. However, these jobs will be very few and require an insanely high level of education and years of experience. Heck, these jobs are offshored right now.
3 2 Reply
Luke 5 months ago
Often incorrect and needs fixing though, at least from my experience.
5 2 Reply

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