Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

risk level
Based on 88 votes
by year 2032
or $28.93 per hour
as of 2023

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Automation risk

89% (Imminent Risk)

Imminent Risk (81-100%): Occupations in this level have an extremely high likelihood of being automated in the near future. These jobs consist primarily of repetitive, predictable tasks with little need for human judgment.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Assisting and Caring for Others

  • Social Perceptiveness

User poll

60% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. However, the automation risk level we have generated suggests a much higher chance of automation: 89% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?


The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (yearly)


Fast growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity' job openings is expected to rise 8.2% by 2032

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2023.


Moderately paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity' was $60,170, or $28 per hour

'Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity' were paid 25.2% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics


Greater range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 184,990 people employed as 'Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity' within the United States.

This represents around 0.12% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 820 people are employed as 'Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity'.

Job description

Drive bus or motor coach, including regular route operations, charters, and private carriage. May assist passengers with baggage. May collect fares or tickets.

SOC Code: 53-3052.00


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Steven Latta (Moderate) says
Estimates for the arrival of self-driving Cars keep going up and then down.
Also, Winter Driving is still unknown.
The Value and respect of Human labour keeps going down and the Cost of Converting
will be High. Purpose-built Vehicles will need to be built, then they will slowly replace
the existing fleets. Busses last 20 to 30 years.
May 08, 2023 at 03:50 PM
karan (Low) says
Government regulations surrounding vehicle and aircraft operations are unlikely to change in foreseeable future.
Oct 29, 2021 at 02:45 AM

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