Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

High Risk
76%

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Vote Comments (5)
AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
92%
(Imminent Risk)
POLLING
59%
(Moderate Risk, Based on 132 votes)
Average: 76%
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
5.2%
by year 2033
WAGES
$60,170
or $28.93 per hour
Volume
184,990
as of 2023
SUMMARY
What does this snowflake show?
The Snowflake is a visual summary of the five badges: Automation Risk (calculated), Risk (polled), Growth, Wages and Volume. It gives you an instant snapshot of an occupations profile. The colour of the Snowflake relates to its size. The better the occupation scores in relation to others, the larger and greener the Snowflake becomes.
JOB SCORE
4.1/10
What's this?
Job Score (higher is better):

We rate jobs using four factors. These are:

- Chance of being automated
- Job growth
- Wages
- Volume of available positions

These are some key things to think about when job hunting.

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Calculated automation risk

92% (Imminent Risk)

Imminent Risk (81-100%): Occupations in this level have an extremely high likelihood of being automated in the near future. These jobs consist primarily of repetitive, predictable tasks with little need for human judgment.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Assisting and Caring for Others

  • Social Perceptiveness

User poll

59% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. However, the automation risk level we have generated suggests a much higher chance of automation: 92% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?

Sentiment

The following graph is shown where there are enough votes to produce meaningful data. It displays user poll results over time, providing a clear indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Fast growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity' job openings is expected to rise 5.2% by 2033

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2023 and 2033
Updated projections are due 09-2025.

Wages

Moderately paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity' was $60,170, or $29 per hour

'Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity' were paid 25.2% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Greater range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 184,990 people employed as 'Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity' within the United States.

This represents around 0.12% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 820 people are employed as 'Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity'.

Job description

Drive bus or motor coach, including regular route operations, charters, and private carriage. May assist passengers with baggage. May collect fares or tickets.

SOC Code: 53-3052.00

Comments (5)

Leave a comment
henry (No chance)
04 Feb 2026 04:11
a bus driver is a driver, a customer facing, customer service agent, the responsible person on the vehicle and absolutely needs to make human decisions many times a day, every day. automating bus drivering is very different to automating a bus
Anonimo (Highly likely)
04 Nov 2025 17:08
"They're almost doing it."
ad (Moderate)
25 Apr 2025 10:29
The risk for intercity and long distance bus drivers is higher, as they are travelling through areas with little to no traffic. The risk is slightly lower for Urban bus drivers as urban enviroments are much more complex, and they are more likley to service vurnable and older demographics who might need more help and/or are uncomfortable travelling without a driver on board.
Steven Latta (Moderate)
08 May 2023 15:50
Estimates for the arrival of self-driving Cars keep going up and then down.
Also, Winter Driving is still unknown.
The Value and respect of Human labour keeps going down and the Cost of Converting
will be High. Purpose-built Vehicles will need to be built, then they will slowly replace
the existing fleets. Busses last 20 to 30 years.
karan (Low)
29 Oct 2021 02:45
Government regulations surrounding vehicle and aircraft operations are unlikely to change in foreseeable future.
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