Computerprogrammierer

Hohes Risiko
70%
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AUTOMATISIERUNGSRISIKO
BERECHNET
70%
(Hohes Risiko)
UMFRAGE
70%
(Hohes Risiko)
Average: 70%
ARBEITSNACHFRAGE
WACHSTUM
-9,6 %
bis zum Jahr 2033
LÖHNE
99.700 $
oder 47,93 $ pro Stunde
Volumen
120.370
ab dem 2023
ZUSAMMENFASSUNG
ARBEITSPUNKTZAHL
3,5/10

Personen haben sich auch angesehen

Berechnetes Automatisierungsrisiko

70% (Hohes Risiko)

Hohes Risiko (61-80%): Arbeitsplätze in dieser Kategorie sind einer erheblichen Bedrohung durch Automatisierung ausgesetzt, da viele ihrer Aufgaben mit aktuellen oder nahen zukünftigen Technologien leicht automatisiert werden können.

Weitere Informationen darüber, was dieser Wert ist und wie er berechnet wird, sind verfügbar hier.

Einige ziemlich wichtige Eigenschaften des Jobs sind schwer zu automatisieren:

  • Soziale Wahrnehmungsfähigkeit

  • Originalität

Benutzerumfrage

70% Chance auf vollständige Automatisierung in den nächsten zwei Jahrzehnten

Unsere Besucher haben abgestimmt, dass es wahrscheinlich ist, dass dieser Beruf automatisiert wird. Diese Einschätzung wird weiterhin durch das berechnete Automatisierungsrisiko unterstützt, welches eine 70% Chance der Automatisierung schätzt.

Was denken Sie, ist das Risiko der Automatisierung?

Wie hoch ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass Computerprogrammierer in den nächsten 20 Jahren durch Roboter oder künstliche Intelligenz ersetzt wird?






Gefühl

Das folgende Diagramm wird überall dort eingefügt, wo eine beträchtliche Anzahl von Stimmen vorliegt, um aussagekräftige Daten darzustellen. Diese visuellen Darstellungen zeigen die Ergebnisse von Nutzerumfragen im Laufe der Zeit und geben einen wichtigen Hinweis auf Stimmungstrends.

Gefühlslage über die Zeit (vierteljährlich)

Gefühlslage über die Zeit (jährlich)

Wachstum

Sehr langsames Wachstum im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen.

Die Anzahl der 'Computer Programmers' Stellenangebote wird voraussichtlich um 9,6% bis 2033 sinken.

Gesamtbeschäftigung und geschätzte Stellenangebote

* Daten des Bureau of Labor Statistics für den Zeitraum zwischen 2023 und 2033
Aktualisierte Prognosen sind fällig 09-2025.

Löhne

Sehr hoch bezahlt im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Im Jahr 2023 betrug das mittlere Jahresgehalt für 'Computer Programmers' 99.700 $, oder 47 $ pro Stunde.

'Computer Programmers' wurden 107,4% höher bezahlt als der nationale Medianlohn, der bei 48.060 $ lag.

Löhne über die Zeit

* Daten vom Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volumen

Größeres Spektrum an Arbeitsmöglichkeiten im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Ab dem 2023 waren 120.370 Personen als 'Computer Programmers' in den Vereinigten Staaten beschäftigt.

Dies entspricht etwa 0,08% der erwerbstätigen Bevölkerung im ganzen Land.

Anders ausgedrückt, ist etwa 1 von 1 Tausend Personen als 'Computer Programmers' beschäftigt.

Stellenbeschreibung

Erstellen, ändern und testen Sie den Code und die Skripte, die es Computeranwendungen ermöglichen zu laufen. Arbeiten Sie nach Spezifikationen, die von Software- und Webentwicklern oder anderen Personen erstellt wurden. Sie können Computerprogramme entwickeln und schreiben, um spezifische Dokumente, Daten und Informationen zu speichern, zu lokalisieren und abzurufen.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Kommentare

Leave a comment

Dev (Mäßig) 1 day ago
AI adds another attack surface to software development companies
0 0 Reply
Titus (Höchstwahrscheinlich) 1 day ago
Once A.I. overtakes human intelligence it will write billions of lines of code error free with simple prompts from any person wanting a digital product. Why would any company need overpaid, error prone people at that point. Learn a trade quickly programmers!
0 0 Reply
Swayam Bhowmick (Höchstwahrscheinlich) 6 days ago
Everyone who's commenting and judging is basing their judgment on the current state of things. But, the current state is rapidly evolving, and most people are failing to account for the trajectory that the progress of AI is taking. 2 years ago, we were laughing at AI-generated videos of Will Smith eating spaghetti; today, the realism sends shivers down our spines. 2 years ago, AI generated broken code, now, it's capabale of somewhat functional code, replacing junior devs entirely.

Please take into account the trajectory of progress rather than the current state of things.
1 0 Reply
Ab (Höchstwahrscheinlich) 9 days ago
It does not require any physical interaction with the real world
1 3 Reply
Habs (Unsicher) 17 days ago
Software development includes understanding requirements and talking to customers (who do not know what they want). My job will be heavily automated but not yet to be fully replaced by AI.
1 2 Reply
Name (Niedrig) 1 month ago
AIs kind of suck at programming and logic they always add more bugs into my code
8 4 Reply
A 19 days ago
Currently. What about in 10 years though
5 0 Reply
John 1 month ago
Just as a few other professions, I’d say it would simply be limited to reducing unspecialized, entry-level positions. Those who find a niche would find that programming with chatbots are like lugging a junior dev that doesn’t learn around.
1 0 Reply
Everyone’s in denial 2 months ago
I am not saying I support the automation of everything, it’s just that in reality no one is safe as it accelerates. This is not just an assistant, nor just a displacement of humans, it is the complete replacement of the human mind. Pandora’s box was opened, now we have no idea if we will enter dystopia or utopia...
8 6 Reply
Jordan 19 days ago
No it is not. LLM's don't replicate how human brains work at all.
1 1 Reply
Tony B (Niedrig) 2 months ago
AI has so far been good for created standard well known solutions. It is not good at all at understanding large amounts of existing code.
7 3 Reply
Jersey Jim 1 month ago
Getting better every week. MCP. Augment Code. LLM rules.
2 1 Reply
Mu (Niedrig) 2 months ago
They will be reduced but not entirely replaced. This can be in ai research to improve the programming or new novel types of Research
1 2 Reply
Jacob (Niedrig) 2 months ago
It will change a sofware engineer is still going to be required to check the code. You aren't going to want this to automated that's crazy.
5 0 Reply
Timothy (Mäßig) 3 months ago
"For example, tasks or task components that appeal to capacities in which AI systems excel, will have to be less (or less fully) mastered by people, so that less training will probably be required. AI systems are already much better than people at logically and arithmetically correct gathering (selecting) and processing (weighing, prioritizing, analyzing, combining) large amounts of data. They do this quickly, accurately and reliably. They are also more stable (consistent) than humans, have no stress and emotions and have a great perseverance and a much better retention of knowledge and skills than people. As a machine, they serve people completely and without any “self-interest” or “own hidden agenda.”"
0 0 Reply
Michał (Höchstwahrscheinlich) 3 months ago
Without knowing programming at this point you can easily write a good program with the help of AI. I completely agree that this work can be automated.
0 7 Reply
Jordan 19 days ago
There's a serious difference between it works and it works correctly. Without understanding the code and testing it, all you've done is make a polished turd.
0 0 Reply
TAmzid2872 (Unsicher) 4 months ago
Programming isnt just about writing code, its about problem solving
10 0 Reply
Sven H. (Höchstwahrscheinlich) 4 months ago
AI can already code extremely well; there will be no need for human programmers in the future.
1 6 Reply
Doubtful (Niedrig) 4 months ago
AI is horrible at following instructions, and bad at understanding architecture. Also, as context grows it tends to forget instructions.
7 1 Reply
Jersey Jim 3 months ago
Model Context Protocol helps give AI better context. AI can work across many files now (way better IDE integration has happened in the past 6 months). The limits of AI have dwindled and will continue to dwindle as time goes on. Vibe coding is now a thing and AI can follow directions to build complete mvp's in under an hour.
0 1 Reply
Jordan 19 days ago
MVPs are not working reliable software that solves a real problem.
0 0 Reply
Michael Bohn (Unsicher) 5 months ago
For the AI to work properly, you need people who know how to write the prompts and how to evaluate the written code.
5 2 Reply
Pavel 4 months ago
But if AI becomes as good as humans then why programmers would be ever needed if not those who work on AI itself? Maybe for some complex and big programms people would still be needed.
0 0 Reply
... 4 months ago
How does this relate to programmers? Programmers program not write prompts. Evaluation to code is already possible
0 0 Reply
J 5 months ago
Robots aint gonna code themselves, if we get to that point then that's Skynet/matrix. Aka end of the world for everyone so who cares
8 2 Reply
PossiblyUnemployed 3 months ago
My worry is if future code-generating models can modify itself or the programs it works on towards a specific goal, sort of like an intelligent self-modifying quine.
0 0 Reply
John pork (Keine Chance) 6 months ago
it is because AI and robots require programming and without programmers, they cannot function
1 2 Reply
PotentiallyJobless 3 months ago
It is true that programmers were necessary to create and train the models, but at this point what may be more necessary is just making sure the systems and hardware that keep the AI running don't malfunction. As it is, modern AI is finding ways to modify itself and its environment.
0 0 Reply
Emy (Höchstwahrscheinlich) 6 months ago
Even though programming can demand thinking sometimes, 70% of the work is repetitive or the same across different business. Not only that, but 80% of the time you are not solving any complex problem that demands creativity or deep thinking.
7 3 Reply
Jersey Jim 5 months ago
You can convert from one language to another with AI and a developer is not protected by knowing Java vs C#. This further erodes job protection. Recreating the wheel will drastically stop in programming and I'd imagine known problems will converge to one solution.
0 3 Reply
rick 4 months ago
programming is problem resolution. there is not a single solution. lol.
0 0 Reply

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