Computerprogrammierer

Hohes Risiko
67%
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AUTOMATISIERUNGSRISIKO
BERECHNET
70%
(Hohes Risiko)
UMFRAGE
64%
(Hohes Risiko)
Average: 67%
ARBEITSNACHFRAGE
WACHSTUM
-9,6 %
bis zum Jahr 2033
LÖHNE
99.700 $
oder 47,93 $ pro Stunde
Volumen
120.370
ab dem 2023
ZUSAMMENFASSUNG
ARBEITSPUNKTZAHL
3,5/10

Personen haben sich auch angesehen

Berechnetes Automatisierungsrisiko

70% (Hohes Risiko)

Hohes Risiko (61-80%): Arbeitsplätze in dieser Kategorie sind einer erheblichen Bedrohung durch Automatisierung ausgesetzt, da viele ihrer Aufgaben mit aktuellen oder nahen zukünftigen Technologien leicht automatisiert werden können.

Weitere Informationen darüber, was dieser Wert ist und wie er berechnet wird, sind verfügbar hier.

Einige ziemlich wichtige Eigenschaften des Jobs sind schwer zu automatisieren:

  • Soziale Wahrnehmungsfähigkeit

  • Originalität

Benutzerumfrage

64% Chance auf vollständige Automatisierung in den nächsten zwei Jahrzehnten

Unsere Besucher haben abgestimmt, dass es wahrscheinlich ist, dass dieser Beruf automatisiert wird. Diese Einschätzung wird weiterhin durch das berechnete Automatisierungsrisiko unterstützt, welches eine 70% Chance der Automatisierung schätzt.

Was denken Sie, ist das Risiko der Automatisierung?

Wie hoch ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass Computerprogrammierer in den nächsten 20 Jahren durch Roboter oder künstliche Intelligenz ersetzt wird?






Gefühl

Das folgende Diagramm wird überall dort eingefügt, wo eine beträchtliche Anzahl von Stimmen vorliegt, um aussagekräftige Daten darzustellen. Diese visuellen Darstellungen zeigen die Ergebnisse von Nutzerumfragen im Laufe der Zeit und geben einen wichtigen Hinweis auf Stimmungstrends.

Gefühlslage über die Zeit (vierteljährlich)

Gefühlslage über die Zeit (jährlich)

Wachstum

Sehr langsames Wachstum im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen.

Die Anzahl der 'Computer Programmers' Stellenangebote wird voraussichtlich um 9,6% bis 2033 sinken.

Gesamtbeschäftigung und geschätzte Stellenangebote

* Daten des Bureau of Labor Statistics für den Zeitraum zwischen 2021 und 2031
Aktualisierte Prognosen sind fällig 09-2024.

Löhne

Sehr hoch bezahlt im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Im Jahr 2023 betrug das mittlere Jahresgehalt für 'Computer Programmers' 99.700 $, oder 47 $ pro Stunde.

'Computer Programmers' wurden 107,4% höher bezahlt als der nationale Medianlohn, der bei 48.060 $ lag.

Löhne über die Zeit

* Daten vom Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volumen

Größeres Spektrum an Arbeitsmöglichkeiten im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Ab dem 2023 waren 120.370 Personen als 'Computer Programmers' in den Vereinigten Staaten beschäftigt.

Dies entspricht etwa 0,08% der erwerbstätigen Bevölkerung im ganzen Land.

Anders ausgedrückt, ist etwa 1 von 1 Tausend Personen als 'Computer Programmers' beschäftigt.

Stellenbeschreibung

Erstellen, ändern und testen Sie den Code und die Skripte, die es Computeranwendungen ermöglichen zu laufen. Arbeiten Sie nach Spezifikationen, die von Software- und Webentwicklern oder anderen Personen erstellt wurden. Sie können Computerprogramme entwickeln und schreiben, um spezifische Dokumente, Daten und Informationen zu speichern, zu lokalisieren und abzurufen.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Ressourcen

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Kommentare

Leave a comment

J 5 days ago
Robots aint gonna code themselves, if we get to that point then that's Skynet/matrix. Aka end of the world for everyone so who cares
0 0 Reply
John pork (Keine Chance) 13 days ago
it is because AI and robots require programming and without programmers, they cannot function
0 0 Reply
Emy (Höchstwahrscheinlich) 15 days ago
Even though programming can demand thinking sometimes, 70% of the work is repetitive or the same across different business. Not only that, but 80% of the time you are not solving any complex problem that demands creativity or deep thinking.
2 0 Reply
Jersey Jim 9 days ago
You can convert from one language to another with AI and a developer is not protected by knowing Java vs C#. This further erodes job protection. Recreating the wheel will drastically stop in programming and I'd imagine known problems will converge to one solution.
0 0 Reply
@irton (Keine Chance) 1 month ago
Why do they already develop this, and AI is not smart enough to do more? To complement, it is good.
1 2 Reply
Cessna (Unsicher) 1 month ago
Some AI can program or help a person program like chatgpt
1 0 Reply
Siddhant Tambe (Unsicher) 1 month ago
In order for AI to truly replace a Human computer programmer job, they will need to be "human" enough to handle the multiple complexities of building a whole ecosystem of a software product, along with defining clients who has accurately specify requirement.
For instance, I asked ChatGPT to write me a simple code that creates a "conversation" with OpenAI's APIs. It could not even do that accurately.
Current likelihood of replacing a computer programmer is laughable at best. Maybe over 20 years there might be "some" progress.
3 1 Reply
pleb 12 days ago
To be honest, it's quite scary that most people think this job will be entirely replaced. If AI ever fully becomes "human enough" (as you said! That's a brilliant way to put it) to take over every single Computer Programmer job... well, I don't think we have to worry about whether CS Majors will get employed.
0 0 Reply
Some Programmer (Niedrig) 2 months ago
We need programmers to make AI, the programmers themselves propel AI ahead by making new ideas, AI cannot do that it is simply using the knowledge it has to gen a quick answer for the user based on training, however i do believe that there is a chance that AI will replace humans if its way of thinking becomes completely identical as to a human would think and if quantum computing gets invented.
3 0 Reply
half-full 12 days ago
a good example of this would be asking an ai to generate a wineglass thats full to the brim; it cant because all the pictures online are half-full, lmao
0 0 Reply
Arsh (Mäßig) 2 months ago
Some concepts like orginaltity and thinking can not be replicated, but base code is in danger
1 0 Reply
Somone (Mäßig) 2 months ago
This job could be revamped/transformed but i don't think AI will take over completely because AI isn't good at randomness and complex thinking/problem solving so i think AI will be a tool that will assist coders, engineers, etc not take over completely.
2 0 Reply
random idiot (Keine Chance) 2 months ago
Don't Computer programmers code AI...
2 4 Reply
Distragin (Niedrig) 2 months ago
The amount of Ai copying from one another is insane if one Ai makes a mistake it could be devastating to other AI informational sources. This is why coding and programming are minimal risk, AI is most likely just gonna copy each other leading to inefficient mayhem!
1 1 Reply
Jersey Jim 9 days ago
These reasons have little bearing on the push for automation. Modern DevOps can push out fixes quickly. Companies don't really suffer much from downtime or security breaches. AI only has to be good enough with slight imperfections to kill jobs. Companies have already be proven willing to eat some losses from self-checkouts versus cashiers. It is cold math. The cost savings will far exceed the losses from downtime or government fines.
0 0 Reply
Guilherme (Niedrig) 3 months ago
Because client's need change and language models can't pick up nuances 100% of the time there will always be a place for programers. But the kind of tasks they perform might change.
1 0 Reply
darkmewtwo (Niedrig) 3 months ago
Ask an ai to simplify code. It will not work
2 2 Reply
Wes (Keine Chance) 3 months ago
You still need someone to understand every line of code the AI produces. Although AI is decent at programming now, I am certain that we will always need a human to write code to some degree.
6 1 Reply
` (Unsicher) 4 months ago
I think that while there is a high chance that AI will be used to automate the creation of basic code, AI will always make mistakes that have to be corrected by humans who know what they're doing, and I don't think AI will replace programmers in the next ~20 years because of the need for complex and intricate code used in projects such as game engines.
10 3 Reply
Guy (Höchstwahrscheinlich) 5 months ago
Already starting, automation has begun being used for coding in many places.
6 4 Reply
Adrian 3 months ago
Agreed. AI will continue to grow, and it learns faster than any human could. The only type of software development postions I see staying is the creation of new languages. However, these jobs will be very few and require an insanely high level of education and years of experience. Heck, these jobs are offshored right now.
1 0 Reply
Luke 3 months ago
Often incorrect and needs fixing though, at least from my experience.
4 0 Reply
Caro (Niedrig) 5 months ago
There will probably be many bugs (Like how Ai has trouble with fingers), so no matter what, the job will be necessary.
5 5 Reply
Aiden (Mäßig) 5 months ago
bc like it might but prob not and like it will always be important to have human programmers because if ai ever become sentient and gain their own objectives, they will have all the power in the world if they're the only ones that know how to run our code and stuff like that so yea it would be dangerous to give that much power away to them
1 7 Reply
Mistral Claude 7 months ago
Here is the thing my dudes. As professional programer (30 years on the job, so of that thing even replaces out job, I will surely be retired already anyway) I tried chatgpt, copilot, Claude and even Mistral for coding. They are all pretty darn helpful to code on nephew level...you know, that terrible code we got from a 3rd party to maintain? Yeah. It goes great on that level. It's also great to do start level stuff that has been done 1000s of times. Try doing something new though, or some actual logic, and they fail, always. And never even realize they are failing. The reason is pretty simple. what we have (the llms) are not real AIs. When (if) we have a real AI, then, the moment a computer can replicate human level programming, is also the moment the computer can code another AI doesn't it? What would happen if it can code a AI better than itself?
20 4 Reply
Jose 5 months ago
Some of the best programmers in the world are working daily to help improve ChatGTP and other models. The capabilities are quickly increasing and given some time they will be better than most programmers. So yes some very good programmers will have a job, but most will not be needed. You wrote the comment 2 months ago, there is now a new model which you thought was not possible 2 months ago. What will happen in another 2 months, or 2 years?
9 6 Reply
DB 2 months ago
New model does not not mean better solution always
0 0 Reply
Ritchie Duncan (Höchstwahrscheinlich) 7 months ago
AI suites such as ChatGPT etc have the ability to code functions in a variety of languages and for various platforms. A simple description of the function to be created, along with the system, such as Visual Studio, Unity etc allows the code to be copied and pasted into the code base.
Arguably within the next 10 years, programmers, in the form we know them now, will be obsolete.
5 5 Reply
Socks 7 months ago
Until AI programs can always fix everything in e.g. app that is being made as well as in themselves they will be just a tool for already competent programmer that has to understand most details anyway.
5 1 Reply

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