risk level
Based on 250 votes
by year 2032
or $16.80 per hour
as of 2023

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Automation risk

84% (Imminent Risk)

Imminent Risk (81-100%): Occupations in this level have an extremely high likelihood of being automated in the near future. These jobs consist primarily of repetitive, predictable tasks with little need for human judgment.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Finger Dexterity

  • Manual Dexterity

User poll

54% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. However, the automation risk level we have generated suggests a much higher chance of automation: 84% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Bakers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?


The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (yearly)


Fast growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Bakers' job openings is expected to rise 8.1% by 2032

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2023.


Very low paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Bakers' was $34,950, or $16 per hour

'Bakers' were paid 27.3% lower than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics


Greater range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 220,230 people employed as 'Bakers' within the United States.

This represents around 0.15% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 689 people are employed as 'Bakers'.

Job description

Mix and bake ingredients to produce breads, rolls, cookies, cakes, pies, pastries, or other baked goods.

SOC Code: 51-3011.00


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Bruce Jackson (No chance) says
Imagine a robotic Baker kneading or proofing dough. Adjustments due to altitude or touch must be made by human hands. Dough contains live microorganisms that respond to human hands. The taste of robotic baked goods would ruin the food industry.
Jul 17, 2023 at 01:01 AM
Sofia says
Damn way to crush a child’s dream
May 21, 2021 at 03:49 PM
B says
Reading comments like these make me think everybody thinks of a robot a big metal android like in movies, and not as specially made robots designed specifically to do a job with the intent of replacing people
Sep 09, 2020 at 05:38 PM
Ale says
It doesn't require for a robot that has taste buds, just one that can follow directions, and one human to taste the recipes, that's it. Honestly i like being a Baker more than a chef, way more, but it suffers from similar problems. It needs to go, and i will be thankful for it. I guess in the next few years it's time to learn a new job, don't go to chef school like i did. Terrible job overall.
May 22, 2020 at 12:48 AM
michael says
Why chef is terrible job? You mean cookery chef? I guess bakery & patisserie chef is far easier compare with cookery chef
Nov 06, 2023 at 06:53 AM
Annie123 says
Robots would be such bad bakers. There is no chance anyone would go to bakeries anymore this is crazy.
Feb 24, 2020 at 02:45 AM
naturalbeauty (Low) says
products made by robots are not made by heart.
Feb 07, 2020 at 10:32 AM
MAR says
that is sooo true. nothing would be made with love if it was made by AIs.
Apr 19, 2021 at 05:48 PM
Mille says
They have no taste buds or smell so it will probably end up in disgusting food if they create food.
Sep 04, 2019 at 09:50 AM
dd123abc says
I want to be a pastry chef and now I can't thanks
Nov 10, 2019 at 04:11 PM
Millie (No chance) says
Because they can knock something over or do something wrong and create chaos
Sep 04, 2019 at 09:49 AM
Hey peeps says
It is not a good idea for robots to be bakers
Jul 01, 2019 at 10:51 AM
David Kohen (No chance) says
Requires computers with the ability to taste, to project how others will react to taste and innovate food. In my opinion, one of the last to go. However as a profession it will be impacted by ex-lawyers, doctors and especially computer engineers who enter the field after losing their forst profession.
Apr 17, 2019 at 12:51 PM
Matthew J Watson says
Perhaps the job can change which could focus on designing and decorating custom pastries. While robots replicate them
Jun 17, 2019 at 07:30 PM
Millie says
Good point they can not taste
Sep 04, 2019 at 09:51 AM

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