Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics

risk level
Based on 437 votes
by year 2032
or $22.58 per hour
as of 2022

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Automation risk

55% (Moderate Risk)

Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some very important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Cramped Work Space, Awkward Positions

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Manual Dexterity

  • Finger Dexterity

  • Social Perceptiveness

User poll

33% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted there's a low chance this occupation will be automated. However, the automation risk level we have generated suggests a higher chance of automation: 55% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?


The following graph(s) are included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (yearly)


Slow growth relative to other professions.

The number of 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' job openings is expected to rise 1.4% by 2032

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2023.


Low paid relative to other professions

In 2022, the median annual wage for 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' was $46,970, or $22 per hour

'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' were paid 1.4% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $46,310

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics


Significantly greater range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2022 there were 664,070 people employed as 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' within the United States.

This represents around 0.45% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 222 people are employed as 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics'.

Job description

Diagnose, adjust, repair, or overhaul automotive vehicles.

SOC Code: 49-3023.00


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Leave a comment

Gael Gay Gaylord (Low) says
Robots working on cars would be bad, they do already create cars but I think its better if we people fix the cars and not have them create and fix them too (I'm gonna be an automotive mechanic sooner or later)
Dec 16, 2022 at 03:34 PM
John says
For maintenance, sure, but not every car is exactly the same. This would be one of the last to go. Anyone with a computer job or repetitive task will go first. Look at nursing, they said like 1.5%, and this is 55%... what? You check the temperature of a patient, then play on Facebook and complain about work for 3 hours. Lol. Definitely going to replace most of the basic ones.
Feb 14, 2022 at 04:51 AM
Nicholas D'Amico (Low) says
Assembly and manufacturing will be automated. Minor service jobs, like fluid changes, will undoubtedly be automated away.

However, troubleshooting and repairing vehicles with problems that aren't related to recurring service will not be automated away.

With this in mind, I think that the market for mechanics will actually increase due to the automation of vehicles on the road. More vehicles mean more mechanics - more jiffy lube robot techs and more certified mechanics in the future.
Jan 06, 2022 at 07:21 PM
Alex says
Not robots but 'electric cars will reduce maintenance by 90 per cent' - Sandy Munro
Aug 30, 2021 at 12:03 AM
Dean (No chance) says
There simply is to many variables/people interactions that have to happen/every vehicle is different in the amount of abuse and care towards that vehicle
May 27, 2021 at 03:19 AM
Troy (No chance) says
They won't be able to diagnose little problems.
May 14, 2021 at 12:09 PM
Jarno says
Totally agree with the comments here. You’d need a super AI just to recognize the wear and/or damage. Then it also needs to think of a way to actually do it... and then you’d need a super-robot to be actually able to do the very diverse physical stuff. (Arms? Tools?)

It wouldn’t be cost effective to design and build such a robot anytime soon.

This job is super under-appreciated in my opinion.
Jan 09, 2021 at 11:08 AM
Rick (Low) says
Besides diagnostics there are to many variables for a robot to make the actual repairs.
May 15, 2020 at 01:41 PM
Sorry robots will take your jobs says
They do have arms fingers and A.I. would allow them to access info from any related and applicable book, manual, or source...
Aug 14, 2021 at 02:02 PM
Maybe 50 years. (No chance) says
Unless we get self thinking robots that can mimic and access repair books and find problems very unlikely.

They would need arms for one.
May 05, 2020 at 11:05 AM
jim beam (Low) says
Its WAYYYYYYY more complicated then you think
Nov 12, 2019 at 01:17 PM
john (No chance) says
robots can not detect the slightest repair
Aug 28, 2019 at 12:05 AM
aaa says
Eventually yes, but just don't see it happening in the next 20 years.
Mar 30, 2019 at 11:05 PM
jason says
right there with u brother
F**k robots
Oct 01, 2019 at 03:40 PM

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