Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists
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Calculated automation risk
Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.
More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.
User poll
Our visitors have voted there's a low chance this occupation will be automated. However, the automation risk level we have generated suggests a higher chance of automation: 52% chance of automation.
What do you think the risk of automation is?
What is the likelihood that Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?
Sentiment
The following graph is included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.
Sentiment over time (yearly)
Growth
The number of 'Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists' job openings is expected to rise 2.8% by 2033
Total employment, and estimated job openings
Updated projections are due 09-2024.
Wages
In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists' was $58,970, or $28 per hour
'Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists' were paid 22.7% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060
Wages over time
Volume
As of 2023 there were 285,030 people employed as 'Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists' within the United States.
This represents around 0.19% of the employed workforce across the country
Put another way, around 1 in 532 people are employed as 'Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists'.
Job description
Diagnose, adjust, repair, or overhaul buses and trucks, or maintain and repair any type of diesel engines. Includes mechanics working primarily with automobile or marine diesel engines.
SOC Code: 49-3031.00
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Comments
Sure, if the drivetrain is replaced with batteries and electric motors, a large part of a mechanic's routine work will be eliminated. This would result in a decrease in the number of mechanics needed in a workshop. However, even then, the chance of automation replacing all mechanical repair work is 30% or less.
No robot exists that could undertake even the relatively simple task of replacing a headlight bulb, let alone diagnosing a problem such as "vibration at 55 km/h".
Also, in the case of a catastrophic mechanical failure, certain steps must be taken depending on the kind of failure. This too, is very difficult for machines to accomplish.
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