Übersicht
Automatisierungsrisiko
2. Benutzerumfrage
3. Wachstum
4. Löhne
5. Volumen
Beschreibung
Ressourcen
Kommentare

Schwere und Sattelschlepper-LKW-Fahrer

AUTOMATISIERUNGSRISIKO
BERECHNET
88%
Risikostufe
UMFRAGE
64%
Basierend auf 537 Stimmen
ARBEITSNACHFRAGE
WACHSTUM
4,3%
bis zum Jahr 2032
LÖHNE
49.920 $
oder 24,00 $ pro Stunde
Volumen
1.984.180
ab dem 2022
ZUSAMMENFASSUNG
ARBEITSPUNKTZAHL
3,8/10

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Kommentare (33)

Automatisierungsrisiko

88% (Unmittelbares Risiko)

Unmittelbares Risiko (81-100%): Berufe auf dieser Ebene haben eine extrem hohe Wahrscheinlichkeit, in naher Zukunft automatisiert zu werden. Diese Jobs bestehen hauptsächlich aus repetitiven, vorhersehbaren Aufgaben, bei denen nur wenig Bedarf an menschlichem Urteilsvermögen besteht.

Weitere Informationen darüber, was dieser Wert ist und wie er berechnet wird, sind verfügbar hier.

Einige ziemlich wichtige Eigenschaften des Jobs sind schwer zu automatisieren:

  • Manuelle Geschicklichkeit

Benutzerumfrage

64% Chance auf vollständige Automatisierung in den nächsten zwei Jahrzehnten

Unsere Besucher haben abgestimmt, dass es wahrscheinlich ist, dass dieser Beruf automatisiert wird. Diese Einschätzung wird weiterhin durch das berechnete Automatisierungsrisiko unterstützt, welches eine 88% Chance der Automatisierung schätzt.

Was denken Sie, ist das Risiko der Automatisierung?

Wie hoch ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass Schwere und Sattelschlepper-LKW-Fahrer in den nächsten 20 Jahren durch Roboter oder künstliche Intelligenz ersetzt wird?






Gefühl

Die folgenden Grafik(en) werden überall dort eingefügt, wo es eine erhebliche Anzahl von Stimmen gibt, um aussagekräftige Daten zu liefern. Diese visuellen Darstellungen zeigen die Ergebnisse von Nutzerumfragen über die Zeit und liefern einen bedeutenden Hinweis auf Stimmungstrends.

Gefühlslage über die Zeit (jährlich)

Wachstum

Mäßiges Wachstum im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Die Anzahl der 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' Stellenangebote wird voraussichtlich um 4,3% bis 2032 steigen.

Gesamtbeschäftigung und geschätzte Stellenangebote

* Daten des Bureau of Labor Statistics für den Zeitraum zwischen 2021 und 2031
Aktualisierte Prognosen sind fällig 09-2023.

Löhne

Mäßig bezahlt im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Im Jahr 2022 betrug das mittlere Jahresgehalt für 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' 49.920 $, oder 23 $ pro Stunde.

'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' wurden 7,8% höher bezahlt als der nationale Medianlohn, der bei 46.310 $ lag.

Löhne über die Zeit

* Daten vom Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volumen

Deutlich größerer Bereich an Arbeitsmöglichkeiten im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Ab dem 2022 waren 1.984.180 Personen als 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' in den Vereinigten Staaten beschäftigt.

Dies entspricht etwa 1,3% der erwerbstätigen Bevölkerung im ganzen Land.

Anders ausgedrückt, ist etwa 1 von 74 Personen als 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' beschäftigt.

Stellenbeschreibung

Fahren Sie eine Traktor-Anhänger-Kombination oder einen LKW mit einer Kapazität von mindestens 26.001 Pfund Bruttogewicht (GVW). Es kann erforderlich sein, den LKW zu entladen. Erfordert einen gewerblichen Führerschein. Beinhaltet Abschleppwagenfahrer.

SOC Code: 53-3032.00

Ressourcen

Wenn Sie darüber nachdenken, eine neue Karriere zu beginnen oder den Job zu wechseln, haben wir ein praktisches Tool für die Jobsuche erstellt, das Ihnen möglicherweise dabei hilft, die perfekte neue Rolle zu finden.

Suchen Sie Jobs in Ihrer lokalen Umgebung

Kommentare

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Shayne Thomas (Niedrig) sagt
I just don't believe autonomous trucking could become a thing unless people were to give up their ability to drive themselves. If no one drove and it was just robots then it is a very plausible scenario. It would probably be safer and more efficient than if humans were driving the same trucks. The counter to that, I would say, is that it would only be that way if only robots were driving. This is because of human error, being impatient, not being a good driver, and driving under the influence. There are many factors to include when putting human drivers into the equation that cannot be calculated by a machine. Personally, I don't want to give up my own freedom to drive so companies could be slightly more efficient and I'm sure there are a lot of others who would feel similar.
Mar 25, 2024 at 08:24
Josh (Unsicher) sagt
Seems no one has visited this section in awhile. I think it's safe to say all previous comments and this assessment itself was based off over-hyped technology that has proven to be much more complicated than initially thought. The eventual automation of commercial drivers is probably high but still decades away with the current challenges.
Nov 01, 2023 at 02:18
Anonymous (Unsicher) sagt
It's going to be automated; it's not debatable. The question is, "How soon will it happen?" My guess is that it's going to take another 20 to 50 years before the technology is sophisticated enough to displace human beings. At that point, it'd no longer be an attractive or plausible occupation for most.

If you're in your 30s, you can likely still make an income from trucking, and you may even be able to ride it out until retirement. However, if you're the next generation of kids, probably not.
Jan 30, 2023 at 02:01
Jeremy sagt
It's truly the case that Tesla is leading with the new Cyber Trucks and future models. How much profit can be made by just selling 1,000 trucks? There is a huge market.

All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes.
Aug 15, 2022 at 11:31
2nd rule of the pirate code: Curfew by 10 PM sagt
"All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes."
So, you want a dedicated lane for a Heavy vehicle to drive through, which the heavy vehicle in question is dedicated solely to transporting materials and goods.

You are describing a Train.
But specifically a train that moves on streets and highways. If there are two things the U.S loves (assuming we are talking specifically about the U.S), it's Guns and Cars. I doubt people would be too happy letting a big portion of driveable area get used up nor would they be happy to have it drive next to them, because the fear of it malfunctioning would be heightened. That's also not to mention how primitive the ai is for self driving, and the potential ethical concerns.

I do think that Ai will replace delivery jobs like this, but It'll most likely be in a form that would have the least potential to cause damage, like a drone or a train out in the middle of nowhere.
Oct 27, 2023 at 09:01
Mr. Nobody (Niedrig) sagt
Certain cities have a very tight shipping/receiving docks, not to mention the streets.. who’s going to chain up the tires in the snow?
Jul 12, 2022 at 08:03
Nathan (Mäßig) sagt
Even though working on trucks will become safer, it will still be unsafe and there is a likelihood of getting hurt.
May 22, 2022 at 11:16
Mark (Niedrig) sagt
Parts of the trucking industry are likely to be automated in the next 20 years. For instance, long-distance convoys. But truckers do more than just drive. They also do maintenance, load balancing, inspections, and sometimes loading and unloading at destinations.

As such, for short-haul routes, the "driving" part is a relatively minor part of the job. Even if it's automated, the trucker is still needed. For long-haul routes, robotic convoys will indeed eliminate the need for some drivers. But each convoy will still need a shepherd for the other duties that can't be substantially eliminated in that period of time.
Apr 19, 2022 at 01:05
Matt (Höchstwahrscheinlich) sagt
As a truck driver, I have mixed views on automated driving. I don't see any evidence that a truck could be 100% autonomous in my lifetime. There is so much more to trucking than just driving, a lot more.
Jan 25, 2022 at 05:22
Ry sagt
Lol, if you've ever been a local city truck driver, this will never happen. Maybe interstate driving could be automated for the mega-corporations, but local driving in a major city? Probably never. The fact that this has such a high likelihood of getting votes proves that you shouldn't blindly believe anyone on the internet who tells you anything. Most of the votes are clearly not from anyone in the industry.
Dec 31, 2021 at 01:03
RB Hopson (Niedrig) sagt
Although the tech will be here soon, I think the infrastructure required to fully automate this sector will take much longer to implement.
Oct 08, 2021 at 02:20
Nico Cione (Höchstwahrscheinlich) sagt
I think that there will be driverless electric-powered trucks in the future.
Sep 09, 2021 at 03:15
Mr. T (Höchstwahrscheinlich) sagt
Especially long haul transport will be vulnerable because these routes are less complex to automize. Short-haul transport will stay relevant a little longer. Although there will be massive competition, due to the low entry barriers of starting at this job.
Sep 07, 2021 at 10:29
Steve (Höchstwahrscheinlich) sagt
Based on the current processes, and the vast evolution of self driving cars
Aug 28, 2021 at 04:08
Andrea (Keine Chance) sagt
A robot cannot replace the instincts of human driving knowledge, especially during extreme weather conditions. I haven’t even begun to discuss pre trip inspections or backing and parking a trailer in a dock. This takes many years to master. This is not like driving a car. Robots will NEVER replace a human driver.
Jun 13, 2021 at 09:09
Ryan R sagt
Likely sooner. There are already semi trucks with AI learn cameras installed on them going around. Won't be shocked if it's sooner than a decade.
Jun 03, 2021 at 11:42
Steve W. sagt
Bad news: Search for "This Year, Autonomous Trucks Will Take to the Road With No One on Board"
Autonomous trucks are here! Expect to find a new career as early as 2024.
May 12, 2021 at 04:31
William Sturges (Niedrig) sagt
Still will need a person in truck. Robots will not fuel truck or complete a UsDot inspection. It also can not get and sign paperwork or know what loading/unloading door or dock is required.
Apr 14, 2021 at 12:59
R.D. (Niedrig) sagt
Interfacing with the customer...a robot? The tractor's today are overweight with computer help and, create more of a problem. Just ask any truckdriver.
Mar 13, 2021 at 07:48
Daniel Churchley (Höchstwahrscheinlich) sagt
As a hgv driver I see how vehicles are evolving and I am also aware of how much money is being invested in automation with companies like Tesla
Jan 24, 2021 at 01:25
Pat D sagt
Companies will have to have a person in every tractor trailer to oversee fueling if it's long haul. Unless they have automated fuel stops all over the country. I say 50 years min for total automated trucking. I'll send my kids though IT school by then
Jan 10, 2021 at 03:28

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