Overview
1. Automation Risk
2. User Poll
3. Growth
4. Wages
5. Volume
Decription
Resources
Comments

Bakers

High Risk
71%
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Vote Comments (20)
Or, Explore This Profession in Greater Detail...
AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
84%
(Imminent Risk)
POLLING
57%
(Moderate Risk)
Average: 71%
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
5.2%
by year 2033
WAGES
$34,950
or $16.80 per hour
Volume
220,230
as of 2023
SUMMARY
JOB SCORE
3.2/10

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Calculated automation risk

84% (Imminent Risk)

Imminent Risk (81-100%): Occupations in this level have an extremely high likelihood of being automated in the near future. These jobs consist primarily of repetitive, predictable tasks with little need for human judgment.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Finger Dexterity

  • Manual Dexterity

User poll

57% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. However, the automation risk level we have generated suggests a much higher chance of automation: 84% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Bakers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?






Sentiment

The following graph is included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Fast growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Bakers' job openings is expected to rise 5.2% by 2033

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2024.

Wages

Very low paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Bakers' was $34,950, or $16 per hour

'Bakers' were paid 27.3% lower than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Greater range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 220,230 people employed as 'Bakers' within the United States.

This represents around 0.15% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 689 people are employed as 'Bakers'.

Job description

Mix and bake ingredients to produce breads, rolls, cookies, cakes, pies, pastries, or other baked goods.

SOC Code: 51-3011.00

Resources

If you're thinking of starting a new career, or looking to change jobs, we've created a handy job search tool which might just help you land that perfect new role.

Search jobs in your local area

Comments

Leave a comment

Guy (Low) 1 month ago
Robots will not replace humans in the near future when it comes to baking. Because baking has steps that are very challenging for an ai to compute and would need a physical robot to do them. Not like the ordering menus at McDonalds with ChatGPT on a screen. People also simply like real bakers more. If bakeries all became ai generated nobody would go to them after a few years.
1 0 Reply
Bruce Jackson (No chance) 1 year ago
Imagine a robotic Baker kneading or proofing dough. Adjustments due to altitude or touch must be made by human hands. Dough contains live microorganisms that respond to human hands. The taste of robotic baked goods would ruin the food industry.
3 0 Reply
Guy 1 month ago
Yeah thats accurate. Im surprised it was rated this high of a risk.
1 0 Reply
Sofia 3 years ago
Damn way to crush a child’s dream
3 0 Reply
B 4 years ago
Reading comments like these make me think everybody thinks of a robot a big metal android like in movies, and not as specially made robots designed specifically to do a job with the intent of replacing people
2 0 Reply
Ale 4 years ago
It doesn't require for a robot that has taste buds, just one that can follow directions, and one human to taste the recipes, that's it. Honestly i like being a Baker more than a chef, way more, but it suffers from similar problems. It needs to go, and i will be thankful for it. I guess in the next few years it's time to learn a new job, don't go to chef school like i did. Terrible job overall.
0 0 Reply
michael 1 year ago
Why chef is terrible job? You mean cookery chef? I guess bakery & patisserie chef is far easier compare with cookery chef
0 0 Reply
Annie123 4 years ago
Robots would be such bad bakers. There is no chance anyone would go to bakeries anymore this is crazy.
1 0 Reply
Guy 1 month ago
True, if I saw a bakery that used ai im not going
0 0 Reply
naturalbeauty (Low) 4 years ago
products made by robots are not made by heart.
1 0 Reply
MAR 3 years ago
that is sooo true. nothing would be made with love if it was made by AIs.
0 0 Reply
Mille 5 years ago
They have no taste buds or smell so it will probably end up in disgusting food if they create food.
1 0 Reply
dd123abc 5 years ago
I want to be a pastry chef and now I can't thanks
0 0 Reply
Guy 1 month ago
You could also start your own bakery, though it is very expensive and requires more management than other bakery jobs.
0 0 Reply
Lily 4 years ago
You can still be one its just that some robots are doing that job... their are still pastry jobs available
0 0 Reply
Millie (No chance) 5 years ago
Because they can knock something over or do something wrong and create chaos
1 0 Reply
Hey peeps 5 years ago
It is not a good idea for robots to be bakers
1 0 Reply
David Kohen (No chance) 5 years ago
Requires computers with the ability to taste, to project how others will react to taste and innovate food. In my opinion, one of the last to go. However as a profession it will be impacted by ex-lawyers, doctors and especially computer engineers who enter the field after losing their forst profession.
1 0 Reply
Millie 5 years ago
Good point they can not taste
1 0 Reply
Matthew J Watson 5 years ago
Perhaps the job can change which could focus on designing and decorating custom pastries. While robots replicate them
0 0 Reply

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